Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
All Markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|
Probability Distribution
Lanus Win 0%
Draw 0%
Independiente Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Lanus1.15
Independiente1.41
Recent Form (Last 5)
Lanus
WWDLW
26 GF / 27 GA
Independiente
WLDWL
31 GF / 25 GA
Key Stats
1.04
Average Goals Scored
1.63
1.08
Average Goals Conceded
1.32
8
BTTS Yes
13
9
Over 2.5
8
3.91
Shots on Goal
4.06
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Lanus
25 matches
Independiente
19 matches
| Lanus | Statistic | Independiente |
|---|---|---|
| 10 | Wins | 8 |
| 6 | Draws | 6 |
| 9 | Losses | 5 |
| 26 | Goals For | 31 |
| 27 | Goals Against | 25 |
| 1.04 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.63 |
| 1.08 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.32 |
| 8 | BTTS Yes | 13 |
| 14 | Over 1.5 | 17 |
| 9 | Over 2.5 | 8 |
| 5 | Over 3.5 | 5 |
| 10 | Clean Sheets | 5 |
| 10 | Failed To Score | 1 |
| 3.91 | Shots On Goal | 4.06 |
| 11.78 | Total Shots | 12.59 |
| 4.52 | Corners | 5.53 |
| 52.3% | Ball Possession | 52.7% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Lanus won 8 times, Independiente won 2 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 17:10 from Lanus's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 1.8 goals per game.
Predicted formations: Lanus 4-2-3-1 / Independiente 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Lanus wins 8, draws 5, Independiente wins 2
Last matches: Lanus
30.05.26
Cop
Lanus
Instituto Cordoba
1
2
L
26.05.26
CON
Lanus
Mirassol
1
0
W
21.05.26
CON
Lanus
LDU de Quito
0
2
L
10.05.26
Lig
Lanus
Argentinos JRS
0
2
L
06.05.26
CON
Lanus
Always Ready
0
4
L
02.05.26
Lig
Lanus
Deportivo Riestra
0
0
D
28.04.26
CON
Lanus
LDU de Quito
1
0
W
24.04.26
Lig
Lanus
Central Cordoba de Santiago
0
0
D
21.04.26
Lig
Lanus
Gimnasia M.
0
1
L
16.04.26
CON
Lanus
Always Ready
1
0
W
13.04.26
Lig
Lanus
Banfield
1
0
W
08.04.26
CON
Lanus
Mirassol
0
1
L
01.04.26
Lig
Lanus
Platense
0
0
D
27.03.26
Lig
Lanus
Argentinos JRS
1
2
L
21.03.26
Lig
Lanus
Velez Sarsfield
1
0
W
17.03.26
Lig
Lanus
Newells Old Boys
5
0
W
13.03.26
Lig
Lanus
Estudiantes L.P.
1
0
W
05.03.26
Lig
Lanus
Boca Juniors
0
3
L
02.03.26
Lig
Lanus
Defensa Y Justicia
1
1
D
13.02.26
Lig
Lanus
Independiente
0
2
L
Last matches: Independiente
22.05.26
Cop
Independiente
Union Santa Fe
2
0
W
10.05.26
Lig
Independiente
Rosario Central
1
3
L
02.05.26
Lig
Independiente
San Lorenzo
2
1
W
24.04.26
Lig
Independiente
Deportivo Riestra
0
2
L
18.04.26
Lig
Independiente
Defensa Y Justicia
3
1
W
11.04.26
Lig
Independiente
Boca Juniors
1
1
D
04.04.26
Lig
Independiente
Racing Club
1
0
W
27.03.26
Cop
Independiente
Atenas
4
2
W
21.03.26
Lig
Independiente
Talleres Cordoba
1
2
L
17.03.26
Lig
Independiente
Instituto Cordoba
1
2
L
10.03.26
Lig
Independiente
Union Santa Fe
4
4
D
28.02.26
Lig
Independiente
Central Cordoba de Santiago
2
0
W
25.02.26
Lig
Independiente
Gimnasia M.
1
1
D
21.02.26
Lig
Independiente
Independ. Rivadavia
2
3
L
13.02.26
Lig
Independiente
Lanus
2
0
W
08.02.26
Lig
Independiente
Platense
1
0
W
31.01.26
Lig
Independiente
Velez Sarsfield
1
1
D
28.01.26
Lig
Independiente
Newells Old Boys
1
1
D
23.01.26
Lig
Independiente
Estudiantes L.P.
1
1
D
H2H: Lanus vs Independiente
13.02.26
H2H
Independiente
Lanus
2
0
L
13.10.25
H2H
Independiente
Lanus
0
2
W
06.04.25
H2H
Lanus
Independiente
1
1
D
18.10.24
H2H
Lanus
Independiente
0
2
L
27.05.23
H2H
Independiente
Lanus
1
1
D
13.08.22
H2H
Lanus
Independiente
1
1
D
01.05.22
H2H
Lanus
Independiente
1
0
W
13.09.21
H2H
Independiente
Lanus
0
1
W
16.02.21
H2H
Independiente
Lanus
0
1
W
17.12.20
H2H
Independiente
Lanus
1
3
W
10.12.20
H2H
Lanus
Independiente
0
0
D
25.10.19
H2H
Independiente
Lanus
0
2
W
15.09.19
H2H
Independiente
Lanus
2
2
D
27.11.18
H2H
Lanus
Independiente
1
0
W
16.09.17
H2H
Independiente
Lanus
0
1
W
Last matches: Lanus
26.05.26
CON
Lanus
Mirassol
1
0
W
02.05.26
Lig
Lanus
Deportivo Riestra
0
0
D
28.04.26
CON
Lanus
LDU de Quito
1
0
W
24.04.26
Lig
Lanus
Central Cordoba de Santiago
0
0
D
16.04.26
CON
Lanus
Always Ready
1
0
W
13.04.26
Lig
Lanus
Banfield
1
0
W
01.04.26
Lig
Lanus
Platense
0
0
D
17.03.26
Lig
Lanus
Newells Old Boys
5
0
W
05.03.26
Lig
Lanus
Boca Juniors
0
3
L
09.02.26
Lig
Lanus
Talleres Cordoba
1
1
D
29.01.26
Lig
Lanus
Union Santa Fe
2
1
W
19.01.26
Cop
Lanus
Sarmiento de La Banda
4
1
W
H2H at home: Lanus
06.04.25
H2H
Lanus
Independiente
1
1
D
18.10.24
H2H
Lanus
Independiente
0
2
L
13.08.22
H2H
Lanus
Independiente
1
1
D
01.05.22
H2H
Lanus
Independiente
1
0
W
10.12.20
H2H
Lanus
Independiente
0
0
D
27.11.18
H2H
Lanus
Independiente
1
0
W
Last matches: Independiente
22.05.26
Cop
Independiente
Union Santa Fe
2
0
W
10.05.26
Lig
Independiente
Rosario Central
1
3
L
02.05.26
Lig
Independiente
San Lorenzo
2
1
W
24.04.26
Lig
Independiente
Deportivo Riestra
0
2
L
11.04.26
Lig
Independiente
Boca Juniors
1
1
D
17.03.26
Lig
Independiente
Instituto Cordoba
1
2
L
25.02.26
Lig
Independiente
Gimnasia M.
1
1
D
21.02.26
Lig
Independiente
Independ. Rivadavia
2
3
L
08.02.26
Lig
Independiente
Platense
1
0
W
28.01.26
Lig
Independiente
Newells Old Boys
1
1
D
H2H away: Independiente
06.04.25
H2H
Lanus
Independiente
1
1
D
18.10.24
H2H
Lanus
Independiente
0
2
W
13.08.22
H2H
Lanus
Independiente
1
1
D
01.05.22
H2H
Lanus
Independiente
1
0
L
10.12.20
H2H
Lanus
Independiente
0
0
D
27.11.18
H2H
Lanus
Independiente
1
0
L
Standings
Apertura - Group A
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 19:7 | 12 | 31 |
L
W
D
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 22:9 | 13 | 30 |
L
W
W
W
D
|
|
| 3 | 16 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 18:12 | 6 | 28 |
L
D
D
D
W
|
|
| 4 | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 17:13 | 4 | 26 |
L
D
D
W
W
|
|
| 5 |
Independiente
Away
|
16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 24:20 | 4 | 24 |
L
W
L
W
D
|
| 6 |
Lanus
Home
|
16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 18:15 | 3 | 24 |
L
D
D
L
W
|
| 7 | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 14:14 | 0 | 22 |
L
L
W
D
D
|
|
| 8 | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 24:20 | 4 | 21 |
L
W
D
D
L
|
|
| 9 | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 17:17 | 0 | 21 |
W
D
L
W
W
|
|
| 10 | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 18:21 | -3 | 19 |
L
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 11 | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 14:22 | -8 | 19 |
W
L
W
D
W
|
|
| 12 | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 10:15 | -5 | 16 |
L
L
L
D
D
|
|
| 13 | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 11:21 | -10 | 16 |
L
D
W
L
L
|
|
| 14 | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 15:27 | -12 | 15 |
D
D
W
D
W
|
|
| 15 | 16 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 5:12 | -7 | 11 |
D
W
L
L
L
|
Knockout Phase