FRANCE LIGUE 2
--.--.---- --:--
Stade Francis Le Basser
Referee: F. Benchabane
Laval
Match Timeline
Rodez
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
32'
Alexis Trouillet
Rodez
🔄
42'
M. Commaret ↔ C. Kouassi
Laval
🟨
45'
Sidi Bane
Laval
🔄
65'
M. Houdayer ↔ D. Mbayo
Laval
🔄
65'
T. Vargas ↔ T. Thomas
Laval
🔄
66'
R. Ponti ↔ C. Jolibois
Rodez
🔄
77'
A. Trouillet ↔ J. Mendes
Rodez
🔄
77'
O. Joly ↔ M. Saka
Rodez
🔄
81'
M. Sellouki ↔ J. Maggiotti
Laval
🔄
81'
M. Camara ↔ E. Clavreul
Laval
🔄
88'
I. Balde ↔ K. Nagera
Rodez
🔄
88'
W. Younoussa ↔ S. Benchamma
Rodez
🟨
90+1'
Raphael Lipinski
Rodez

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 57.4%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 89%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 75.1%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
57.4%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
89%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
75.1%
-
Probability Distribution
Laval Win 38.3%
Draw 4.4%
Rodez Win 57.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
Laval1.19
Rodez1.3
Recent Form (Last 5)
Laval Laval
WWDLW
43 GF / 45 GA
Rodez Rodez
WLDWL
44 GF / 39 GA
Key Stats
1.19
Average Goals Scored
1.33
1.25
Average Goals Conceded
1.18
14
BTTS Yes
23
13
Over 2.5
16
3.47
Shots on Goal
3.77

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Laval Laval 36 matches
Rodez Rodez 33 matches
Laval Statistic Rodez
9 Wins 14
13 Draws 12
14 Losses 7
43 Goals For 44
45 Goals Against 39
1.19 Avg Goals Scored 1.33
1.25 Avg Goals Conceded 1.18
14 BTTS Yes 23
26 Over 1.5 25
13 Over 2.5 16
9 Over 3.5 7
11 Clean Sheets 6
15 Failed To Score 6
3.47 Shots On Goal 3.77
8.91 Total Shots 11.1
4.65 Corners 4.52
45% Ball Possession 40.2%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Rodez's more proactive style and Laval's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Laval expected to line up in 3-4-2-1 and Rodez in 5-3-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Rodez having the stronger overall control. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Rodez. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Rodez carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 6 with 51 points while Laval sit 16 on 28, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely.

Laval Analysis

Laval sit 16 with 28 points after 31 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. The overall return of 5 wins, 13 draws, and 13 defeats with a 26:43 goal balance points toward mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on M. Camara (8 goals), E. Clavreul (5 goals), M. Sellouki (4 goals), with creative support from M. Tchokounte (3 assists), T. Vargas (3 assists), M. Sellouki (2 assists), while defensively they have looked quite vulnerable. At home, they have returned 1 wins, 7 draws, and 7 losses, which indicates a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach. They are not at full strength, with P. Ouaneh unavailable, although the overall attacking core still looks largely intact.

Rodez Analysis

From their first 31 matches, Rodez have collected 51 points and now occupy 6 place in the table. The record of 13 wins, 12 draws, and 6 defeats, together with a 36:34 goal balance, points toward good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Ibrahima Baldé (9 goals), K. Nagera (4 goals), S. Benchamma (4 goals), with creative support from E. Jean-Lambert (9 assists), Nolan Galves (6 assists), Mathis Saka (3 assists), while at the back they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, the record of 6 wins, 5 draws, and 4 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 12 head-to-head meetings, Laval won 5 times, Rodez won 4 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 15:12 from Laval's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.25 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.6%)
Predicted formations: Laval 3-4-2-1 / Rodez 5-3-2
Missing players: Laval 1, Rodez 0
H2H summary: Laval wins 5, draws 3, Rodez wins 4
Stats
Laval Laval
Rodez Rodez
Shots on Goal
3
Shots on Goal
1
Shots off Goal
1
Shots off Goal
4
Blocked Shots
1
Blocked Shots
7
2 Corner Kicks 6
11 Fouls 15
1 Offsides 6
53% Ball Possession 47%
5 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Goal 1
1 Shots off Goal 4
1 Blocked Shots 7
0 Shots insidebox 7
5 Shots outsidebox 5
1 Goalkeeper Saves 4
431 Total passes 364
341 Passes accurate 279
0 expected_goals 0
🟨 1 Yellow Cards 2 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Laval
Formation
Rodez
M. Samassa
M. Samassa
P. Ouaneh
P. Ouaneh
S. Bane
S. Bane
W. Bianda
W. Bianda
T. Vargas
T. Vargas
C. Mandouki
C. Mandouki
S. Sanna
S. Sanna
M. Commaret
M. Commaret
M. Sellouki
M. Sellouki
M. Houdayer
M. Houdayer
M. Camara
M. Camara
Q. Braat
Q. Braat
N. Galves
N. Galves
L. Laurent
L. Laurent
M. Magnin
M. Magnin
R. Lipinski
R. Lipinski
R. Ponti
R. Ponti
W. Younoussa
W. Younoussa
A. Trouillet
A. Trouillet
O. Joly
O. Joly
I. Balde
I. Balde
T. Arconte
T. Arconte
Laval 3-4-2-1
Starting XI
30
M. Samassa
G
4
P. Ouaneh
D
24
S. Bane
🟨 45'
D
3
W. Bianda
D
7
T. Vargas
↓ 65'
M
14
C. Mandouki
M
6
S. Sanna
M
12
M. Commaret
↓ 42'
M
10
M. Sellouki
↓ 81'
F
31
M. Houdayer
↓ 65'
F
9
M. Camara
↓ 81'
F
Substitutes
1
M. Hautbois
G
15
D. Mbayo
↑ 65'
F
22
C. Kouassi
↑ 42'
D
23
Y. Tavares
D
8
T. Thomas
↑ 65'
M
28
J. Maggiotti
↑ 81'
M
20
E. Clavreul
↑ 81'
M
Rodez 5-3-2
Starting XI
1
Q. Braat
G
25
N. Galves
D
24
L. Laurent
4
M. Magnin
D
3
R. Lipinski
🟨 90+1'
D
20
R. Ponti
↓ 66'
D
8
W. Younoussa
↓ 88'
M
27
A. Trouillet
↓ 77' 🟨 32'
M
22
O. Joly
↓ 77'
M
18
I. Balde
↓ 88'
F
11
T. Arconte
F
Substitutes
16
L. Margueron
G
9
K. Nagera
↑ 88'
F
6
J. Mendes
↑ 77'
M
28
M. Saka
↑ 77'
M
26
S. Benchamma
↑ 88'
M
5
C. Jolibois
↑ 66'
D
Last matches: Laval
24.05.26
Lig
Laval
Rouen
1
0
W
19.05.26
Lig
Laval
Rouen
1
1
D
09.05.26
Lig
Laval
Boulogne
2
1
W
02.05.26
Lig
Laval
Estac Troyes
0
4
L
20.04.26
Lig
Laval
Dunkerque
2
0
W
10.04.26
Lig
Laval
Reims
2
2
D
03.04.26
Lig
Laval
RED Star FC 93
0
0
D
20.03.26
Lig
Laval
Grenoble
3
2
W
13.03.26
Lig
Laval
Montpellier
0
2
L
06.03.26
Lig
Laval
Guingamp
2
2
D
27.02.26
Lig
Laval
Nancy
1
1
D
21.02.26
Lig
Laval
Saint Etienne
1
2
L
13.02.26
Lig
Laval
Annecy
2
2
D
07.02.26
Lig
Laval
Le Mans
1
1
D
04.02.26
Cou
Laval
Lyon
0
2
L
30.01.26
Lig
Laval
PAU
0
1
L
23.01.26
Lig
Laval
Amiens
0
0
D
16.01.26
Lig
Laval
Bastia
0
2
L
10.01.26
Cou
Laval
Istres
2
0
W
03.01.26
Lig
Laval
Clermont Foot
1
4
L
Last matches: Rodez
15.05.26
Lig
Rodez
Saint Etienne
0
0
D
12.05.26
Lig
Rodez
RED Star FC 93
3
2
W
09.05.26
Lig
Rodez
Annecy
2
1
W
02.05.26
Lig
Rodez
Saint Etienne
2
1
W
17.04.26
Lig
Rodez
Amiens
3
2
W
13.04.26
Lig
Rodez
Estac Troyes
2
1
W
03.04.26
Lig
Rodez
Dunkerque
1
1
D
20.03.26
Lig
Rodez
Bastia
1
1
D
14.03.26
Lig
Rodez
Reims
2
1
W
06.03.26
Lig
Rodez
Grenoble
1
0
W
28.02.26
Lig
Rodez
Guingamp
0
0
D
20.02.26
Lig
Rodez
Montpellier
1
0
W
13.02.26
Lig
Rodez
Clermont Foot
2
1
W
06.02.26
Lig
Rodez
Boulogne
2
1
W
30.01.26
Lig
Rodez
RED Star FC 93
1
1
D
23.01.26
Lig
Rodez
Nancy
3
1
W
16.01.26
Lig
Rodez
Le Mans
1
1
D
03.01.26
Lig
Rodez
PAU
3
3
D
12.12.25
Lig
Rodez
Guingamp
2
1
W
06.12.25
Lig
Rodez
Estac Troyes
1
1
D
H2H: Laval vs Rodez
24.04.26
H2H
Laval
Rodez
0
0
D
22.08.25
H2H
Rodez
Laval
1
1
D
18.04.25
H2H
Laval
Rodez
2
1
W
24.09.24
H2H
Rodez
Laval
1
3
W
27.01.24
H2H
Rodez
Laval
1
2
W
19.08.23
H2H
Laval
Rodez
1
0
W
15.04.23
H2H
Rodez
Laval
1
0
L
13.01.23
H2H
Laval
Rodez
3
1
W
09.05.19
H2H
Laval
Rodez
1
1
D
20.12.18
H2H
Rodez
Laval
2
1
L
20.01.18
H2H
Laval
Rodez
1
2
L
18.08.17
H2H
Rodez
Laval
1
0
L
Last matches: Laval
24.05.26
Lig
Laval
Rouen
1
0
W
09.05.26
Lig
Laval
Boulogne
2
1
W
10.04.26
Lig
Laval
Reims
2
2
D
20.03.26
Lig
Laval
Grenoble
3
2
W
06.03.26
Lig
Laval
Guingamp
2
2
D
27.02.26
Lig
Laval
Nancy
1
1
D
13.02.26
Lig
Laval
Annecy
2
2
D
30.01.26
Lig
Laval
PAU
0
1
L
16.01.26
Lig
Laval
Bastia
0
2
L
12.12.25
Lig
Laval
Dunkerque
1
2
L
29.11.25
Cou
Laval
Saint-Pauloise
6
0
W
21.11.25
Lig
Laval
Estac Troyes
0
1
L
28.10.25
Lig
Laval
Le Mans
1
1
D
18.10.25
Lig
Laval
RED Star FC 93
0
1
L
27.09.25
Lig
Laval
Montpellier
0
1
L
19.09.25
Lig
Laval
Amiens
0
3
L
29.08.25
Lig
Laval
Clermont Foot
0
0
D
09.08.25
Lig
Laval
Saint Etienne
3
3
D
H2H at home: Laval
24.04.26
H2H
Laval
Rodez
0
0
D
18.04.25
H2H
Laval
Rodez
2
1
W
19.08.23
H2H
Laval
Rodez
1
0
W
13.01.23
H2H
Laval
Rodez
3
1
W
09.05.19
H2H
Laval
Rodez
1
1
D
20.01.18
H2H
Laval
Rodez
1
2
L
Last matches: Rodez
15.05.26
Lig
Rodez
Saint Etienne
0
0
D
12.05.26
Lig
Rodez
RED Star FC 93
3
2
W
09.05.26
Lig
Rodez
Annecy
2
1
W
03.04.26
Lig
Rodez
Dunkerque
1
1
D
14.03.26
Lig
Rodez
Reims
2
1
W
28.02.26
Lig
Rodez
Guingamp
0
0
D
13.02.26
Lig
Rodez
Clermont Foot
2
1
W
06.02.26
Lig
Rodez
Boulogne
2
1
W
23.01.26
Lig
Rodez
Nancy
3
1
W
03.01.26
Lig
Rodez
PAU
3
3
D
06.12.25
Lig
Rodez
Estac Troyes
1
1
D
29.11.25
Cou
Rodez
Canet Roussillon
0
1
L
15.11.25
Cou
Rodez
Lavaur
3
1
W
07.11.25
Lig
Rodez
Grenoble
1
2
L
31.10.25
Lig
Rodez
Montpellier
0
2
L
25.10.25
Lig
Rodez
Amiens
1
2
L
04.10.25
Lig
Rodez
RED Star FC 93
1
1
D
23.09.25
Lig
Rodez
Bastia
3
2
W
12.09.25
Lig
Rodez
Le Mans
1
0
W
16.08.25
Lig
Rodez
Saint Etienne
0
4
L
H2H away: Rodez
24.04.26
H2H
Laval
Rodez
0
0
D
18.04.25
H2H
Laval
Rodez
2
1
L
19.08.23
H2H
Laval
Rodez
1
0
L
13.01.23
H2H
Laval
Rodez
3
1
L
09.05.19
H2H
Laval
Rodez
1
1
D
20.01.18
H2H
Laval
Rodez
1
2
W

Standings

Ligue 2
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 34 20 7 7 60:33 27 67
L W W W L
2 34 16 14 4 50:31 19 62
W D D W D
3 34 18 6 10 59:38 21 60
W L L L W
4 34 16 10 8 45:37 8 58
D W W L W
5
Rodez Away
34 15 13 6 45:39 6 58
W W D W W
6 34 14 14 6 53:35 18 56
W D D W D
7 34 15 7 12 49:39 10 52
L W W W D
8 34 14 9 11 41:31 10 51
D L W W D
9 34 12 9 13 48:62 -14 45
L L L W W
10 34 11 10 13 53:45 8 43
L L W L L
11 34 10 10 14 42:49 -7 40
L L L L D
12 34 8 15 11 33:39 -6 39
W W D L D
13 34 9 10 15 38:44 -6 37
W W D L D
14 34 9 10 15 35:52 -17 37
W W D L D
15 34 9 9 16 34:49 -15 36
L L L L D
16
Laval Home
34 6 14 14 30:48 -18 32
W D W L D
17 34 5 13 16 23:39 -16 28
L W D W L
18 34 6 6 22 37:65 -28 24
L L L L L
Promotion
Promotion Playoffs
Relegation Playoffs
Relegation

Missing Players

Laval 1 missing
-
P. Ouaneh
Missing Fixture Jumpers knee
OUT
Rodez 0 missing
No missing players data