FINLAND YKKöSLIIGA
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Bolt Arena

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home or Draw
Probability 68.4%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 67.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 61.1%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home or Draw
68.4%
-
BTTS Yes
67.1%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
61.1%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Klubi-04 Win 48.9%
Draw 19.5%
MP Win 31.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Klubi-041.08
MP1.26
Recent Form (Last 5)
Klubi-04 Klubi-04
WWDLW
19 GF / 30 GA
MP MP
WLDWL
30 GF / 35 GA
Key Stats
0.86
Average Goals Scored
1.2
1.36
Average Goals Conceded
1.4
12
BTTS Yes
13
7
Over 2.5
11
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Klubi-04 Klubi-04 22 matches
MP MP 25 matches
Klubi-04 Statistic MP
2 Wins 9
8 Draws 4
12 Losses 12
19 Goals For 30
30 Goals Against 35
0.86 Avg Goals Scored 1.2
1.36 Avg Goals Conceded 1.4
12 BTTS Yes 13
17 Over 1.5 17
7 Over 2.5 11
3 Over 3.5 7
2 Clean Sheets 4
8 Failed To Score 8
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From a tactical perspective, this fixture features two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors MP. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward MP having the stronger overall control. Klubi-04 have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

Klubi-04 Analysis

Klubi-04 approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 9 with 12 points from 18 matches. The overall return of 2 wins, 6 draws, and 10 defeats with a 14:23 goal balance points toward poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Going forward they depend heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, they have returned 1 wins, 2 draws, and 6 losses, which indicates a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

MP Analysis

From their first 18 matches, MP have collected 21 points and now occupy 7 place in the table. Across the campaign, they have posted 6 wins, 3 draws, and 9 losses, while the 19:24 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on their main attacking players, and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, the record of 2 wins, 1 draws, and 7 losses points toward a weak split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 11 head-to-head meetings, Klubi-04 won 4 times, MP won 4 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 14:15 from Klubi-04's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 2.64 goals per game.

1X2: Home or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (80.5%)
H2H summary: Klubi-04 wins 4, draws 3, MP wins 4
Last matches: Klubi-04
15.08.26
Ykk
Klubi-04
PK-35
1
1
D
09.08.26
Ykk
Klubi-04
Kooteepee
0
1
L
31.07.26
Ykk
Klubi-04
EIF
0
2
L
25.07.26
Ykk
Klubi-04
JäPS
0
2
L
21.07.26
Ykk
Klubi-04
KäPa
2
0
W
17.07.26
Ykk
Klubi-04
Haka
2
2
D
11.07.26
Ykk
Klubi-04
JIPPO
0
2
L
26.06.26
Ykk
Klubi-04
SJK Akatemia
2
0
W
14.06.26
Ykk
Klubi-04
MP
2
2
D
31.05.26
Ykk
Klubi-04
PK-35
1
1
D
27.05.26
Ykk
Klubi-04
PK-35
0
1
L
23.05.26
Ykk
Klubi-04
Kooteepee
0
1
L
18.05.26
Ykk
Klubi-04
Haka
1
1
D
09.05.26
Ykk
Klubi-04
JIPPO
1
1
D
02.05.26
Ykk
Klubi-04
SJK Akatemia
1
1
D
24.04.26
Ykk
Klubi-04
MP
0
1
L
19.04.26
Ykk
Klubi-04
EIF
1
2
L
10.04.26
Ykk
Klubi-04
JäPS
0
1
L
06.04.26
Ykk
Klubi-04
KäPa
1
2
L
20.03.26
Fri
Klubi-04
PK-35
2
2
D
Last matches: MP
16.08.26
Ykk
MP
EIF
0
2
L
07.08.26
Ykk
MP
JäPS
0
1
L
29.07.26
Ykk
MP
KäPa
2
1
W
25.07.26
Ykk
MP
Kooteepee
3
3
D
15.07.26
Ykk
MP
JIPPO
1
3
L
11.07.26
Ykk
MP
SJK Akatemia
1
1
D
05.07.26
Ykk
MP
Haka
2
1
W
26.06.26
Ykk
MP
PK-35
1
2
L
14.06.26
Ykk
MP
Klubi-04
2
2
D
06.06.26
Ykk
MP
EIF
0
1
L
31.05.26
Ykk
MP
EIF
1
0
W
22.05.26
Ykk
MP
JäPS
2
0
W
17.05.26
Ykk
MP
JIPPO
1
3
L
07.05.26
Ykk
MP
PK-35
1
3
L
02.05.26
Ykk
MP
Haka
1
0
W
24.04.26
Ykk
MP
Klubi-04
1
0
W
19.04.26
Ykk
MP
KäPa
0
1
L
10.04.26
Ykk
MP
Kooteepee
0
1
L
06.04.26
Ykk
MP
SJK Akatemia
0
1
L
28.03.26
Fri
MP
JJK
1
1
D
H2H: Klubi-04 vs MP
14.06.26
H2H
MP
Klubi-04
2
2
D
24.04.26
H2H
Klubi-04
MP
0
1
L
31.01.26
H2H
Klubi-04
MP
2
1
W
17.10.21
H2H
Klubi-04
MP
2
0
W
25.07.21
H2H
MP
Klubi-04
2
0
L
18.05.21
H2H
Klubi-04
MP
3
1
W
13.02.21
H2H
MP
Klubi-04
0
3
W
11.08.19
H2H
Klubi-04
MP
0
4
L
30.05.19
H2H
MP
Klubi-04
0
0
D
16.08.17
H2H
MP
Klubi-04
3
1
L
18.06.17
H2H
Klubi-04
MP
1
1
D
Last matches: Klubi-04
09.08.26
Ykk
Klubi-04
Kooteepee
0
1
L
17.07.26
Ykk
Klubi-04
Haka
2
2
D
11.07.26
Ykk
Klubi-04
JIPPO
0
2
L
26.06.26
Ykk
Klubi-04
SJK Akatemia
2
0
W
27.05.26
Ykk
Klubi-04
PK-35
0
1
L
23.05.26
Ykk
Klubi-04
Kooteepee
0
1
L
02.05.26
Ykk
Klubi-04
SJK Akatemia
1
1
D
24.04.26
Ykk
Klubi-04
MP
0
1
L
06.04.26
Ykk
Klubi-04
KäPa
1
2
L
20.03.26
Fri
Klubi-04
PK-35
2
2
D
07.03.26
Fri
Klubi-04
VJS
1
2
L
H2H at home: Klubi-04
24.04.26
H2H
Klubi-04
MP
0
1
L
31.01.26
H2H
Klubi-04
MP
2
1
W
17.10.21
H2H
Klubi-04
MP
2
0
W
18.05.21
H2H
Klubi-04
MP
3
1
W
11.08.19
H2H
Klubi-04
MP
0
4
L
18.06.17
H2H
Klubi-04
MP
1
1
D
Last matches: MP
07.08.26
Ykk
MP
JäPS
0
1
L
15.07.26
Ykk
MP
JIPPO
1
3
L
11.07.26
Ykk
MP
SJK Akatemia
1
1
D
26.06.26
Ykk
MP
PK-35
1
2
L
06.06.26
Ykk
MP
EIF
0
1
L
22.05.26
Ykk
MP
JäPS
2
0
W
07.05.26
Ykk
MP
PK-35
1
3
L
24.04.26
Ykk
MP
Klubi-04
1
0
W
10.04.26
Ykk
MP
Kooteepee
0
1
L
06.04.26
Ykk
MP
SJK Akatemia
0
1
L
27.03.26
Fri
MP
Ilves
0
2
L
13.03.26
Fri
MP
PK-35
0
2
L
H2H away: MP
24.04.26
H2H
Klubi-04
MP
0
1
W
31.01.26
H2H
Klubi-04
MP
2
1
L
17.10.21
H2H
Klubi-04
MP
2
0
L
18.05.21
H2H
Klubi-04
MP
3
1
L
11.08.19
H2H
Klubi-04
MP
0
4
W
18.06.17
H2H
Klubi-04
MP
1
1
D

Standings

Ykkösliiga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 19 13 3 3 33:20 13 42
W W W D L
2 19 11 5 3 31:14 17 38
D W L D W
3 19 11 4 4 38:20 18 37
W W W W D
4 19 8 7 4 24:16 8 31
L L W D W
5 19 9 1 9 18:26 -8 28
L W L W W
6 19 8 2 9 26:30 -4 26
W W W D L
7
MP Away
19 6 3 10 19:26 -7 21
L L W D L
8 19 4 4 11 20:32 -12 16
L L L L L
9 19 2 7 10 15:24 -9 13
D L L L W
10 19 2 6 11 9:25 -16 12
W L L D D
Promotion - Veikkausliiga
Promotion - Veikkausliiga (Promotion)
Ykkosliiga (Relegation)
Relegation - Ykkonen