Fredrikstad vs Tromso Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | No Draw |
93.5%
|
- | |
| BTTS | Yes |
78.8%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
66.7%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
84.7%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
- |
Fredrikstad
Tromso
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Fredrikstad
31 matches
Tromso
33 matches
| Fredrikstad | Statistic | Tromso |
|---|---|---|
| 13 | Wins | 17 |
| 8 | Draws | 8 |
| 10 | Losses | 8 |
| 43 | Goals For | 57 |
| 44 | Goals Against | 40 |
| 1.39 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.73 |
| 1.42 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.21 |
| 20 | BTTS Yes | 13 |
| 25 | Over 1.5 | 24 |
| 16 | Over 2.5 | 16 |
| 11 | Over 3.5 | 14 |
| 6 | Clean Sheets | 15 |
| 6 | Failed To Score | 10 |
| 3.76 | Shots On Goal | 5.04 |
| 11.24 | Total Shots | 10.85 |
| 4.19 | Corners | 4.7 |
| 47.9% | Ball Possession | 45.5% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights Tromso's more proactive style and Fredrikstad's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Fredrikstad expected to line up in 3-4-3 and Tromso in 5-3-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Tromso having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Tromso. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Tromso arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day.
Fredrikstad sit 8 with 28 points after 21 league matches. Their overall return of 8 wins, 4 draws, and 9 losses with goals at 25:32 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Oskar Øhlenschlaeger (3 goals), B. Thoresen (3 goals), D. Eid (2 goals), with creative support from S. Leach Holm (2 assists), H. Skogvold (2 assists), Oskar Øhlenschlaeger (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared fairly stable. At home, their split return of 5 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.
With 38 points from 21 games and a place of 3, Tromso still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Their record of 11 wins, 5 draws, and 5 losses, together with goals at 40:29, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through H. Larsen (7 goals), A. Warneryd (4 goals), T. Nyhammer (3 goals), with creative support from R. Jenssen (6 assists), T. Nyhammer (2 assists), Jens Hjertø-Dahl (2 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been fairly stable. Away from home, the split record of 4 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their broader football approach still suggests balanced attacking football.
Across those 5 head-to-head meetings, Fredrikstad won 0 times, Tromso won 3 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 0:8 from Fredrikstad's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 0 matches, with an average of 1.6 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 21 | 16 | 2 | 3 | 54:20 | 34 | 50 |
W
W
D
W
L
|
|
| 2 | 21 | 16 | 2 | 3 | 53:19 | 34 | 50 |
L
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 3 |
Tromso
Away
|
21 | 11 | 5 | 5 | 40:29 | 11 | 38 |
W
L
L
D
L
|
| 4 | 21 | 11 | 3 | 7 | 44:32 | 12 | 36 |
L
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 5 | 21 | 10 | 3 | 8 | 39:30 | 9 | 33 |
W
W
W
L
W
|
|
| 6 | 21 | 10 | 2 | 9 | 28:29 | -1 | 32 |
L
W
W
L
D
|
|
| 7 | 21 | 9 | 2 | 10 | 39:32 | 7 | 29 |
W
L
L
D
W
|
|
| 8 |
Fredrikstad
Home
|
21 | 8 | 4 | 9 | 25:32 | -7 | 28 |
D
D
L
W
W
|
| 9 | 21 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 24:29 | -5 | 25 |
L
D
D
D
L
|
|
| 10 | 21 | 7 | 4 | 10 | 25:35 | -10 | 25 |
W
W
L
L
D
|
|
| 11 | 21 | 6 | 5 | 10 | 21:27 | -6 | 23 |
W
L
D
D
W
|
|
| 12 | 21 | 6 | 5 | 10 | 34:43 | -9 | 23 |
D
L
D
L
D
|
|
| 13 | 21 | 6 | 5 | 10 | 29:44 | -15 | 23 |
L
L
L
D
L
|
|
| 14 | 21 | 4 | 9 | 8 | 33:46 | -13 | 21 |
W
L
W
L
D
|
|
| 15 | 21 | 5 | 4 | 12 | 21:40 | -19 | 19 |
L
L
W
D
L
|
|
| 16 | 21 | 4 | 4 | 13 | 22:44 | -22 | 16 |
L
W
L
W
L
|