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FINLAND › YKKöSLIIGA
17.07.2026 16:00
Markku.fi Areena
Referee: K. Nummela
KäPa
Match Timeline
SJK Akatemia
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🔄
22'
S. Sillah ↔ E. Jantunen
KäPa
🔄
46'
T. Kangaskokko ↔ H. Silagailis
SJK Akatemia
🟨
49'
E. Salmivuori
SJK Akatemia
⚽
55'
D. Ripatti · Assist: Y. Lika
KäPa
⚽
57'
Mani
SJK Akatemia
⚽
58'
Y. Lika · Assist: M. Kuningas
KäPa
🔄
61'
M. Pulkkinen ↔ V. Jokiranta
KäPa
🔄
63'
A. Muchipay ↔ I. Berjali
SJK Akatemia
🟨
68'
Cauet Werner
SJK Akatemia
🔄
74'
E. Lehto ↔ O. Raiski
SJK Akatemia
🔄
74'
E. Hautamaki ↔ L. Ouma
SJK Akatemia
🔄
82'
D. Ripatti ↔ S. Savini
KäPa
🔄
82'
Cauet Werner ↔ J. Kekarainen
SJK Akatemia
⚽
88'
H. Silagailis · Assist: O. Pihlaja
SJK Akatemia

KäPa vs SJK Akatemia Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 82%
Odds -
0 agree / 2 disagree
BTTS
Yes
Probability 67.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 64.5%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
82%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
67.1%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
64.5%
- ▥
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
KäPa Win 82%
Draw 9%
SJK Akatemia Win 9%
Expected Goals (xG)
KäPa1.27
SJK Akatemia0.82
Recent Form (Last 5)
KäPa KäPa
WWDLW
19 GF / 23 GA
SJK Akatemia SJK Akatemia
WLDWL
6 GF / 21 GA
Key Stats
1.19
Average Goals Scored
0.4
1.44
Average Goals Conceded
1.4
9
BTTS Yes
4
10
Over 2.5
3
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

KäPa KäPa 16 matches
SJK Akatemia SJK Akatemia 15 matches
KäPa Statistic SJK Akatemia
6 Wins 1
3 Draws 4
7 Losses 10
19 Goals For 6
23 Goals Against 21
1.19 Avg Goals Scored 0.4
1.44 Avg Goals Conceded 1.4
9 BTTS Yes 4
11 Over 1.5 8
10 Over 2.5 3
5 Over 3.5 2
3 Clean Sheets 2
5 Failed To Score 10
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward SJK Akatemia. KäPa arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 8 with 15 points compared to SJK Akatemia in 10 on 7, which underlines the gap in season consistency. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward SJK Akatemia having the stronger overall control. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.

KäPa Analysis

KäPa sit 8 with 15 points after 13 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 4 wins, 3 draws, and 6 losses, together with goals at 15:20, reflects mixed form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through their main attacking players, while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. At home, they have returned 2 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, which indicates a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

SJK Akatemia Analysis

SJK Akatemia approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 10 with 7 points from 14 matches. The overall return of 1 wins, 4 draws, and 9 defeats with a 5:18 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have returned 0 wins, 2 draws, and 5 losses, which indicates a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 13 head-to-head meetings, KäPa won 1 times, SJK Akatemia won 6 times, while 6 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 21:34 from KäPa's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 4.23 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (91%)
H2H summary: KäPa wins 1, draws 6, SJK Akatemia wins 6

Standings

Ykkösliiga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 25 18 4 3 45:22 23 58
D W W W W
2 26 14 7 5 41:21 20 49
L D L W D
3 26 14 5 7 50:29 21 47
W L W D L
4 26 12 8 6 36:21 15 44
W D L W L
5 26 11 2 13 23:40 -17 35
L L W L W
6 26 8 6 12 28:36 -8 30
D D W D W
7 26 8 5 13 29:44 -15 29
L D L D D
8 26 6 8 12 37:37 0 26
W W L L D
9
KäPa Home
26 6 7 13 31:46 -15 25
D W W L D
10 25 2 8 15 17:41 -24 14
D L D L L
Promotion - Veikkausliiga
Promotion - Veikkausliiga (Promotion)
Ykkosliiga (Relegation)
Relegation - Ykkonen