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UKRAINE › PREMIER LEAGUE
20.09.2026 12:30
Ukraina Stadium
Referee: Mykola Balakin, Ukraine
Karpaty
Match Timeline
Veres Rivne
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
24'
Fellipe Vieira · Assist: Y. Karabin
Karpaty
🟨
30'
Semen Vovchenko
Veres Rivne
🟨
38'
Fellipe Vieira Cardoso
Karpaty
🟨
46'
Kai Cipot
Veres Rivne
🔄
55'
Y. Karabin ↔ X. Alkain
Karpaty
🔄
55'
Fellipe Vieira ↔ B. Iglesias Lois
Karpaty
🟨
59'
Vladislav Baboglo
Karpaty
🟨
62'
Roman Vantukh
Karpaty
🔄
62'
J. Sery ↔ Y. Kostenko
Karpaty
🟥
64'
Yan Kostenko
Karpaty
🔄
66'
V. Sharay ↔ G. de Jesus Lima
Veres Rivne
🔄
70'
N. Rusyn ↔ R. Lyakh
Karpaty
🔄
70'
R. Vantukh ↔ D. Miroshnichenko
Karpaty
🔄
72'
D. Checher ↔ R. Baran
Veres Rivne
⚽
82'
A. Goncalves · Assist: G. de Jesus Lima
Veres Rivne
🔄
83'
F. Yan ↔ A. Vydrych
Veres Rivne
🟨
85'
Rostyslav Baran
Veres Rivne

Karpaty vs Veres Rivne Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 80.5%
Odds 1.47
BTTS
No
Probability 55%
Odds 1.73
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 55.6%
Odds 1.91
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
80.5%
1.47 ▥
BTTS No
55%
1.73 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
55.6%
1.91 ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
1.17 ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
2.00 ▥
Correct Score 3-0
-
10.00 ▥
Probability Distribution
Karpaty Win 80.5%
Draw 4.3%
Veres Rivne Win 15.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
Karpaty1.68
Veres Rivne1.12
Recent Form (Last 5)
Karpaty Karpaty
WWDLW
36 GF / 17 GA
Veres Rivne Veres Rivne
WLDWL
26 GF / 30 GA
Key Stats
1.8
Average Goals Scored
1.3
0.85
Average Goals Conceded
1.5
10
BTTS Yes
13
11
Over 2.5
8
3
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Karpaty Karpaty 20 matches
Veres Rivne Veres Rivne 20 matches
Karpaty Statistic Veres Rivne
10 Wins 4
4 Draws 8
6 Losses 8
36 Goals For 26
17 Goals Against 30
1.8 Avg Goals Scored 1.3
0.85 Avg Goals Conceded 1.5
10 BTTS Yes 13
15 Over 1.5 15
11 Over 2.5 8
4 Over 3.5 6
8 Clean Sheets 5
3 Failed To Score 3
3 Shots On Goal 0
6.33 Total Shots 0
2.33 Corners 0
16.7% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Karpaty's more proactive style and Veres Rivne's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Veres Rivne. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Karpaty arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 1 with 13 points compared to Veres Rivne in 10 on 5, which underlines the gap in season consistency. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Karpaty Analysis

Karpaty approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 1 on 13 points after 6 outings. They have recorded 4 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses, with a 14:4 goal return and good form over their recent run. In attack they lean heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, their record of 2 wins, 0 draws, and 1 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

Veres Rivne Analysis

Veres Rivne sit 10 with 5 points after 5 league matches. The record of 1 wins, 2 draws, and 2 defeats, together with a 3:4 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through their main attacking players, while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, the record of 1 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses points toward a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 11 head-to-head meetings, Karpaty won 6 times, Veres Rivne won 1 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 24:11 from Karpaty's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 3.18 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: No
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.7%)
Predicted formations: Karpaty 4-2-3-1 / Veres Rivne 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Karpaty wins 6, draws 4, Veres Rivne wins 1

Standings

Premier League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 7 6 0 1 15:5 10 18
W W W W L
2 7 6 0 1 15:4 11 18
W W W L W
3 7 4 2 1 15:5 10 14
D W L D W
4 6 4 1 1 9:5 4 13
W W D L W
5 6 4 0 2 12:4 8 12
W W W L L
6 7 2 3 2 6:6 0 9
W D D W D
7 7 2 2 3 6:7 -1 8
L L D W D
8 7 2 2 3 5:8 -3 8
L W D L W
9 7 2 2 3 7:11 -4 8
L D D L W
10 6 1 4 1 4:3 1 7
W L D D D
11 7 1 4 2 4:6 -2 7
L D D W L
12 6 1 2 3 3:7 -4 5
D L D W L
13 6 1 2 3 6:10 -4 5
W L D D L
14 6 1 2 3 7:10 -3 5
L D L D W
15 7 0 4 3 2:12 -10 4
D L L D D
16 7 0 2 5 5:18 -13 2
L L L L D
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Persha Liga (Relegation)
Relegation - Persha Liga