FINLAND VEIKKAUSLIIGA
--.--.---- --:--
Vare Areena
Referee: M. Al-Emara
KuPS
Match Timeline
AC Oulu
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
5'
B. Armah · Assist: O. Ruoppi
KuPS
44'
R. Karjalainen
AC Oulu
47'
J. J. Moreno Ciorciari · Assist: O. Ruoppi
KuPS
🔄
63'
S. Heiskanen ↔ J. Luyeye-Lutumba
KuPS
🔄
64'
J. Paananen ↔ N. Jokelainen
AC Oulu
🔄
64'
E. Kallio ↔ K. Jatta
AC Oulu
64'
R. Karjalainen
AC Oulu
77'
O. Ruoppi
KuPS
🔄
79'
T. Hamalainen ↔ B. Magassa
KuPS
🔄
79'
B. Armah ↔ G. Engvall
KuPS
🔄
83'
O. Kemppainen ↔ S. Sipola
AC Oulu

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 52.6%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 62.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 65.1%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
52.6%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
62.8%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
65.1%
-
Probability Distribution
KuPS Win 30.9%
Draw 16.6%
AC Oulu Win 52.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
KuPS1.12
AC Oulu1.45
Recent Form (Last 5)
KuPS KuPS
WWDLW
8 GF / 2 GA
AC Oulu AC Oulu
WLDWL
11 GF / 4 GA
Key Stats
1.33
Average Goals Scored
2.2
0.33
Average Goals Conceded
0.8
2
BTTS Yes
3
1
Over 2.5
2
7
Shots on Goal
1.33

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

KuPS KuPS 6 matches
AC Oulu AC Oulu 5 matches
KuPS Statistic AC Oulu
4 Wins 4
2 Draws 1
0 Losses 0
8 Goals For 11
2 Goals Against 4
1.33 Avg Goals Scored 2.2
0.33 Avg Goals Conceded 0.8
2 BTTS Yes 3
3 Over 1.5 3
1 Over 2.5 2
1 Over 3.5 2
4 Clean Sheets 2
1 Failed To Score 0
7 Shots On Goal 1.33
15.33 Total Shots 8.33
6 Corners 3.33
62.3% Ball Possession 30.3%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors AC Oulu. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with KuPS expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and AC Oulu in 4-4-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward AC Oulu having the stronger overall control. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. AC Oulu carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 1 with 9 points while KuPS sit 3 on 7, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

KuPS Analysis

KuPS come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 3 with 7 points from 3 matches. Their overall return of 2 wins, 1 draws, and 0 losses with goals at 4:1 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by J. J. Moreno Ciorciari (3 goals), B. Armah (1 goals), P. Pennanen (1 goals), with creative support from P. Pennanen (1 assists), O. Ruoppi (1 assists), S. Savolainen (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, they have returned 1 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

AC Oulu Analysis

AC Oulu approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 1 on 9 points after 3 outings. With 3 wins, 0 draws, and 0 defeats plus a goal balance of 6:1, they continue to show good form and are on a winning streak. Their attacking quality is driven by J. Korkko (2 goals), R. Karjalainen (2 goals), E. Kallio (1 goals), with creative support from E. Kallio (2 assists), T. Kaukua (1 assists), L. Ghezali (1 assists), and at the back they have appeared very solid. Away from home, they have managed 2 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, which underlines a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, KuPS won 10 times, AC Oulu won 4 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 31:19 from KuPS's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 3.33 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (83.5%)
Predicted formations: KuPS 4-2-3-1 / AC Oulu 4-4-2
H2H summary: KuPS wins 10, draws 1, AC Oulu wins 4
Stats
KuPS KuPS
AC Oulu AC Oulu
Shots on Goal
6
Shots on Goal
4
Shots off Goal
2
Shots off Goal
5
Blocked Shots
3
Blocked Shots
2
4 Corner Kicks 3
13 Fouls 7
4 Offsides 4
57% Ball Possession 43%
12 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Goal 4
2 Shots off Goal 5
3 Blocked Shots 2
7 Shots insidebox 5
5 Shots outsidebox 7
2 Goalkeeper Saves 3
599 Total passes 411
516 Passes accurate 332
1.59 expected_goals 1.87
🟨 0 Yellow Cards 0 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

KuPS
Formation
AC Oulu
J. Kreidl
J. Kreidl
S. Savolainen
S. Savolainen
T. Hamalainen
T. Hamalainen
K. Adams
K. Adams
C. Antwi
C. Antwi
V. R. Gasc
V. R. Gasc
P. Pennanen
P. Pennanen
S. Heiskanen
S. Heiskanen
O. Ruoppi
🎯
O. Ruoppi
B. Armah
B. Armah
J. J. Moreno Ciorciari
J. J. Moreno Ciorciari
M. Santos
M. Santos
O. Kemppainen
O. Kemppainen
M. Pitkanen
M. Pitkanen
J. Pirinen
J. Pirinen
T. Kaukua
T. Kaukua
L. Ghezali
L. Ghezali
I. Mendolin
I. Mendolin
J. Paananen
J. Paananen
E. Kallio
E. Kallio
R. Karjalainen
⚽ 2
R. Karjalainen
J. Korkko
J. Korkko
KuPS 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
1
J. Kreidl
G
6
S. Savolainen
D
33
T. Hamalainen
↓ 79'
D
4
K. Adams
D
25
C. Antwi
D
10
V. R. Gasc
M
8
P. Pennanen
M
3
S. Heiskanen
↓ 63'
M
34
O. Ruoppi
⚽ 77' 🎯 5' 🎯 47'
M
24
B. Armah
⚽ 5' ↓ 79'
M
11
J. J. Moreno Ciorciari
⚽ 47'
F
Substitutes
12
H. Riihimaki
G
17
A. Heinonen
M
21
J. Luyeye-Lutumba
↑ 63'
M
28
B. Magassa
↑ 79'
D
9
G. Engvall
↑ 79'
M
23
A. Lotjonen
D
13
N. Kujasalo
M
2
K. Ward
D
20
S. Soumahoro
M
AC Oulu 4-4-2
Starting XI
13
M. Santos
G
16
O. Kemppainen
↓ 83'
D
5
M. Pitkanen
D
66
J. Pirinen
D
22
T. Kaukua
D
11
L. Ghezali
M
21
I. Mendolin
M
6
J. Paananen
↓ 64'
M
27
E. Kallio
↓ 64'
M
7
R. Karjalainen
⚽ 44' ⚽ 64'
F
26
J. Korkko
F
Substitutes
99
N. Schulz
G
14
N. Jokelainen
↑ 64'
M
23
S. Ala-Iso
F
29
S. Silander
D
8
M. Ojala
M
2
S. Sipola
↑ 83'
D
3
A. Lietsa
D
18
A. Cassama
D
20
K. Jatta
↑ 64'
M
Last matches: KuPS
27.06.26
Vei
KuPS
HJK Helsinki
4
0
W
23.06.26
Vei
KuPS
Ilves
4
3
W
17.06.26
Vei
KuPS
Turku PS
2
1
W
13.06.26
Vei
KuPS
VPS
1
1
D
30.05.26
Vei
KuPS
Inter Turku
1
1
D
23.05.26
Vei
KuPS
Lahti
2
1
W
20.05.26
Vei
KuPS
FF Jaro
3
0
W
16.05.26
Vei
KuPS
Mariehamn
1
1
D
08.05.26
Vei
KuPS
SJK
0
0
D
02.05.26
Vei
KuPS
AC Oulu
0
2
L
26.04.26
Vei
KuPS
HJK Helsinki
1
1
D
18.04.26
Vei
KuPS
FF Jaro
1
1
D
11.04.26
Vei
KuPS
Gnistan
1
0
W
04.04.26
Vei
KuPS
Ilves
3
1
W
27.03.26
Fri
KuPS
SJK
0
0
D
21.03.26
Fri
KuPS
JIPPO
1
0
W
14.03.26
Fri
KuPS
Mariehamn
2
0
W
26.02.26
UEF
KuPS
Lech Poznan
0
1
L
19.02.26
UEF
KuPS
Lech Poznan
0
2
L
18.12.25
UEF
KuPS
Crystal Palace
2
2
D
Last matches: AC Oulu
23.06.26
Vei
AC Oulu
VPS
1
5
L
18.06.26
Vei
AC Oulu
Mariehamn
2
1
W
13.06.26
Vei
AC Oulu
Inter Turku
0
0
D
31.05.26
Vei
AC Oulu
FF Jaro
2
1
W
23.05.26
Vei
AC Oulu
SJK
1
0
W
16.05.26
Vei
AC Oulu
Turku PS
1
0
W
08.05.26
Vei
AC Oulu
Ilves
0
1
L
02.05.26
Vei
AC Oulu
KuPS
2
0
W
25.04.26
Vei
AC Oulu
Lahti
1
2
L
18.04.26
Vei
AC Oulu
VPS
1
0
W
11.04.26
Vei
AC Oulu
HJK Helsinki
1
0
W
04.04.26
Vei
AC Oulu
Gnistan
5
1
W
28.03.26
Fri
AC Oulu
FF Jaro
3
2
W
18.01.26
Fri
AC Oulu
JIPPO
1
1
D
H2H: KuPS vs AC Oulu
02.05.26
H2H
AC Oulu
KuPS
2
0
L
22.04.26
H2H
KuPS
AC Oulu
3
2
W
28.02.26
H2H
AC Oulu
KuPS
5
0
L
05.12.25
H2H
KuPS
AC Oulu
1
2
L
04.07.25
H2H
AC Oulu
KuPS
2
2
D
12.04.25
H2H
KuPS
AC Oulu
1
0
W
25.03.25
H2H
KuPS
AC Oulu
2
0
W
22.02.25
H2H
KuPS
AC Oulu
2
1
W
28.06.24
H2H
AC Oulu
KuPS
1
0
L
08.06.24
H2H
KuPS
AC Oulu
4
1
W
24.02.24
H2H
KuPS
AC Oulu
3
1
W
19.01.24
H2H
KuPS
AC Oulu
5
2
W
16.12.23
H2H
KuPS
AC Oulu
5
0
W
07.06.23
H2H
KuPS
AC Oulu
1
0
W
09.05.23
H2H
AC Oulu
KuPS
0
2
W
Last matches: KuPS
23.06.26
Vei
KuPS
Ilves
4
3
W
30.05.26
Vei
KuPS
Inter Turku
1
1
D
23.05.26
Vei
KuPS
Lahti
2
1
W
20.05.26
Vei
KuPS
FF Jaro
3
0
W
08.05.26
Vei
KuPS
SJK
0
0
D
26.04.26
Vei
KuPS
HJK Helsinki
1
1
D
11.04.26
Vei
KuPS
Gnistan
1
0
W
21.03.26
Fri
KuPS
JIPPO
1
0
W
14.03.26
Fri
KuPS
Mariehamn
2
0
W
19.02.26
UEF
KuPS
Lech Poznan
0
2
L
11.12.25
UEF
KuPS
Lausanne
0
0
D
06.11.25
UEF
KuPS
Slovan Bratislava
3
1
W
02.10.25
UEF
KuPS
Drita
1
1
D
28.08.25
UEF
KuPS
FC Midtjylland
0
2
L
14.08.25
UEF
KuPS
Rīgas FS
1
0
W
22.07.25
UEF
KuPS
Kairat Almaty
2
0
W
08.07.25
UEF
KuPS
Milsami Orhei
1
0
W
H2H at home: KuPS
22.04.26
H2H
KuPS
AC Oulu
3
2
W
05.12.25
H2H
KuPS
AC Oulu
1
2
L
12.04.25
H2H
KuPS
AC Oulu
1
0
W
25.03.25
H2H
KuPS
AC Oulu
2
0
W
22.02.25
H2H
KuPS
AC Oulu
2
1
W
08.06.24
H2H
KuPS
AC Oulu
4
1
W
24.02.24
H2H
KuPS
AC Oulu
3
1
W
19.01.24
H2H
KuPS
AC Oulu
5
2
W
16.12.23
H2H
KuPS
AC Oulu
5
0
W
07.06.23
H2H
KuPS
AC Oulu
1
0
W
Last matches: AC Oulu
23.06.26
Vei
AC Oulu
VPS
1
5
L
13.06.26
Vei
AC Oulu
Inter Turku
0
0
D
23.05.26
Vei
AC Oulu
SJK
1
0
W
08.05.26
Vei
AC Oulu
Ilves
0
1
L
25.04.26
Vei
AC Oulu
Lahti
1
2
L
11.04.26
Vei
AC Oulu
HJK Helsinki
1
0
W
04.04.26
Vei
AC Oulu
Gnistan
5
1
W
28.03.26
Fri
AC Oulu
FF Jaro
3
2
W
H2H away: AC Oulu
22.04.26
H2H
KuPS
AC Oulu
3
2
L
05.12.25
H2H
KuPS
AC Oulu
1
2
W
12.04.25
H2H
KuPS
AC Oulu
1
0
L
25.03.25
H2H
KuPS
AC Oulu
2
0
L
22.02.25
H2H
KuPS
AC Oulu
2
1
L
08.06.24
H2H
KuPS
AC Oulu
4
1
L
24.02.24
H2H
KuPS
AC Oulu
3
1
L
19.01.24
H2H
KuPS
AC Oulu
5
2
L
16.12.23
H2H
KuPS
AC Oulu
5
0
L
07.06.23
H2H
KuPS
AC Oulu
1
0
L

Standings

Veikkausliiga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 14 7 6 1 21:12 9 27
D D D D W
2
KuPS Home
14 7 6 1 23:15 8 27
W W D D W
3 13 8 1 4 19:14 5 25
L W D W W
4 13 6 4 3 25:13 12 22
W D W W L
5 12 5 5 2 16:10 6 20
W W D L W
6 12 5 3 4 18:16 2 18
D W W W L
7 12 4 4 4 12:11 1 16
D L L W L
8 14 4 4 6 24:27 -3 16
D L W W L
9 12 3 3 6 14:14 0 12
D L L W L
10 13 2 5 6 15:21 -6 11
D D L W L
11 13 1 5 7 11:28 -17 8
D L L L W
12 12 0 4 8 6:23 -17 4
L L L L L
Promotion - Veikkausliiga (Championship Group)
Veikkausliiga (Relegation Group)