Las Palmas vs Burgos Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | No Draw |
94.9%
|
1.30 | |
| BTTS | Yes |
75%
|
2.00 | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
64.5%
|
2.23 | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
73.8%
|
1.40 | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
3.10 | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
9.00 |
Las Palmas
Burgos
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Las Palmas
10 matches
Burgos
10 matches
| Las Palmas | Statistic | Burgos |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Wins | 4 |
| 1 | Draws | 4 |
| 4 | Losses | 2 |
| 14 | Goals For | 12 |
| 13 | Goals Against | 10 |
| 1.4 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.2 |
| 1.3 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1 |
| 5 | BTTS Yes | 4 |
| 6 | Over 1.5 | 6 |
| 5 | Over 2.5 | 4 |
| 3 | Over 3.5 | 3 |
| 3 | Clean Sheets | 4 |
| 3 | Failed To Score | 4 |
| 3.8 | Shots On Goal | 2.8 |
| 9.8 | Total Shots | 11 |
| 4 | Corners | 3.6 |
| 53.2% | Ball Possession | 52.2% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This match looks like a contest between two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Burgos. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.
Las Palmas come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 2 place with 10 points after 5 matches. With 3 wins, 1 draws, and 1 defeats plus a goal balance of 7:6, they continue to show good form over their recent run. Their attacking quality is driven by T. Miyashiro (2 goals), Manu Fuster (1 goals), Jesé (1 goals), with creative support from T. Miyashiro (2 assists), Iñaki González Zambrano (1 assists), Elías Romero (1 assists), and at the back they have appeared very solid. At home, the split of 1 wins, 1 draws, and 0 losses supports the view of a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.
Burgos come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 5 with 8 points from 5 matches. Their overall return of 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses with goals at 8:6 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Álex Forés (2 goals), David González (1 goals), Curro Sánchez (1 goals), with creative support from David González (1 assists), Curro Sánchez (1 assists), Jon Karrikaburu (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, the record of 0 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses points toward a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.
Across those 6 head-to-head meetings, Las Palmas won 0 times, Burgos won 2 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 0:4 from Las Palmas's perspective. 0 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 0 matches, with an average of 0.67 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 18:7 | 11 | 21 |
W
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 15:3 | 12 | 20 |
D
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 3 | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 13:5 | 8 | 18 |
W
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 4 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 14:8 | 6 | 14 |
D
W
W
L
W
|
|
| 5 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 8:3 | 5 | 14 |
D
L
W
W
D
|
|
| 6 |
Burgos
Away
|
8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 12:9 | 3 | 14 |
L
W
W
W
D
|
| 7 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 8:6 | 2 | 13 |
D
D
W
L
W
|
|
| 8 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 8:8 | 0 | 13 |
W
L
W
L
L
|
|
| 9 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 13:13 | 0 | 11 |
W
L
L
D
L
|
|
| 10 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 8:8 | 0 | 11 |
L
W
L
W
D
|
|
| 11 |
Las Palmas
Home
|
8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 12:13 | -1 | 11 |
D
L
L
W
D
|
| 12 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 10:12 | -2 | 11 |
L
D
L
W
D
|
|
| 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 6:11 | -5 | 11 |
L
L
W
L
D
|
|
| 14 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 8:11 | -3 | 9 |
D
W
D
L
W
|
|
| 15 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 13:18 | -5 | 9 |
W
L
W
L
L
|
|
| 16 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 11:13 | -2 | 8 |
L
L
L
W
D
|
|
| 17 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8:10 | -2 | 8 |
W
L
L
W
D
|
|
| 18 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 10:14 | -4 | 8 |
L
D
L
L
W
|
|
| 19 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 11:10 | 1 | 7 |
W
D
L
L
L
|
|
| 20 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 12:15 | -3 | 7 |
D
W
L
L
L
|
|
| 21 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 7:18 | -11 | 5 |
D
W
D
L
L
|
|
| 22 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5:15 | -10 | 1 |
L
L
L
D
L
|