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FINLAND › VEIKKAUSLIIGA
01.08.2026 15:00
Lahden Stadion
Referee: Peiman Simani, Finland
Lahti
Match Timeline
FF Jaro
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
9'
M. Sarr · Assist: R. Sans
Lahti
🟨
43'
Tòfol Montiel
Lahti
🔄
46'
J. Brunell ↔ M. Ogungbaro
FF Jaro
🔄
62'
O. Kass Kawo ↔ A. Vidjeskog
FF Jaro
🔄
70'
K. Harden ↔ V. Vuorinen
FF Jaro
🔄
72'
Martim Augusto ↔ A. Belabid
Lahti
🔄
72'
O. Koskinen ↔ D. Heikkinen
Lahti
🔄
80'
M. Sarr ↔ J. Ojanen
Lahti
🔄
80'
J. Myrevik ↔ A. Bjonback
FF Jaro
⚽
81'
J. Ojanen · Assist: Neemias
Lahti
🔄
83'
Neemias ↔ A. Lindholm
Lahti
🔄
83'
Y. Cassubie ↔ A. Kabashi
Lahti

Lahti vs FF Jaro Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 87.5%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 67.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 48.9%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
87.5%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
67.1%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
48.9%
- ▥
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
78.6%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Lahti Win 87.5%
Draw 6.3%
FF Jaro Win 6.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
Lahti1.52
FF Jaro1.03
Recent Form (Last 5)
Lahti Lahti
WWDLW
27 GF / 21 GA
FF Jaro FF Jaro
WLDWL
23 GF / 41 GA
Key Stats
1.29
Average Goals Scored
1.05
1
Average Goals Conceded
1.86
11
BTTS Yes
13
7
Over 2.5
13
2.41
Shots on Goal
2.29

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Lahti Lahti 21 matches
FF Jaro FF Jaro 22 matches
Lahti Statistic FF Jaro
7 Wins 4
7 Draws 7
7 Losses 11
27 Goals For 23
21 Goals Against 41
1.29 Avg Goals Scored 1.05
1 Avg Goals Conceded 1.86
11 BTTS Yes 13
15 Over 1.5 18
7 Over 2.5 13
4 Over 3.5 6
6 Clean Sheets 4
5 Failed To Score 7
2.41 Shots On Goal 2.29
7.24 Total Shots 5.94
3 Corners 2.35
33.1% Ball Possession 27.4%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match looks like a contest between Lahti's more proactive style and FF Jaro's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward FF Jaro. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Lahti Analysis

So far, Lahti have built a campaign that leaves them 7 in the table on 22 points from 16 matches. The record of 6 wins, 4 draws, and 6 defeats, together with a 20:15 goal balance, points toward good form and are on a winning streak. Much of their attacking threat comes through Martim Ferreira (1 goals), Tòfol Montiel (1 goals), Y. Cassubie (1 goals), with creative support from Martim Ferreira (1 assists), Tòfol Montiel (1 assists), R. Sans (1 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. At home, their split return of 4 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

FF Jaro Analysis

FF Jaro sit 10 with 15 points after 17 league matches. Their overall return of 3 wins, 6 draws, and 8 losses with goals at 17:33 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by H. Sjögrell (3 goals), R. Vikström (1 goals), with creative support from F. Østigård Ness (2 assists), H. Sjögrell (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared fairly stable. Away from home, the record of 0 wins, 2 draws, and 6 losses points toward a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Lahti won 6 times, FF Jaro won 6 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 21:22 from Lahti's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.87 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (93.7%)
Predicted formations: Lahti 4-3-3 / FF Jaro 4-3-3
H2H summary: Lahti wins 6, draws 3, FF Jaro wins 6

Standings

Veikkausliiga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 22 12 7 3 38:23 15 43
W D D L L
2 22 11 9 2 29:16 13 42
W W L W D
3 22 11 4 7 36:27 9 37
D D W W L
4 22 10 6 6 36:29 7 36
D W D D W
5 22 10 4 8 25:25 0 34
L L L D W
6 22 9 6 7 29:22 7 33
L L W L W
7
Lahti Home
22 9 5 8 26:19 7 32
D L W W W
8 22 8 7 7 28:23 5 31
L L D D D
9 22 7 4 11 34:37 -3 25
W W W L L
10 22 4 7 11 25:33 -8 19
W D D D L
11 22 3 6 13 18:44 -26 15
D D L L L
12 22 3 5 14 17:43 -26 14
L W L W W
Play-offs
Relegation Play-offs