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COLOMBIA › PRIMERA A
13.10.2026 23:30
Estadio Américo Montanini

Bucaramanga vs Águilas Doradas Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 62%
Odds 1.97
BTTS
Yes
Probability 63.5%
Odds 2.00
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 68%
Odds 2.30
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
62%
1.97 ▥
BTTS Yes
63.5%
2.00 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
68%
2.30 ▥
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
69.1%
1.19 ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
3.10 ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
9.00 ▥
Probability Distribution
Bucaramanga Win 62%
Draw 9.8%
Águilas Doradas Win 28.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
Bucaramanga1.44
Águilas Doradas1.1
Recent Form (Last 5)
Bucaramanga Bucaramanga
WWDLW
47 GF / 33 GA
Águilas Doradas Águilas Doradas
WLDWL
34 GF / 40 GA
Key Stats
1.52
Average Goals Scored
1.13
1.06
Average Goals Conceded
1.33
18
BTTS Yes
18
16
Over 2.5
14
4.1
Shots on Goal
3.73

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Bucaramanga Bucaramanga 31 matches
Águilas Doradas Águilas Doradas 30 matches
Bucaramanga Statistic Águilas Doradas
11 Wins 10
13 Draws 10
7 Losses 10
47 Goals For 34
33 Goals Against 40
1.52 Avg Goals Scored 1.13
1.06 Avg Goals Conceded 1.33
18 BTTS Yes 18
25 Over 1.5 23
16 Over 2.5 14
10 Over 3.5 6
10 Clean Sheets 5
8 Failed To Score 8
4.1 Shots On Goal 3.73
12.3 Total Shots 11.97
3.73 Corners 4.5
49% Ball Possession 50.6%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This contest looks finely balanced, with Bucaramanga's more proactive style and Águilas Doradas's more cautious structure suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Bucaramanga come in with stronger recent momentum, which could help them control the rhythm for longer periods. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Bucaramanga expected to line up in 5-3-2 and Águilas Doradas in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Águilas Doradas having the stronger overall control. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Águilas Doradas. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Bucaramanga Analysis

So far, Bucaramanga have built a campaign that leaves them 13 in the table on 23 points from 19 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 5 wins, 8 draws, and 6 losses, while the 26:20 goal ratio supports the view of very strong form and are on a winning streak. Going forward they rely heavily on L. Pons (11 goals), E. Batalla (11 goals), F. Sambueza (5 goals), with creative support from F. Sambueza (7 assists), L. Pons (5 assists), E. Batalla (4 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. At home, the record of 4 wins, 4 draws, and 1 losses points toward a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

Águilas Doradas Analysis

Águilas Doradas approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 12 with 26 points from 19 matches. Their record of 7 wins, 5 draws, and 7 losses, together with goals at 20:25, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through Jorge Rivaldo (10 goals), R. Márquez (4 goals), F. Lozano (3 goals), with creative support from E. Arízalas (5 assists), A. Ricaurte (4 assists), Bryan Urueña (4 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. Away from home, they have managed 3 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses, a return that supports a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Bucaramanga won 7 times, Águilas Doradas won 5 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 21:13 from Bucaramanga's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2.27 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (90.2%)
Predicted formations: Bucaramanga 5-3-2 / Águilas Doradas 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Bucaramanga wins 7, draws 3, Águilas Doradas wins 5

Standings

Apertura
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 19 13 1 5 35:15 20 40
W D L W W
2 19 11 2 6 31:24 7 35
L L W W L
3 19 10 4 5 29:25 4 34
D L W W D
4 19 10 3 6 25:15 10 33
W W D L W
5 19 8 9 2 31:22 9 33
D L L W L
6 19 8 7 4 27:17 10 31
D D D L L
7 19 7 8 4 29:22 7 29
W W L W W
8 19 7 7 5 26:26 0 28
D D L L W
9 19 7 6 6 20:16 4 27
W W W W W
10 19 7 5 7 31:23 8 26
D D W W D
11 19 7 5 7 26:24 2 26
L D L W D
12 19 7 5 7 20:25 -5 26
W L L D L
13 19 5 8 6 26:20 6 23
W W W D W
14 19 4 10 5 17:20 -3 22
L L W L L
15 19 5 7 7 22:27 -5 22
D D L D D
16 19 5 3 11 20:33 -13 18
L L L D D
17 19 3 8 8 13:27 -14 17
L W L W W
18 19 5 2 12 15:32 -17 17
D W L L W
19 19 3 7 9 22:35 -13 16
W W L L D
20 19 1 7 11 15:32 -17 10
L L D D L
Post season qualification