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ITALY › COPPA ITALIA
16.08.2026 19:15
Stadio Olimpico
Referee: G. Mucera
Lazio
Match Timeline
Mantova
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
21'
Bodin Tomašević
Mantova
🟨
25'
Nicolò Rovella
Lazio
🟨
56'
Fisayo Dele-Bashiru
Lazio
🔄
56'
B. Tomasevic ↔ A. Meroni
Mantova
🔄
56'
J. Silva ↔ I. Cajazzo
Mantova
🔄
56'
R. Ilie ↔ D. Bragantini
Mantova
🔄
64'
A. Pedraza ↔ L. Pellegrini
Lazio
🔄
71'
F. Dele-Bashiru ↔ D. Frattesi
Lazio
🔄
71'
B. Dia ↔ P. Ratkov
Lazio
🔄
74'
L. Ignacchiti ↔ J. Longonda
Mantova
⚽
75'
F. Ruocco · Assist: D. Bragantini
Mantova
🟨
79'
Matteo Cancellieri
Lazio
🔄
79'
N. Rovella ↔ R. Belahyane
Lazio
🔄
79'
M. Cancellieri ↔ T. Noslin
Lazio
🔄
85'
F. Benaissa-Yahia ↔ D. Wieser
Mantova
VAR
90+6'
Ismael Cajazzo
Mantova
⚽
90'
I. Cajazzo · Assist: D. Bragantini
Mantova

Lazio vs Mantova Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 58.8%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 78.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 88%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
58.8%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
78.8%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
88%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
73%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Lazio Win 58.8%
Draw 3.8%
Mantova Win 37.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
Lazio2.8
Mantova2.8
Recent Form (Last 5)
Lazio Lazio
WWDLW
20 GF / 5 GA
Mantova Mantova
WLDWL
16 GF / 4 GA
Key Stats
4
Average Goals Scored
4
1
Average Goals Conceded
1
3
BTTS Yes
2
5
Over 2.5
3
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Lazio Lazio 5 matches
Mantova Mantova 4 matches
Lazio Statistic Mantova
5 Wins 3
0 Draws 0
0 Losses 1
20 Goals For 16
5 Goals Against 4
4 Avg Goals Scored 4
1 Avg Goals Conceded 1
3 BTTS Yes 2
5 Over 1.5 3
5 Over 2.5 3
3 Over 3.5 3
2 Clean Sheets 1
0 Failed To Score 1
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 1 head-to-head meetings, Lazio won 0 times, Mantova won 1 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 0:2 from Lazio's perspective. 0 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 0 matches, with an average of 2 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (96.2%)
Predicted formations: Lazio 4-3-3 / Mantova 3-4-2-1
H2H summary: Lazio wins 0, draws 0, Mantova wins 1