Login Register
20.09.2026 16:30
Estadio de Gran Canaria
Referee: Jose Luis Guzman Mansilla, Spain
Las Palmas
Match Timeline
Burgos
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
29'
Manuel Fuster
Las Palmas
🟨
34'
Enzo Loiodice
Las Palmas
⚽
37'
Jese · Assist: M. Fuster
Las Palmas
🔄
46'
M. Exposito ↔ J. Gragera
Burgos
🔄
46'
C. Sanchez ↔ A. Fores
Burgos
🟨
56'
José Gragera
Burgos
⚽
58'
A. Fores · Assist: J. Karrikaburu
Burgos
🔄
64'
M. Fuster ↔ R. Cruz
Las Palmas
🔄
67'
B. Martinez ↔ I. Vilarrasa
Burgos
🔄
67'
J. Karrikaburu ↔ V. Mollejo
Burgos
🔄
71'
Ivan Jaime ↔ J. Betancor
Las Palmas
🔄
71'
T. Miyashiro ↔ S. Ramirez
Las Palmas
🟨
73'
Oier Luengo
Burgos
🔄
75'
O. Luengo ↔ I. Martinez
Burgos
🔄
80'
Jese ↔ I. Medina
Las Palmas
🔄
80'
K. Rodriguez ↔ E. Romero
Las Palmas
🟨
87'
Grego Sierra
Burgos
⚽
90'
D. Gonzalez Ballesteros · Assist: J. Llabres
Burgos

Las Palmas vs Burgos Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 94.9%
Odds 1.30
BTTS
Yes
Probability 75%
Odds 2.00
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 64.5%
Odds 2.23
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
94.9%
1.30 ▥
BTTS Yes
75%
2.00 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
64.5%
2.23 ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
73.8%
1.40 ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
3.10 ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
9.00 ▥
Probability Distribution
Las Palmas Win 43.4%
Draw 5.1%
Burgos Win 51.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
Las Palmas1.24
Burgos1.24
Recent Form (Last 5)
Las Palmas Las Palmas
WWDLW
14 GF / 13 GA
Burgos Burgos
WLDWL
12 GF / 10 GA
Key Stats
1.4
Average Goals Scored
1.2
1.3
Average Goals Conceded
1
5
BTTS Yes
4
5
Over 2.5
4
3.8
Shots on Goal
2.8

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Las Palmas Las Palmas 10 matches
Burgos Burgos 10 matches
Las Palmas Statistic Burgos
5 Wins 4
1 Draws 4
4 Losses 2
14 Goals For 12
13 Goals Against 10
1.4 Avg Goals Scored 1.2
1.3 Avg Goals Conceded 1
5 BTTS Yes 4
6 Over 1.5 6
5 Over 2.5 4
3 Over 3.5 3
3 Clean Sheets 4
3 Failed To Score 4
3.8 Shots On Goal 2.8
9.8 Total Shots 11
4 Corners 3.6
53.2% Ball Possession 52.2%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match looks like a contest between two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Burgos. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.

Las Palmas Analysis

Las Palmas come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 2 place with 10 points after 5 matches. With 3 wins, 1 draws, and 1 defeats plus a goal balance of 7:6, they continue to show good form over their recent run. Their attacking quality is driven by T. Miyashiro (2 goals), Manu Fuster (1 goals), Jesé (1 goals), with creative support from T. Miyashiro (2 assists), Iñaki González Zambrano (1 assists), Elías Romero (1 assists), and at the back they have appeared very solid. At home, the split of 1 wins, 1 draws, and 0 losses supports the view of a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

Burgos Analysis

Burgos come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 5 with 8 points from 5 matches. Their overall return of 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses with goals at 8:6 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Álex Forés (2 goals), David González (1 goals), Curro Sánchez (1 goals), with creative support from David González (1 assists), Curro Sánchez (1 assists), Jon Karrikaburu (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, the record of 0 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses points toward a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 6 head-to-head meetings, Las Palmas won 0 times, Burgos won 2 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 0:4 from Las Palmas's perspective. 0 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 0 matches, with an average of 0.67 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (94.9%)
Predicted formations: Las Palmas 4-4-2 / Burgos 4-4-2
H2H summary: Las Palmas wins 0, draws 4, Burgos wins 2

Standings

Segunda
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 8 7 0 1 18:7 11 21
W W W W W
2 8 6 2 0 15:3 12 20
D W W W W
3 8 6 0 2 13:5 8 18
W W W W W
4 8 4 2 2 14:8 6 14
D W W L W
5 8 4 2 2 8:3 5 14
D L W W D
6 8 4 2 2 12:9 3 14
L W W W D
7 8 3 4 1 8:6 2 13
D D W L W
8 8 4 1 3 8:8 0 13
W L W L L
9 8 3 2 3 13:13 0 11
W L L D L
10 8 3 2 3 8:8 0 11
L W L W D
11 8 3 2 3 12:13 -1 11
D L L W D
12 8 3 2 3 10:12 -2 11
L D L W D
13 8 3 2 3 6:11 -5 11
L L W L D
14 8 2 3 3 8:11 -3 9
D W D L W
15 8 3 0 5 13:18 -5 9
W L W L L
16 8 2 2 4 11:13 -2 8
L L L W D
17 8 2 2 4 8:10 -2 8
W L L W D
18 8 2 2 4 10:14 -4 8
L D L L W
19 8 1 4 3 11:10 1 7
W D L L L
20 8 2 1 5 12:15 -3 7
D W L L L
21 8 1 2 5 7:18 -11 5
D W D L L
22 8 0 1 7 5:15 -10 1
L L L D L
Promotion - LaLiga
Promotion - LaLiga2 (Promotion - Play Offs: Semi-finals)
Relegation