RUSSIA PREMIER LEAGUE
--.--.---- --:--
Samara Arena
Referee: P. Shadyhanov
Krylia Sovetov
Match Timeline
CSKA Moscow
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
VAR
18'
Henrique Carmo
CSKA Moscow
🟨
19'
Sergey Bozhin
Krylia Sovetov
🟨
40'
Danila Kozlov
CSKA Moscow
🔄
43'
K. Glebov ↔ Matheus Alves
CSKA Moscow
🔄
44'
D. Kozlov ↔ Moises
CSKA Moscow
🟨
57'
Matvey Kislyak
CSKA Moscow
🔄
62'
Henrique Carmo ↔ M. Popovic
CSKA Moscow
🔄
62'
L. Gondou ↔ T. Musaev
CSKA Moscow
🟨
65'
Fernando Costanza
Krylia Sovetov
65'
I. Oleynikov · Assist: M. Vityugov
Krylia Sovetov
🟨
66'
Dmitri Barinov
CSKA Moscow
🟨
70'
Nikita Chernov
Krylia Sovetov
75'
S. Bozhin
CSKA Moscow
🔄
76'
I. Akhmetov ↔ J. Marin
Krylia Sovetov
🔄
76'
I. Oleynikov ↔ M. Banjac
Krylia Sovetov
🔄
76'
A. Rahmanovic ↔ V. Ignatenko
Krylia Sovetov
🔄
84'
M. Vityugov ↔ K. Stolbov
Krylia Sovetov
🟨
90+1'
Mihajlo Banjac
Krylia Sovetov
🔄
90+3'
S. Babkin ↔ A. Shumansky
Krylia Sovetov

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 64.5%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 76.7%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72.7%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
64.5%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
76.7%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72.7%
-
Probability Distribution
Krylia Sovetov Win 20.1%
Draw 15.5%
CSKA Moscow Win 64.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
Krylia Sovetov1.06
CSKA Moscow1.63
Recent Form (Last 5)
Krylia Sovetov Krylia Sovetov
WWDLW
25 GF / 44 GA
CSKA Moscow CSKA Moscow
WLDWL
36 GF / 26 GA
Key Stats
1.04
Average Goals Scored
1.5
1.83
Average Goals Conceded
1.08
11
BTTS Yes
12
11
Over 2.5
11
2.75
Shots on Goal
4.67

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Krylia Sovetov Krylia Sovetov 24 matches
CSKA Moscow CSKA Moscow 24 matches
Krylia Sovetov Statistic CSKA Moscow
5 Wins 13
7 Draws 3
12 Losses 8
25 Goals For 36
44 Goals Against 26
1.04 Avg Goals Scored 1.5
1.83 Avg Goals Conceded 1.08
11 BTTS Yes 12
22 Over 1.5 15
11 Over 2.5 11
8 Over 3.5 8
5 Clean Sheets 6
9 Failed To Score 7
2.75 Shots On Goal 4.67
8.21 Total Shots 14.29
3.58 Corners 5.71
47% Ball Possession 56.8%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by CSKA Moscow's more proactive style and Krylia Sovetov's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. CSKA Moscow carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 5 with 42 points while Krylia Sovetov sit 13 on 22, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Krylia Sovetov expected to line up in 4-4-1-1 and CSKA Moscow in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward CSKA Moscow having the stronger overall control. CSKA Moscow arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring CSKA Moscow. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Krylia Sovetov Analysis

So far, Krylia Sovetov have built a campaign that leaves them 13 in the table on 22 points from 24 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 5 wins, 7 draws, and 12 losses, while the 25:44 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on V. Rakov (5 goals), V. Ignatenko (4 goals), A. Rahmanovic (3 goals), with creative support from Ilzat Akhmetov (5 assists), N. Rasskazov (4 assists), V. Rakov (2 assists), and defensively they have been quite vulnerable. At home, the record of 4 wins, 5 draws, and 2 losses points toward a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach. They are not at full strength, with A. Sutormin, C. Geoffrey unavailable, although the overall attacking core still looks largely intact.

CSKA Moscow Analysis

CSKA Moscow approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 5 with 42 points from 24 matches. Their record of 13 wins, 3 draws, and 8 losses, together with goals at 36:26, reflects mixed form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through D. Krugovoy (5 goals), Ivan Oblyakov (5 goals), Kirill Glebov (5 goals), with creative support from D. Krugovoy (5 assists), Ivan Oblyakov (5 assists), M. Kislyak (5 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been fairly stable. Away from home, they have returned 4 wins, 2 draws, and 6 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they tend to play with balanced attacking football. They are not at full strength, with I. Akinfeev, M. Lukin unavailable, although the overall attacking core still looks largely intact.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Krylia Sovetov won 0 times, CSKA Moscow won 11 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 12:31 from Krylia Sovetov's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.87 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (84.5%)
Predicted formations: Krylia Sovetov 4-4-1-1 / CSKA Moscow 4-2-3-1
Missing players: Krylia Sovetov 2, CSKA Moscow 2
H2H summary: Krylia Sovetov wins 0, draws 4, CSKA Moscow wins 11
Stats
Krylia Sovetov Krylia Sovetov
CSKA Moscow CSKA Moscow
Shots on Goal
2
Shots on Goal
0
Shots off Goal
6
Shots off Goal
3
Blocked Shots
5
Blocked Shots
3
11 Corner Kicks 4
14 Fouls 12
0 Offsides 1
42% Ball Possession 58%
13 Total Shots 6
2 Shots on Goal 0
6 Shots off Goal 3
5 Blocked Shots 3
7 Shots insidebox 2
6 Shots outsidebox 4
0 Goalkeeper Saves 1
308 Total passes 441
238 Passes accurate 378
0 expected_goals 0
🟨 4 Yellow Cards 3 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Krylia Sovetov
Formation
CSKA Moscow
S. Pesjakov
S. Pesjakov
Fernando Costanza
Fernando Costanza
N. Chernov
N. Chernov
S. Bozhin
S. Bozhin
K. Pechenin
K. Pechenin
M. Vityugov
🎯
M. Vityugov
S. Babkin
S. Babkin
N. Rasskazov
N. Rasskazov
I. Akhmetov
I. Akhmetov
I. Oleynikov
I. Oleynikov
A. Rahmanovic
A. Rahmanovic
V. Torop
V. Torop
M. Gajic
M. Gajic
D. Barinov
D. Barinov
K. Danilov
K. Danilov
D. Krugovoy
D. Krugovoy
Henrique Carmo
Henrique Carmo
I. Oblyakov
I. Oblyakov
M. Kislyak
M. Kislyak
K. Glebov
K. Glebov
D. Kozlov
D. Kozlov
L. Gondou
L. Gondou
Krylia Sovetov 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
30
S. Pesjakov
G
22
Fernando Costanza
🟨 65'
D
23
N. Chernov
🟨 70'
D
47
S. Bozhin
⚽ 75' 🟨 19'
D
2
K. Pechenin
D
8
M. Vityugov
🎯 65' ↓ 84'
M
6
S. Babkin
↓ 90+3'
M
15
N. Rasskazov
M
77
I. Akhmetov
↓ 76'
M
19
I. Oleynikov
⚽ 65' ↓ 76'
M
11
A. Rahmanovic
↓ 76'
F
Substitutes
80
N. Kokarev
G
39
E. Frolov
G
26
J. Marin
↑ 76'
M
24
R. Evgenyev
D
5
D. Oroz
D
10
V. Khubulov
M
14
M. Banjac
↑ 76' 🟨 90+1'
M
20
K. Stolbov
↑ 84'
M
18
I. Lepskii
D
91
V. Ignatenko
↑ 76'
F
3
T. Galdames
D
70
A. Shumansky
↑ 90+3'
F
CSKA Moscow 4-4-2
Starting XI
49
V. Torop
G
22
M. Gajic
D
6
D. Barinov
🟨 66'
D
79
K. Danilov
D
3
D. Krugovoy
D
37
Henrique Carmo
↓ 62'
M
10
I. Oblyakov
M
31
M. Kislyak
🟨 57'
M
17
K. Glebov
↓ 43'
M
18
D. Kozlov
↓ 44' 🟨 40'
F
9
L. Gondou
↓ 62'
F
Substitutes
85
E. Besaev
G
99
N. Barovskiy
G
27
Moises
↑ 44'
D
4
Joao Victor
D
20
M. Popovic
↑ 62'
M
97
M. Voronov
F
7
Matheus Alves
↑ 43'
M
11
T. Musaev
↑ 62'
F
67
M. Badmaev
D
52
A. Bandikyan
M
62
I. Firov
M
Last matches: Krylia Sovetov
17.05.26
Pre
Krylia Sovetov
Akron
4
1
W
10.05.26
Pre
Krylia Sovetov
FC Orenburg
0
1
L
01.05.26
Pre
Krylia Sovetov
Spartak Moscow
2
1
W
25.04.26
Pre
Krylia Sovetov
Lokomotiv
2
0
W
21.04.26
Pre
Krylia Sovetov
FC Sochi
1
2
L
11.04.26
Pre
Krylia Sovetov
Akhmat
2
2
D
04.04.26
Pre
Krylia Sovetov
Zenit
1
2
L
22.03.26
Pre
Krylia Sovetov
Rubin
0
0
D
15.03.26
Pre
Krylia Sovetov
Nizhny Novgorod
0
3
L
08.03.26
Pre
Krylia Sovetov
Dinamo Makhachkala
2
0
W
01.03.26
Pre
Krylia Sovetov
Dynamo
0
4
L
22.02.26
Fri
Krylia Sovetov
Baltika
0
1
L
20.02.26
Fri
Krylia Sovetov
Chayka
5
3
W
17.02.26
Fri
Krylia Sovetov
Chelyabinsk
3
2
W
09.02.26
Fri
Krylia Sovetov
KAMAZ
0
1
L
09.02.26
Fri
Krylia Sovetov
Ozgon
3
0
W
03.02.26
Fri
Krylia Sovetov
Torpedo Moskva
2
1
W
07.12.25
Pre
Krylia Sovetov
Baltika
0
2
L
30.11.25
Pre
Krylia Sovetov
FC Krasnodar
0
5
L
23.11.25
Pre
Krylia Sovetov
FC Rostov
2
0
W
Last matches: CSKA Moscow
17.05.26
Pre
CSKA Moscow
Lokomotiv
3
1
W
11.05.26
Pre
CSKA Moscow
Nizhny Novgorod
2
1
W
02.05.26
Pre
CSKA Moscow
Zenit
1
3
L
25.04.26
Pre
CSKA Moscow
Rubin
0
0
D
21.04.26
Pre
CSKA Moscow
FC Rostov
1
1
D
12.04.26
Pre
CSKA Moscow
FC Sochi
0
1
L
04.04.26
Pre
CSKA Moscow
Akron
2
1
W
21.03.26
Pre
CSKA Moscow
Dinamo Makhachkala
3
1
W
14.03.26
Pre
CSKA Moscow
Baltika
0
1
L
08.03.26
Pre
CSKA Moscow
Dynamo
1
4
L
01.03.26
Pre
CSKA Moscow
Akhmat
0
1
L
21.02.26
Fri
CSKA Moscow
Lokomotiv
3
2
W
18.02.26
Fri
CSKA Moscow
FC Rostov
3
1
W
10.02.26
Fri
CSKA Moscow
Zenit
2
2
D
06.02.26
Fri
CSKA Moscow
Dynamo
1
1
D
03.02.26
Fri
CSKA Moscow
FC Krasnodar
2
2
D
25.01.26
Fri
CSKA Moscow
Dinamo Samarqand
3
4
L
22.01.26
Fri
CSKA Moscow
Akron
3
1
W
07.12.25
Pre
CSKA Moscow
FC Krasnodar
2
3
L
29.11.25
Pre
CSKA Moscow
FC Orenburg
2
0
W
H2H: Krylia Sovetov vs CSKA Moscow
18.04.26
H2H
Krylia Sovetov
CSKA Moscow
1
1
D
07.04.26
H2H
Krylia Sovetov
CSKA Moscow
2
5
L
25.10.25
H2H
CSKA Moscow
Krylia Sovetov
1
0
L
20.04.25
H2H
CSKA Moscow
Krylia Sovetov
1
1
D
22.02.25
H2H
Krylia Sovetov
CSKA Moscow
2
4
L
10.11.24
H2H
Krylia Sovetov
CSKA Moscow
1
2
L
08.03.24
H2H
Krylya Sovetov
CSKA Moscow
0
2
W
16.09.23
H2H
CSKA Moscow
Krylya Sovetov
2
2
D
05.04.23
H2H
CSKA Moscow
Krylya Sovetov
1
0
L
15.03.23
H2H
Krylya Sovetov
CSKA Moscow
2
2
D
12.03.23
H2H
CSKA Moscow
Krylya Sovetov
4
0
L
04.09.22
H2H
Krylya Sovetov
CSKA Moscow
0
1
W
04.12.21
H2H
Krylya Sovetov
CSKA Moscow
0
1
W
23.10.21
H2H
CSKA Moscow
Krylya Sovetov
3
1
L
24.11.19
H2H
CSKA Moscow
Krylya Sovetov
1
0
L
Last matches: Krylia Sovetov
17.05.26
Pre
Krylia Sovetov
Akron
4
1
W
01.05.26
Pre
Krylia Sovetov
Spartak Moscow
2
1
W
25.04.26
Pre
Krylia Sovetov
Lokomotiv
2
0
W
11.04.26
Pre
Krylia Sovetov
Akhmat
2
2
D
22.03.26
Pre
Krylia Sovetov
Rubin
0
0
D
08.03.26
Pre
Krylia Sovetov
Dinamo Makhachkala
2
0
W
22.02.26
Fri
Krylia Sovetov
Baltika
0
1
L
09.02.26
Fri
Krylia Sovetov
KAMAZ
0
1
L
09.02.26
Fri
Krylia Sovetov
Ozgon
3
0
W
03.02.26
Fri
Krylia Sovetov
Torpedo Moskva
2
1
W
23.11.25
Pre
Krylia Sovetov
FC Rostov
2
0
W
09.11.25
Pre
Krylia Sovetov
Zenit
1
1
D
18.10.25
Pre
Krylia Sovetov
FC Orenburg
1
1
D
26.09.25
Pre
Krylia Sovetov
Dynamo
2
3
L
14.09.25
Pre
Krylia Sovetov
FC Sochi
2
0
W
24.08.25
Pre
Krylia Sovetov
FC Krasnodar
0
6
L
09.08.25
Pre
Krylia Sovetov
Baltika
1
1
D
25.07.25
Pre
Krylia Sovetov
Nizhny Novgorod
2
0
W
H2H at home: Krylia Sovetov
18.04.26
H2H
Krylia Sovetov
CSKA Moscow
1
1
D
07.04.26
H2H
Krylia Sovetov
CSKA Moscow
2
5
L
22.02.25
H2H
Krylia Sovetov
CSKA Moscow
2
4
L
10.11.24
H2H
Krylia Sovetov
CSKA Moscow
1
2
L
Last matches: CSKA Moscow
11.05.26
Pre
CSKA Moscow
Nizhny Novgorod
2
1
W
25.04.26
Pre
CSKA Moscow
Rubin
0
0
D
04.04.26
Pre
CSKA Moscow
Akron
2
1
W
14.03.26
Pre
CSKA Moscow
Baltika
0
1
L
01.03.26
Pre
CSKA Moscow
Akhmat
0
1
L
10.02.26
Fri
CSKA Moscow
Zenit
2
2
D
22.01.26
Fri
CSKA Moscow
Akron
3
1
W
07.12.25
Pre
CSKA Moscow
FC Krasnodar
2
3
L
22.11.25
Pre
CSKA Moscow
Spartak Moscow
0
1
L
08.11.25
Pre
CSKA Moscow
Dinamo Makhachkala
1
0
W
18.10.25
Pre
CSKA Moscow
Lokomotiv
0
3
L
22.09.25
Pre
CSKA Moscow
FC Sochi
3
1
W
14.09.25
Pre
CSKA Moscow
FC Rostov
0
1
L
17.08.25
Pre
CSKA Moscow
Dynamo
3
1
W
03.08.25
Pre
CSKA Moscow
Zenit
1
1
D
21.07.25
Pre
CSKA Moscow
FC Orenburg
0
0
D
H2H away: CSKA Moscow
18.04.26
H2H
Krylia Sovetov
CSKA Moscow
1
1
D
07.04.26
H2H
Krylia Sovetov
CSKA Moscow
2
5
W
22.02.25
H2H
Krylia Sovetov
CSKA Moscow
2
4
W
10.11.24
H2H
Krylia Sovetov
CSKA Moscow
1
2
W
08.03.24
H2H
Krylya Sovetov
CSKA Moscow
0
2
W
15.03.23
H2H
Krylya Sovetov
CSKA Moscow
2
2
D
04.09.22
H2H
Krylya Sovetov
CSKA Moscow
0
1
W
04.12.21
H2H
Krylya Sovetov
CSKA Moscow
0
1
W

Standings

Premier League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 30 20 8 2 53:19 34 68
W W W W D
2 30 20 6 4 60:23 37 66
W L W W W
3 30 14 11 5 54:39 15 53
L W D L D
4 30 15 7 8 47:39 8 52
D W L W L
5 30 15 6 9 44:33 11 51
W W L D D
6 30 11 13 6 38:21 17 46
L L L L D
7 30 12 9 9 51:40 11 45
W W D W L
8 30 11 10 9 29:30 -1 43
D L W D W
9 30 9 10 11 35:39 -4 37
D D W L D
10 30 8 9 13 25:32 -7 33
L W W L D
11 30 8 8 14 35:50 -15 32
W L W W L
12 30 7 8 15 29:44 -15 29
L W L W W
13 30 6 9 15 35:53 -18 27
L W L L L
14 30 5 11 14 19:37 -18 26
W W D D L
15 30 6 5 19 26:50 -24 23
D L L L L
16 30 6 4 20 29:60 -31 22
D L W L W
Relegation Playoffs
Relegation

Missing Players

Krylia Sovetov 2 missing
-
A. Sutormin
Missing Fixture Injury
OUT
-
C. Geoffrey
Questionable Injury
OUT
CSKA Moscow 2 missing
-
I. Akinfeev
Questionable Inactive
OUT
-
M. Lukin
Questionable Inactive
OUT