ICELAND ÚRVALSDEILD
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Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 61.2%
Odds 1.92
BTTS
Yes
Probability 82.5%
Odds 1.40
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds 1.38
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
61.2%
1.92
BTTS Yes
82.5%
1.40
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
1.38
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
1.02
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
6.00
Correct Score 1-2
-
9.50
Probability Distribution
Keflavik Win 34.2%
Draw 4.5%
Fram Reykjavik Win 61.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
Keflavik1.65
Fram Reykjavik2.32
Recent Form (Last 5)
Keflavik Keflavik
WWDLW
17 GF / 23 GA
Fram Reykjavik Fram Reykjavik
WLDWL
31 GF / 24 GA
Key Stats
1.42
Average Goals Scored
2.58
1.92
Average Goals Conceded
2
10
BTTS Yes
8
8
Over 2.5
9
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Keflavik Keflavik 12 matches
Fram Reykjavik Fram Reykjavik 12 matches
Keflavik Statistic Fram Reykjavik
4 Wins 8
3 Draws 2
5 Losses 2
17 Goals For 31
23 Goals Against 24
1.42 Avg Goals Scored 2.58
1.92 Avg Goals Conceded 2
10 BTTS Yes 8
10 Over 1.5 10
8 Over 2.5 9
6 Over 3.5 9
2 Clean Sheets 2
1 Failed To Score 2
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Fram Reykjavik's more proactive style and Keflavik's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Fram Reykjavik. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Fram Reykjavik having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Fram Reykjavik carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 3 with 20 points while Keflavik sit 7 on 11, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Fram Reykjavik look sharper on recent form, and that momentum could be important in key phases of the match.

Keflavik Analysis

Keflavik are currently 7 in the standings with 11 points from 9 matches. Their overall return of 3 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses with goals at 12:18 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by their main attacking players, while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, their split return of 1 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

Fram Reykjavik Analysis

Fram Reykjavik approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 3 on 20 points after 9 outings. They have recorded 6 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses, with a 25:16 goal return and very strong form with results showing strong momentum. In attack they lean heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, their record of 2 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, Keflavik won 9 times, Fram Reykjavik won 3 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 31:22 from Keflavik's perspective. 10 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 10 matches, with an average of 3.79 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.5%)
H2H summary: Keflavik wins 9, draws 2, Fram Reykjavik wins 3
Last matches: Keflavik
28.06.26
Úrv
Keflavik
KR Reykjavik
3
2
W
21.06.26
Úrv
Keflavik
Valur Reykjavik
1
1
D
14.06.26
Úrv
Keflavik
FH hafnarfjordur
1
2
L
31.05.26
Úrv
Keflavik
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
1
6
L
22.05.26
Úrv
Keflavik
Thor Akureyri
1
0
W
17.05.26
Úrv
Keflavik
Stjarnan
1
1
D
08.05.26
Úrv
Keflavik
IA Akranes
3
1
W
03.05.26
Úrv
Keflavik
Vikingur Reykjavik
1
3
L
26.04.26
Úrv
Keflavik
KA Akureyri
2
1
W
22.04.26
Úrv
Keflavik
Breidablik
0
0
D
17.04.26
Úrv
Keflavik
Fram Reykjavik
1
3
L
12.04.26
Úrv
Keflavik
KR Reykjavik
2
3
L
Last matches: Fram Reykjavik
29.06.26
Úrv
Fram Reykjavik
IA Akranes
2
0
W
21.06.26
Úrv
Fram Reykjavik
Vikingur Reykjavik
0
5
L
15.06.26
Úrv
Fram Reykjavik
KA Akureyri
4
3
W
29.05.26
Úrv
Fram Reykjavik
Breidablik
4
3
W
22.05.26
Úrv
Fram Reykjavik
Stjarnan
1
0
W
17.05.26
Úrv
Fram Reykjavik
KR Reykjavik
2
2
D
08.05.26
Úrv
Fram Reykjavik
Valur Reykjavik
3
2
W
03.05.26
Úrv
Fram Reykjavik
FH hafnarfjordur
4
3
W
27.04.26
Úrv
Fram Reykjavik
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
5
1
W
23.04.26
Úrv
Fram Reykjavik
Thor Akureyri
0
1
L
17.04.26
Úrv
Fram Reykjavik
Keflavik
3
1
W
12.04.26
Úrv
Fram Reykjavik
IA Akranes
3
3
D
H2H: Keflavik vs Fram Reykjavik
17.04.26
H2H
Fram Reykjavik
Keflavik
3
1
L
06.03.26
H2H
Keflavik
Fram Reykjavik
4
3
W
28.09.23
H2H
Fram Reykjavik
Keflavik
3
1
L
27.08.23
H2H
Keflavik
Fram Reykjavik
0
0
D
02.06.23
H2H
Fram Reykjavik
Keflavik
4
1
L
29.10.22
H2H
Keflavik
Fram Reykjavik
4
0
W
17.09.22
H2H
Fram Reykjavik
Keflavik
4
8
W
03.07.22
H2H
Keflavik
Fram Reykjavik
3
1
W
09.11.20
H2H
Fram Reykjavik
Keflavik
0
0
D
17.09.20
H2H
Keflavik
Fram Reykjavik
1
1
D
15.02.20
H2H
Fram Reykjavik
Keflavik
1
2
W
21.07.19
H2H
Fram Reykjavik
Keflavik
1
2
W
05.05.19
H2H
Keflavik
Fram Reykjavik
2
1
W
16.09.17
H2H
Keflavik
Fram Reykjavik
1
0
W
06.07.17
H2H
Fram Reykjavik
Keflavik
0
1
W
Last matches: Keflavik
28.06.26
Úrv
Keflavik
KR Reykjavik
3
2
W
14.06.26
Úrv
Keflavik
FH hafnarfjordur
1
2
L
22.05.26
Úrv
Keflavik
Thor Akureyri
1
0
W
17.05.26
Úrv
Keflavik
Stjarnan
1
1
D
03.05.26
Úrv
Keflavik
Vikingur Reykjavik
1
3
L
22.04.26
Úrv
Keflavik
Breidablik
0
0
D
H2H at home: Keflavik
06.03.26
H2H
Keflavik
Fram Reykjavik
4
3
W
27.08.23
H2H
Keflavik
Fram Reykjavik
0
0
D
29.10.22
H2H
Keflavik
Fram Reykjavik
4
0
W
03.07.22
H2H
Keflavik
Fram Reykjavik
3
1
W
17.09.20
H2H
Keflavik
Fram Reykjavik
1
1
D
05.05.19
H2H
Keflavik
Fram Reykjavik
2
1
W
16.09.17
H2H
Keflavik
Fram Reykjavik
1
0
W
Last matches: Fram Reykjavik
29.06.26
Úrv
Fram Reykjavik
IA Akranes
2
0
W
15.06.26
Úrv
Fram Reykjavik
KA Akureyri
4
3
W
22.05.26
Úrv
Fram Reykjavik
Stjarnan
1
0
W
17.05.26
Úrv
Fram Reykjavik
KR Reykjavik
2
2
D
03.05.26
Úrv
Fram Reykjavik
FH hafnarfjordur
4
3
W
23.04.26
Úrv
Fram Reykjavik
Thor Akureyri
0
1
L
H2H away: Fram Reykjavik
06.03.26
H2H
Keflavik
Fram Reykjavik
4
3
L
27.08.23
H2H
Keflavik
Fram Reykjavik
0
0
D
29.10.22
H2H
Keflavik
Fram Reykjavik
4
0
L
03.07.22
H2H
Keflavik
Fram Reykjavik
3
1
L
17.09.20
H2H
Keflavik
Fram Reykjavik
1
1
D
05.05.19
H2H
Keflavik
Fram Reykjavik
2
1
L
16.09.17
H2H
Keflavik
Fram Reykjavik
1
0
L
Showing odds from: 1xBet
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 1.92
Draw 3.99
Home 3.38
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 2.35
Draw 2.68
Home 3.68
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 1.5 1.11
Over 2.5 1.38
Over 3.0 1.55
Over 3.25 1.74
Over 3.5 1.93
Over 3.75 2.13
Over 4.0 2.45
Over 4.5 2.92
Over 5.5 4.98
Under 1.5 6.26
Under 2.5 2.93
Under 3.0 2.40
Under 3.25 2.06
Under 3.5 1.85
Under 3.75 1.69
Under 4.0 1.53
Under 4.5 1.38
Under 5.5 1.15
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 1.90
Draw 3.70
Home 3.20
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 2.38
Draw 2.60
Home 3.25
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 2.20
Draw 2.88
Home 3.10
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.00
Over 1.5 1.11
Over 2.5 1.40
Over 3.5 2.00
Over 4.5 3.40
Over 5.5 5.50
Over 6.5 8.50
Over 7.5 12.00
Over 8.5 21.00
Under 0.5 21.00
Under 1.5 6.00
Under 2.5 2.75
Under 3.5 1.73
Under 4.5 1.30
Under 5.5 1.12
Under 6.5 1.05
Under 7.5 1.01
Under 8.5 1.00
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 1.94
Draw 3.86
Home 3.34
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 2.40
Draw 2.45
Home 3.64
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 2.18
Draw 2.92
Home 3.34
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.01
Over 1.0 1.02
Over 1.5 1.07
Over 1.75 1.08
Over 2.0 1.10
Over 2.25 1.23
Over 2.5 1.33
Over 2.75 1.41
Over 3.0 1.51
Over 3.25 1.71
Over 3.5 1.92
Over 3.75 2.14
Over 4.0 2.41
Over 4.25 2.70
Over 4.5 2.88
Over 4.75 3.46
Over 5.0 4.33
Over 5.25 4.67
Over 5.5 4.90
Over 6.0 8.00
Over 6.5 8.50
Over 7.5 12.00
Over 8.5 17.00
Under 0.5 18.00
Under 1.0 13.00
Under 1.5 5.85
Under 1.75 5.45
Under 2.0 5.05
Under 2.25 3.52
Under 2.5 2.83
Under 2.75 2.60
Under 3.0 2.31
Under 3.25 2.01
Under 3.5 1.84
Under 3.75 1.68
Under 4.0 1.47
Under 4.25 1.41
Under 4.5 1.32
Under 4.75 1.25
Under 5.0 1.14
Under 5.25 1.13
Under 5.5 1.11
Under 6.0 1.02
Under 6.5 1.05
Under 7.5 1.01
Under 8.5 1.00
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 2.00
Draw 3.75
Home 2.80
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 2.48
Draw 2.60
Home 3.05
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 2.25
Draw 2.95
Home 2.95
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 1.5 1.09
Over 2.5 1.34
Over 3.5 1.88
Over 4.5 3.00
Over 5.5 4.90
Under 1.5 5.60
Under 2.5 2.85
Under 3.5 1.77
Under 4.5 1.30
Under 5.5 1.12

Standings

Besta deild 2026
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 9 1 0 34:6 28 28
W W W W W
2 10 8 1 1 38:23 15 25
W W L D W
3 9 6 2 1 25:16 9 20
W W D W W
4 9 4 3 2 22:15 7 15
L W L D W
5 10 5 0 5 19:22 -3 15
L L W W L
6 9 3 3 3 12:16 -4 12
W D W L W
7 9 3 2 4 12:18 -6 11
L W D W L
8 9 3 1 5 12:15 -3 10
L L W W W
9 10 3 1 6 18:22 -4 10
W L L D L
10 9 2 0 7 7:23 -16 6
L L L L L
11 9 1 2 6 14:23 -9 5
W D L L L
12 9 0 2 7 12:26 -14 2
L L L D L
Championship round
Relegation Round