BULGARIA FIRST LEAGUE
--.--.---- --:--
Stadion Lokomotiv
Referee: V. Zhelezov
Lokomotiv Sofia
Match Timeline
Slavia Sofia
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
12'
N. Neychev · Assist: A. Taoui
Lokomotiv Sofia
🔄
46'
I. Minchev ↔ R. Raychev
Slavia Sofia
🟨
47'
Dzhuneyt Ali
Lokomotiv Sofia
🔄
60'
J. Ibe ↔ Caue Caruzo
Lokomotiv Sofia
🔄
67'
J. Semedo ↔ L. Marin
Slavia Sofia
🔄
72'
B. Todorov ↔ G. Shopov
Slavia Sofia
🔄
72'
Y. Guermouche ↔ M. Miletic
Slavia Sofia
🔄
72'
E. Stoev ↔ E. Gogev
Slavia Sofia
🔄
81'
D. Ali ↔ K. Miloshev
Lokomotiv Sofia
82'
A. Taoui · Assist: S. Delev
Lokomotiv Sofia
🔄
85'
G. Minchev ↔ V. Velichkov
Lokomotiv Sofia
🔄
86'
A. Taoui ↔ E. Gerov
Lokomotiv Sofia

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 81.6%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 27.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 34.5%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
81.6%
-
BTTS BTTS No
27.1%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
34.5%
-
Corners O/U Under 8.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
Lokomotiv Sofia Win 50.5%
Draw 18.4%
Slavia Sofia Win 31.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
Lokomotiv Sofia1.32
Slavia Sofia1.2
Recent Form (Last 5)
Lokomotiv Sofia Lokomotiv Sofia
WWDLW
49 GF / 45 GA
Slavia Sofia Slavia Sofia
WLDWL
40 GF / 42 GA
Key Stats
1.4
Average Goals Scored
1.14
1.29
Average Goals Conceded
1.2
21
BTTS Yes
17
18
Over 2.5
16
3.06
Shots on Goal
2.44

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Lokomotiv Sofia Lokomotiv Sofia 35 matches
Slavia Sofia Slavia Sofia 35 matches
Lokomotiv Sofia Statistic Slavia Sofia
10 Wins 11
14 Draws 10
11 Losses 14
49 Goals For 40
45 Goals Against 42
1.4 Avg Goals Scored 1.14
1.29 Avg Goals Conceded 1.2
21 BTTS Yes 17
26 Over 1.5 28
18 Over 2.5 16
12 Over 3.5 6
8 Clean Sheets 10
9 Failed To Score 11
3.06 Shots On Goal 2.44
7.64 Total Shots 6.94
3.52 Corners 2.88
35.2% Ball Possession 29%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with Lokomotiv Sofia's more proactive style and Slavia Sofia's more cautious structure likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Slavia Sofia. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Slavia Sofia arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself.

Lokomotiv Sofia Analysis

From their first 35 matches, Lokomotiv Sofia have collected 44 points and now occupy 10 place in the table. Across the campaign, they have posted 10 wins, 14 draws, and 11 losses, while the 49:45 goal ratio supports the view of poor form and have been stuck in a sequence of draws. Going forward they rely heavily on S. Delev (8 goals), Caue Caruzo (7 goals), A. Aralica (6 goals), with creative support from S. Delev (13 assists), Caue Caruzo (4 assists), Krasimir Stanoev (4 assists), and defensively they have been quite vulnerable. At home, the record of 5 wins, 9 draws, and 4 losses points toward a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

Slavia Sofia Analysis

Slavia Sofia sit 11 with 43 points after 35 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. The overall return of 11 wins, 10 draws, and 14 defeats with a 40:42 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on Y. Guermouche (6 goals), Emil Stoev (4 goals), K. Balov (4 goals), with creative support from Ivan Minchev (8 assists), Emil Stoev (5 assists), K. Balov (5 assists), while defensively they have looked quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have managed 4 wins, 5 draws, and 8 losses, a return that supports a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Lokomotiv Sofia won 6 times, Slavia Sofia won 6 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 17:20 from Lokomotiv Sofia's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.47 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (81.6%)
Predicted formations: Lokomotiv Sofia 4-2-3-1 / Slavia Sofia 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Lokomotiv Sofia wins 6, draws 3, Slavia Sofia wins 6

Lineups

Lokomotiv Sofia
Formation
Slavia Sofia
M. Velichkov
M. Velichkov
D. Ali
D. Ali
N. Neychev
N. Neychev
S. Dembele
S. Dembele
A. Lyaskov
A. Lyaskov
K. Stanoev
K. Stanoev
E. Dost
E. Dost
J. Ibe
J. Ibe
A. Taoui
🎯
A. Taoui
S. Delev
🎯
S. Delev
G. Minchev
G. Minchev
L. Ntumba
L. Ntumba
Diego
Diego
N. Savic
N. Savic
D. Malembana
D. Malembana
J. Semedo
J. Semedo
B. Todorov
B. Todorov
I. Minchev
I. Minchev
E. Stoev
E. Stoev
I. Stefanov
I. Stefanov
K. Balov
K. Balov
Y. Guermouche
Y. Guermouche
Lokomotiv Sofia 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
99
M. Velichkov
G
2
D. Ali
↓ 81' 🟨 47'
D
42
N. Neychev
⚽ 12'
D
4
S. Dembele
14
A. Lyaskov
D
31
K. Stanoev
M
5
E. Dost
M
33
J. Ibe
↓ 60'
M
11
A. Taoui
⚽ 82' 🎯 12' ↓ 86'
M
7
S. Delev
🎯 82'
M
10
G. Minchev
↓ 85'
F
Substitutes
24
A. Lyubenov
G
27
I. Lagundzic
D
3
Messi
D
45
E. Gerov
↑ 86'
F
26
K. Miloshev
↑ 81'
M
8
Luann
M
77
Caue Caruzo
↑ 60'
88
V. Velichkov
↑ 85'
D
17
M. Zakhariev
D
Slavia Sofia 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
12
L. Ntumba
G
87
Diego
D
4
N. Savic
D
15
D. Malembana
D
20
J. Semedo
↓ 67'
D
23
B. Todorov
↓ 72'
73
I. Minchev
↓ 46'
M
77
E. Stoev
↓ 72'
M
13
I. Stefanov
M
18
K. Balov
10
Y. Guermouche
↓ 72'
F
Substitutes
99
I. Andonov
G
8
V. Yotov
M
5
G. Shopov
↑ 72'
M
24
L. Marin
↑ 67'
D
6
L. Ivanov
D
14
M. Miletic
↑ 72'
F
9
R. Raychev
↑ 46'
M
7
E. Gogev
↑ 72'
F
22
M. Lazarov
D
Last matches: Lokomotiv Sofia
22.05.26
Fir
Lokomotiv Sofia
Spartak Varna
0
3
L
14.05.26
Fir
Lokomotiv Sofia
Beroe
1
1
D
09.05.26
Fir
Lokomotiv Sofia
Montana
2
2
D
05.05.26
Fir
Lokomotiv Sofia
Botev Vratsa
2
2
D
01.05.26
Fir
Lokomotiv Sofia
Dobrudzha
3
0
W
27.04.26
Fir
Lokomotiv Sofia
Septemvri Sofia
1
1
D
14.04.26
Fir
Lokomotiv Sofia
Botev Vratsa
2
3
L
09.04.26
Fir
Lokomotiv Sofia
Beroe
2
1
W
03.04.26
Fir
Lokomotiv Sofia
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
0
1
L
27.03.26
Fri
Lokomotiv Sofia
Botev Plovdiv
1
3
L
21.03.26
Fir
Lokomotiv Sofia
CSKA 1948
2
3
L
17.03.26
Fir
Lokomotiv Sofia
Septemvri Sofia
3
0
W
13.03.26
Fir
Lokomotiv Sofia
Slavia Sofia
1
1
D
08.03.26
Fir
Lokomotiv Sofia
CSKA Sofia
0
2
L
05.03.26
Fir
Lokomotiv Sofia
Dobrudzha
3
1
W
01.03.26
Fir
Lokomotiv Sofia
Levski Sofia
3
4
L
13.02.26
Fir
Lokomotiv Sofia
Spartak Varna
2
2
D
07.02.26
Fir
Lokomotiv Sofia
Ludogorets
1
3
L
30.01.26
Fri
Lokomotiv Sofia
Sportist Svoge
1
0
W
25.01.26
Fri
Lokomotiv Sofia
Zorya Luhansk
3
3
D
Last matches: Slavia Sofia
22.05.26
Fir
Slavia Sofia
Montana
2
0
W
13.05.26
Fir
Slavia Sofia
Dobrudzha
0
2
L
10.05.26
Fir
Slavia Sofia
Spartak Varna
1
2
L
06.05.26
Fir
Slavia Sofia
Septemvri Sofia
2
1
W
02.05.26
Fir
Slavia Sofia
Beroe
0
3
L
26.04.26
Fir
Slavia Sofia
Botev Vratsa
1
1
D
16.04.26
Fir
Slavia Sofia
Montana
0
0
D
10.04.26
Fir
Slavia Sofia
Septemvri Sofia
1
2
L
05.04.26
Fir
Slavia Sofia
Cherno More Varna
3
1
W
20.03.26
Fir
Slavia Sofia
Botev Plovdiv
0
1
L
13.03.26
Fir
Slavia Sofia
Lokomotiv Sofia
1
1
D
06.03.26
Fir
Slavia Sofia
Spartak Varna
4
0
W
03.03.26
Fir
Slavia Sofia
Beroe
3
0
W
27.02.26
Fir
Slavia Sofia
CSKA 1948
0
2
L
21.02.26
Fir
Slavia Sofia
CSKA Sofia
0
1
L
14.02.26
Fir
Slavia Sofia
Arda Kardzhali
1
2
L
08.02.26
Fir
Slavia Sofia
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
0
2
L
31.01.26
Fri
Slavia Sofia
Marek
2
2
D
25.01.26
Fri
Slavia Sofia
FK Tobol Kostanay
0
1
L
24.01.26
Fri
Slavia Sofia
Tikveš
1
1
D
H2H: Lokomotiv Sofia vs Slavia Sofia
18.05.26
H2H
Lokomotiv Sofia
Slavia Sofia
2
0
W
13.03.26
H2H
Lokomotiv Sofia
Slavia Sofia
1
1
D
03.10.25
H2H
Slavia Sofia
Lokomotiv Sofia
2
0
L
10.05.25
H2H
Slavia Sofia
Lokomotiv Sofia
0
0
D
06.04.25
H2H
Lokomotiv Sofia
Slavia Sofia
3
2
W
24.10.24
H2H
Slavia Sofia
Lokomotiv Sofia
3
2
L
09.03.24
H2H
Lokomotiv Sofia
Slavia Sofia
1
2
L
16.09.23
H2H
Slavia Sofia
Lokomotiv Sofia
1
2
W
06.06.23
H2H
Slavia Sofia
Lokomotiv Sofia
2
0
L
23.05.23
H2H
Lokomotiv Sofia
Slavia Sofia
1
1
D
03.04.23
H2H
Lokomotiv Sofia
Slavia Sofia
2
1
W
17.03.23
H2H
Lokomotiv Sofia
Slavia Sofia
1
0
W
02.09.22
H2H
Slavia Sofia
Lokomotiv Sofia
2
1
L
07.03.22
H2H
Slavia Sofia
Lokomotiv Sofia
3
0
L
27.09.21
H2H
Lokomotiv Sofia
Slavia Sofia
1
0
W
Last matches: Lokomotiv Sofia
14.05.26
Fir
Lokomotiv Sofia
Beroe
1
1
D
05.05.26
Fir
Lokomotiv Sofia
Botev Vratsa
2
2
D
27.04.26
Fir
Lokomotiv Sofia
Septemvri Sofia
1
1
D
09.04.26
Fir
Lokomotiv Sofia
Beroe
2
1
W
17.03.26
Fir
Lokomotiv Sofia
Septemvri Sofia
3
0
W
13.03.26
Fir
Lokomotiv Sofia
Slavia Sofia
1
1
D
05.03.26
Fir
Lokomotiv Sofia
Dobrudzha
3
1
W
07.02.26
Fir
Lokomotiv Sofia
Ludogorets
1
3
L
30.01.26
Fri
Lokomotiv Sofia
Sportist Svoge
1
0
W
25.01.26
Fri
Lokomotiv Sofia
Zorya Luhansk
3
3
D
21.01.26
Fri
Lokomotiv Sofia
Podbrezová
1
0
W
14.01.26
Fri
Lokomotiv Sofia
Radnik Surdulica
0
2
L
06.12.25
Fir
Lokomotiv Sofia
Botev Plovdiv
3
2
W
28.11.25
Fir
Lokomotiv Sofia
Arda Kardzhali
0
0
D
08.11.25
Fir
Lokomotiv Sofia
Botev Vratsa
0
1
L
24.10.25
Fir
Lokomotiv Sofia
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
2
2
D
19.10.25
Fir
Lokomotiv Sofia
CSKA 1948
0
1
L
27.09.25
Fir
Lokomotiv Sofia
CSKA Sofia
1
1
D
14.09.25
Fir
Lokomotiv Sofia
Levski Sofia
1
2
L
22.08.25
Fir
Lokomotiv Sofia
Spartak Varna
0
0
D
H2H at home: Lokomotiv Sofia
18.05.26
H2H
Lokomotiv Sofia
Slavia Sofia
2
0
W
13.03.26
H2H
Lokomotiv Sofia
Slavia Sofia
1
1
D
06.04.25
H2H
Lokomotiv Sofia
Slavia Sofia
3
2
W
09.03.24
H2H
Lokomotiv Sofia
Slavia Sofia
1
2
L
23.05.23
H2H
Lokomotiv Sofia
Slavia Sofia
1
1
D
03.04.23
H2H
Lokomotiv Sofia
Slavia Sofia
2
1
W
17.03.23
H2H
Lokomotiv Sofia
Slavia Sofia
1
0
W
27.09.21
H2H
Lokomotiv Sofia
Slavia Sofia
1
0
W
Last matches: Slavia Sofia
10.05.26
Fir
Slavia Sofia
Spartak Varna
1
2
L
02.05.26
Fir
Slavia Sofia
Beroe
0
3
L
16.04.26
Fir
Slavia Sofia
Montana
0
0
D
05.04.26
Fir
Slavia Sofia
Cherno More Varna
3
1
W
13.03.26
Fir
Slavia Sofia
Lokomotiv Sofia
1
1
D
03.03.26
Fir
Slavia Sofia
Beroe
3
0
W
21.02.26
Fir
Slavia Sofia
CSKA Sofia
0
1
L
14.02.26
Fir
Slavia Sofia
Arda Kardzhali
1
2
L
08.12.25
Fir
Slavia Sofia
Ludogorets
1
1
D
24.11.25
Fir
Slavia Sofia
Botev Vratsa
1
0
W
01.11.25
Fir
Slavia Sofia
Septemvri Sofia
1
0
W
18.10.25
Fir
Slavia Sofia
Botev Plovdiv
1
1
D
28.09.25
Fir
Slavia Sofia
Spartak Varna
1
1
D
15.09.25
Fir
Slavia Sofia
CSKA 1948
1
3
L
15.08.25
Fir
Slavia Sofia
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
1
2
L
03.08.25
Fir
Slavia Sofia
Levski Sofia
0
2
L
28.07.25
Fir
Slavia Sofia
Dobrudzha
1
2
L
H2H away: Slavia Sofia
18.05.26
H2H
Lokomotiv Sofia
Slavia Sofia
2
0
L
13.03.26
H2H
Lokomotiv Sofia
Slavia Sofia
1
1
D
06.04.25
H2H
Lokomotiv Sofia
Slavia Sofia
3
2
L
09.03.24
H2H
Lokomotiv Sofia
Slavia Sofia
1
2
W
23.05.23
H2H
Lokomotiv Sofia
Slavia Sofia
1
1
D
03.04.23
H2H
Lokomotiv Sofia
Slavia Sofia
2
1
L
17.03.23
H2H
Lokomotiv Sofia
Slavia Sofia
1
0
L
27.09.21
H2H
Lokomotiv Sofia
Slavia Sofia
1
0
L

Standings

A PFG: Regular season
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 30 22 4 4 64:22 42 70
D W D W W
2 30 17 9 4 57:20 37 60
L D W W W
3 30 18 5 7 50:31 19 59
W W L W W
4 30 16 8 6 43:23 20 56
D W W W L
5 30 11 13 6 30:33 -3 46
D D W W W
6 30 11 11 8 33:26 7 44
L D L L W
7 30 12 8 10 33:27 6 44
W L W W W
8 30 11 7 12 40:37 3 40
W D W W L
9 30 10 9 11 36:33 3 39
D L W L D
10 30 9 11 10 24:26 -2 38
W L D L W
11 30 9 10 11 40:39 1 37
L W L L W
12 30 5 12 13 25:50 -25 27
D W L L L
13 30 7 5 18 23:43 -20 26
L L D L L
14 30 7 5 18 25:58 -33 26
D W D L L
15 30 4 11 15 19:44 -25 23
D L L W L
16 30 3 8 19 15:45 -30 17
D L L L L
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