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ICELAND › ÚRVALSDEILD
20.09.2026 16:00
Referee: E. I. Arnason
Keflavik
Match Timeline
Fram Reykjavik
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
41'
F. Elvarsson
Keflavik
🟨
44'
K. McLagan
Fram Reykjavik
⚽
48'
S. Ljubicic · Assist: E. Ragnarsson
Keflavik
⚽
52'
R. Hauksson
Fram Reykjavik
🟨
57'
S. Runarsson
Fram Reykjavik
⚽
59'
F. Sigurdsson
Fram Reykjavik
🔄
63'
K. McLagan ↔ M. Aegisson
Fram Reykjavik
🔄
63'
F. Elvarsson ↔ M. Mudrazija
Keflavik
⚽
66'
E. Bwomono · Assist: E. Karlsson
Keflavik
🔄
71'
V. Dimitrijevic ↔ K. Konradsson
Fram Reykjavik
🔄
71'
E. Karlsson ↔ A. Magnusson
Keflavik
🔄
71'
E. Bwomono ↔ A. Johannesson
Keflavik
🟨
80'
M. Mudrazija
Keflavik
🔄
81'
S. Magnusson ↔ E. Bjarnason
Keflavik
🔄
81'
Fred Saraiva ↔ I. Garcia
Fram Reykjavik
🔄
81'
T. Thorbjornsson ↔ J. Bystrom
Fram Reykjavik
🟨
90+1'
M. Simicic
Keflavik

Keflavik vs Fram Reykjavik Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 49.2%
Odds 2.00
BTTS
Yes
Probability 82.5%
Odds 1.40
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds 1.36
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
49.2%
2.00 ▥
BTTS Yes
82.5%
1.40 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
1.36 ▥
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
92%
2.06 ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
5.50 ▥
Correct Score 1-2
-
9.50 ▥
Probability Distribution
Keflavik Win 37.4%
Draw 13.4%
Fram Reykjavik Win 49.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
Keflavik1.67
Fram Reykjavik2.22
Recent Form (Last 5)
Keflavik Keflavik
WWDLW
34 GF / 42 GA
Fram Reykjavik Fram Reykjavik
WLDWL
57 GF / 45 GA
Key Stats
1.48
Average Goals Scored
2.48
1.83
Average Goals Conceded
1.96
17
BTTS Yes
18
15
Over 2.5
18
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Keflavik Keflavik 23 matches
Fram Reykjavik Fram Reykjavik 23 matches
Keflavik Statistic Fram Reykjavik
8 Wins 13
4 Draws 6
11 Losses 4
34 Goals For 57
42 Goals Against 45
1.48 Avg Goals Scored 2.48
1.83 Avg Goals Conceded 1.96
17 BTTS Yes 18
19 Over 1.5 20
15 Over 2.5 18
9 Over 3.5 17
5 Clean Sheets 3
2 Failed To Score 3
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Fram Reykjavik's more proactive style and Keflavik's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Fram Reykjavik having the stronger overall control. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Fram Reykjavik. Keflavik have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. Fram Reykjavik carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 2 with 45 points while Keflavik sit 6 on 28, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Keflavik Analysis

With 28 points from 22 games and a place of 6, Keflavik still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. The overall return of 8 wins, 4 draws, and 10 defeats with a 33:38 goal balance points toward mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked fairly stable. At home, they have managed 5 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Fram Reykjavik Analysis

Fram Reykjavik arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 2 place with 45 points after 22 matches. The record of 13 wins, 6 draws, and 3 defeats, together with a 56:42 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through their main attacking players, while at the back they have looked quite vulnerable. Away from home, their split return of 7 wins, 3 draws, and 1 losses fits a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 5 head-to-head meetings, Keflavik won 1 times, Fram Reykjavik won 2 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 7:10 from Keflavik's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 3.4 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (86.6%)
H2H summary: Keflavik wins 1, draws 2, Fram Reykjavik wins 2

Standings

Úrvalsdeild
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 22 16 5 1 67:21 46 53
W W D D W
2 22 13 6 3 56:42 14 45
D L D D W
3 22 13 5 4 74:49 25 44
L W L D W
4 22 8 6 8 43:41 2 30
L W L L L
5 22 8 6 8 39:41 -2 30
W L W D D
6 22 8 4 10 33:38 -5 28
D L L L W
7 22 8 4 10 42:50 -8 28
L W D W W
8 22 8 3 11 39:45 -6 27
D W W D L
9 22 4 9 9 27:39 -12 21
W W L W D
10 22 6 3 13 22:50 -28 21
L L W W L
11 22 5 5 12 35:48 -13 20
W L W D L
12 22 4 6 12 32:45 -13 18
D L D L L
Play-offs
Relegation Playoffs