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JAPAN › J1 LEAGUE
15.08.2026 09:00
Mercari Stadium
Referee: Florian Exner, Germany
Kashima
Match Timeline
Nagoya Grampus
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
22'
Leo Ceara · Assist: Yan
Kashima
🟨
25'
Kento Misao
Kashima
🔄
43'
Yan ↔ Y. Matsumura
Kashima
🟨
45'
Yuma Suzuki
Kashima
🔄
46'
M. Yoshida ↔ H. Hayashu
Kashima
🔄
46'
Y. Nogami ↔ S. Tokumoto
Nagoya Grampus
🔄
46'
Y. Yamagishi ↔ Mateus
Nagoya Grampus
🟨
48'
Léo Ceará
Kashima
⚽
54'
N. Ueda
Nagoya Grampus
🔄
69'
Matheus Bueno ↔ G. Shibasaki
Kashima
🔄
69'
Leo Ceara ↔ A. Cavric
Kashima
🔄
74'
R. Izumi ↔ Y. Asano
Nagoya Grampus
🟨
77'
Sho Inagaki
Nagoya Grampus
🔄
87'
Y. Kimura ↔ K. Nagai
Nagoya Grampus
🔄
88'
Y. Suzuki ↔ H. Tokuda
Kashima
🔄
88'
T. Hara ↔ Y. Sato
Nagoya Grampus
⚽
90'
T. Uchida
Kashima

Kashima vs Nagoya Grampus Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 88%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 75%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
88%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
75%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
81.6%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Kashima Win 88%
Draw 6%
Nagoya Grampus Win 6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Kashima2.8
Nagoya Grampus1.2
Recent Form (Last 5)
Kashima Kashima
WWDLW
4 GF / 3 GA
Nagoya Grampus Nagoya Grampus
WLDWL
0 GF / 1 GA
Key Stats
4
Average Goals Scored
0
3
Average Goals Conceded
1
1
BTTS Yes
0
1
Over 2.5
0
5
Shots on Goal
6

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Kashima Kashima 1 matches
Nagoya Grampus Nagoya Grampus 1 matches
Kashima Statistic Nagoya Grampus
1 Wins 0
0 Draws 0
0 Losses 1
4 Goals For 0
3 Goals Against 1
4 Avg Goals Scored 0
3 Avg Goals Conceded 1
1 BTTS Yes 0
1 Over 1.5 0
1 Over 2.5 0
1 Over 3.5 0
0 Clean Sheets 0
0 Failed To Score 1
5 Shots On Goal 6
21 Total Shots 18
9 Corners 13
68% Ball Possession 75%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Kashima won 6 times, Nagoya Grampus won 5 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 17:11 from Kashima's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 1.87 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (94%)
Predicted formations: Kashima 4-4-2 / Nagoya Grampus 3-4-2-1
H2H summary: Kashima wins 6, draws 4, Nagoya Grampus wins 5

Standings

J-League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 9 7 0 2 21:14 7 21
W W W L L
2 9 6 1 2 14:9 5 19
L W W W W
3 8 5 2 1 20:6 14 17
W W L W D
4 8 5 2 1 21:10 11 17
L D W W D
5 8 5 2 1 14:8 6 17
W W W D W
6 9 5 1 3 19:16 3 16
W D L L L
7 8 4 2 2 13:9 4 14
W D W D L
8 8 3 4 1 16:12 4 13
D W W L W
9 8 4 1 3 11:10 1 13
L W W W L
10 8 4 0 4 16:18 -2 12
W L W W W
11 8 3 2 3 7:12 -5 11
D L D W L
12 8 3 1 4 6:8 -2 10
W W L D L
13 8 2 3 3 11:11 0 9
L L D W D
14 8 2 2 4 11:15 -4 8
W L L D W
15 8 2 2 4 10:15 -5 8
D W L D L
16 8 2 0 6 7:14 -7 6
L L L L W
17 9 1 3 5 8:16 -8 6
L L L L D
18 8 1 1 6 9:12 -3 4
L L D L L
19 8 0 4 4 4:12 -8 4
L D D L L
20 8 1 1 6 7:18 -11 4
L D W L L
Promotion - AFC Champions League (League phase)
Relegation - J2 League