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BULGARIA › FIRST LEAGUE
16.09.2026 16:00
Stadion Lokomotiv
Referee: Martin Velikov, Bulgaria
Lokomotiv Sofia
Match Timeline
CSKA Sofia
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
37'
J. Eto'o
CSKA Sofia
🔄
46'
I. Pittas ↔ S. Sensi
CSKA Sofia
🔄
59'
M. Medfai ↔ A. Taoui
Lokomotiv Sofia
🔄
59'
Caue Caruzo ↔ M. Papazov
Lokomotiv Sofia
🔄
65'
L. Godoy ↔ J. Zwarts
CSKA Sofia
🟨
67'
Mark Emilio Papazov
Lokomotiv Sofia
🔄
72'
B. Cotter ↔ Pastor
CSKA Sofia
🔄
72'
Leo Pereira ↔ M. Brahimi
CSKA Sofia
🔄
74'
Eiro ↔ K. Miloshev
Lokomotiv Sofia
🔄
74'
A. Aralica ↔ G. Minchev
Lokomotiv Sofia
🟨
77'
Georgi Minchev
Lokomotiv Sofia
🔄
82'
B. Jordao ↔ J. Gbamin
CSKA Sofia
⚽
84'
J. Zwarts
CSKA Sofia
🔄
90'
D. Kostadinov ↔ K. Chachev
Lokomotiv Sofia

Lokomotiv Sofia vs CSKA Sofia Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 66.1%
Odds 1.52
BTTS
Yes
Probability 63.2%
Odds 1.67
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 70.3%
Odds 1.55
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
66.1%
1.52 ▥
BTTS Yes
63.2%
1.67 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
70.3%
1.55 ▥
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
91.2%
1.31 ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
4.50 ▥
Correct Score 1-2
-
8.50 ▥
Probability Distribution
Lokomotiv Sofia Win 25.9%
Draw 8%
CSKA Sofia Win 66.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
Lokomotiv Sofia1.27
CSKA Sofia1.83
Recent Form (Last 5)
Lokomotiv Sofia Lokomotiv Sofia
WWDLW
22 GF / 30 GA
CSKA Sofia CSKA Sofia
WLDWL
47 GF / 31 GA
Key Stats
1.29
Average Goals Scored
1.88
1.76
Average Goals Conceded
1.24
13
BTTS Yes
13
11
Over 2.5
18
4.25
Shots on Goal
5.31

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Lokomotiv Sofia Lokomotiv Sofia 17 matches
CSKA Sofia CSKA Sofia 25 matches
Lokomotiv Sofia Statistic CSKA Sofia
3 Wins 14
7 Draws 5
7 Losses 6
22 Goals For 47
30 Goals Against 31
1.29 Avg Goals Scored 1.88
1.76 Avg Goals Conceded 1.24
13 BTTS Yes 13
14 Over 1.5 21
11 Over 2.5 18
7 Over 3.5 10
3 Clean Sheets 8
2 Failed To Score 8
4.25 Shots On Goal 5.31
10.63 Total Shots 8.75
4 Corners 4.38
42.4% Ball Possession 39.6%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 11 head-to-head meetings, Lokomotiv Sofia won 0 times, CSKA Sofia won 7 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 4:16 from Lokomotiv Sofia's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 1.82 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (92%)
Predicted formations: Lokomotiv Sofia 4-2-3-1 / CSKA Sofia 4-1-4-1
H2H summary: Lokomotiv Sofia wins 0, draws 4, CSKA Sofia wins 7

Standings

A PFG
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 9 8 1 0 21:4 17 25
D W W W W
2 10 7 3 0 24:7 17 24
D W W D W
3 9 7 2 0 16:7 9 23
W W D D W
4 10 7 1 2 19:10 9 22
W W L W L
5 10 5 2 3 15:12 3 17
D L L W W
6 10 5 1 4 16:14 2 16
W W W L L
7 10 2 5 3 9:8 1 11
L D W L D
8 10 2 4 4 10:15 -5 10
L D D D L
9 10 2 3 5 9:19 -10 9
D D W L W
10 10 2 2 6 8:18 -10 8
L L L D W
11 10 1 4 5 11:18 -7 7
W L D L D
12 10 2 1 7 5:13 -8 7
D L W L L
13 10 1 3 6 11:20 -9 6
D D L L W
14 10 1 2 7 10:19 -9 5
D L L D L
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