Liverpool
Match Timeline
Atletico Madrid
Liverpool vs Atletico Madrid Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
1X2
Away or Draw
BTTS
Yes
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
All Markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away or Draw |
72.3%
|
2.05 | |
| BTTS | Yes |
86%
|
1.53 | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
77.2%
|
1.57 | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
1.28 | |
| HT / FT | Draw / Away |
-
|
10.00 | |
| Correct Score | 1-2 |
-
|
12.00 |
Probability Distribution
Liverpool Win 27.7%
Draw 18.9%
Atletico Madrid Win 53.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
Liverpool1.61
Atletico Madrid1.69
Recent Form (Last 5)
Liverpool
WWDLW
8 GF / 7 GA
Atletico Madrid
WLDWL
15 GF / 13 GA
Key Stats
1.6
Average Goals Scored
1.88
1.4
Average Goals Conceded
1.63
3
BTTS Yes
6
3
Over 2.5
7
6
Shots on Goal
5
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Liverpool
5 matches
Atletico Madrid
8 matches
| Liverpool | Statistic | Atletico Madrid |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Wins | 4 |
| 3 | Draws | 1 |
| 1 | Losses | 3 |
| 8 | Goals For | 15 |
| 7 | Goals Against | 13 |
| 1.6 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.88 |
| 1.4 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.63 |
| 3 | BTTS Yes | 6 |
| 4 | Over 1.5 | 8 |
| 3 | Over 2.5 | 7 |
| 3 | Over 3.5 | 4 |
| 2 | Clean Sheets | 1 |
| 1 | Failed To Score | 1 |
| 6 | Shots On Goal | 5 |
| 16.67 | Total Shots | 15.25 |
| 4 | Corners | 5.25 |
| 61.7% | Ball Possession | 56.3% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 5 head-to-head meetings, Liverpool won 3 times, Atletico Madrid won 2 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 10:8 from Liverpool's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 3.6 goals per game.
1X2: Away or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (81.2%)
Predicted formations: Liverpool 4-2-3-1 / Atletico Madrid 3-5-2
Missing players: Liverpool 6, Atletico Madrid 2
H2H summary: Liverpool wins 3, draws 0, Atletico Madrid wins 2
Standings
UEFA Champions League
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6:1 | 5 | 3 |
W
|
|
| 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5:0 | 5 | 3 |
W
|
|
| 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5:1 | 4 | 3 |
W
|
|
| 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4:0 | 4 | 3 |
W
|
|
| 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4:1 | 3 | 3 |
W
|
|
| 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 3 |
W
|
|
| 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 3 |
W
|
|
| 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 3 |
W
|
|
| 9 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 3 |
W
|
|
| 10 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 3 |
W
|
|
| 11 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 3 |
W
|
|
| 12 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 3 |
W
|
|
| 13 |
Liverpool
Home
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 3 |
W
|
| 14 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 3 |
W
|
|
| 15 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
W
|
|
| 16 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
W
|
|
| 17 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
D
|
|
| 18 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
D
|
|
| 19 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
D
|
|
| 20 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
D
|
|
| 21 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 0 |
L
|
|
| 22 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 0 |
L
|
|
| 23 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 0 |
L
|
|
| 24 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 0 |
L
|
|
| 25 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 0 |
L
|
|
| 26 |
Atletico Madrid
Away
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 0 |
L
|
| 27 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
L
|
|
| 28 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
L
|
|
| 29 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 0 |
L
|
|
| 30 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 0 |
L
|
|
| 31 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 0 |
L
|
|
| 32 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:4 | -3 | 0 |
L
|
|
| 33 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:5 | -4 | 0 |
L
|
|
| 34 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:4 | -4 | 0 |
L
|
|
| 35 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:6 | -5 | 0 |
L
|
|
| 36 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:5 | -5 | 0 |
L
|
Promotion - Champions League (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
Promotion - Champions League (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)