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FINLAND › VEIKKAUSLIIGA
08.10.2026 16:00
Savon Sanomat Areena

KuPS vs AC Oulu Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 50.8%
Odds 1.60
BTTS
No
Probability 73.1%
Odds 1.91
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 61.3%
Odds 1.91
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
50.8%
1.60 ▥
BTTS No
73.1%
1.91 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
61.3%
1.91 ▥
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
80.2%
1.22 ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
2.50 ▥
Correct Score 2-0
-
7.50 ▥
Probability Distribution
KuPS Win 50.8%
Draw 16.5%
AC Oulu Win 32.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
KuPS1.34
AC Oulu1.04
Recent Form (Last 5)
KuPS KuPS
WWDLW
52 GF / 34 GA
AC Oulu AC Oulu
WLDWL
30 GF / 32 GA
Key Stats
1.44
Average Goals Scored
1.11
0.94
Average Goals Conceded
1.19
19
BTTS Yes
12
12
Over 2.5
10
2.09
Shots on Goal
1.96

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

KuPS KuPS 36 matches
AC Oulu AC Oulu 27 matches
KuPS Statistic AC Oulu
17 Wins 11
12 Draws 5
7 Losses 11
52 Goals For 30
34 Goals Against 32
1.44 Avg Goals Scored 1.11
0.94 Avg Goals Conceded 1.19
19 BTTS Yes 12
27 Over 1.5 15
12 Over 2.5 10
7 Over 3.5 5
13 Clean Sheets 9
7 Failed To Score 8
2.09 Shots On Goal 1.96
5.12 Total Shots 5.36
2.27 Corners 2
25.1% Ball Possession 21.4%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights KuPS's more proactive style and AC Oulu's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. AC Oulu arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors AC Oulu. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

KuPS Analysis

KuPS come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 1 with 43 points from 22 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 12 wins, 7 draws, and 3 losses, while the 38:23 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on J. Luyeye-Lutumba (3 goals), G. Engvall (1 goals), T. Jyry (1 goals), with creative support from P. Pennanen (2 assists), J. Luyeye-Lutumba (1 assists), G. Engvall (1 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. At home, they have returned 6 wins, 4 draws, and 1 losses, a split that suggests a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

AC Oulu Analysis

AC Oulu sit 5 with 34 points after 22 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 10 wins, 4 draws, and 8 defeats, and the 25:25 goal record continues to suggest poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Their attacking burden often falls on E. Kallio (1 goals), J. Paananen (1 goals), while at the back they have been very solid. Away from home, they have returned 4 wins, 2 draws, and 5 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 5 head-to-head meetings, KuPS won 1 times, AC Oulu won 3 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 6:13 from KuPS's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 3.8 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (83.5%)
Predicted formations: KuPS 4-2-3-1 / AC Oulu 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: KuPS wins 1, draws 1, AC Oulu wins 3

Standings

Veikkausliiga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1
KuPS Home
22 12 7 3 38:23 15 43
W D D L L
2 22 11 9 2 29:16 13 42
W W L W D
3 22 11 4 7 36:27 9 37
D D W W L
4 22 10 6 6 36:29 7 36
D W D D W
5 22 10 4 8 25:25 0 34
L L L D W
6 22 9 6 7 29:22 7 33
L L W L W
7 22 9 5 8 26:19 7 32
D L W W W
8 22 8 7 7 28:23 5 31
L L D D D
9 22 7 4 11 34:37 -3 25
W W W L L
10 22 4 7 11 25:33 -8 19
W D D D L
11 22 3 6 13 18:44 -26 15
D D L L L
12 22 3 5 14 17:43 -26 14
L W L W W
Play-offs
Relegation Play-offs