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ESTONIA › MEISTRILIIGA
08.09.2026 15:00
Hiiu Stadium
Referee: K. Tohver
Kalju Nomme
Match Timeline
Nõmme United
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
19'
Z. Beglarishvili
Nõmme United
⚽
30'
A. Torres · Assist: Z. Beglarishvili
Nõmme United
🟨
33'
H. Jarvelaid
Nõmme United
🔄
46'
T. Baptista ↔ I. Jabir
Kalju Nomme
🔄
46'
B. Chisala ↔ S. Geiger
Nõmme United
🔄
59'
K. Matas ↔ N. Vassiljev
Nõmme United
🔄
61'
O. Musolitin ↔ F. Jekimov
Kalju Nomme
🟨
65'
Z. Beglarishvili
Nõmme United
⚽
76'
N. Ivanov · Assist: E. E. Lotar Eyang
Kalju Nomme
🔄
77'
A. Torres ↔ O. Dacosta
Nõmme United
🔄
79'
H. Jarvelaid ↔ T. Evans
Nõmme United
🟨
84'
R. Vukusic
Kalju Nomme
🟨
84'
T. Evans
Nõmme United
🟨
85'
I. Krasnov
Nõmme United
🟨
90+2'
N. Ivanov
Kalju Nomme
🟨
90+3'
K. Oostenbrink
Nõmme United
🟨
90+4'
G. Purg
Nõmme United

Kalju Nomme vs Nõmme United Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 65.4%
Odds 1.34
BTTS
Yes
Probability 71.2%
Odds 1.62
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds 1.39
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
65.4%
1.34 ▥
BTTS Yes
71.2%
1.62 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
1.39 ▥
Corners O/U Under 7.5 Corners
92%
5.62 ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
2.05 ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
8.50 ▥
Probability Distribution
Kalju Nomme Win 65.4%
Draw 3.5%
Nõmme United Win 31.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
Kalju Nomme2.09
Nõmme United1.57
Recent Form (Last 5)
Kalju Nomme Kalju Nomme
WWDLW
73 GF / 43 GA
Nõmme United Nõmme United
WLDWL
62 GF / 80 GA
Key Stats
1.87
Average Goals Scored
1.88
1.1
Average Goals Conceded
2.42
22
BTTS Yes
26
20
Over 2.5
30
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Kalju Nomme Kalju Nomme 39 matches
Nõmme United Nõmme United 33 matches
Kalju Nomme Statistic Nõmme United
19 Wins 12
9 Draws 2
11 Losses 19
73 Goals For 62
43 Goals Against 80
1.87 Avg Goals Scored 1.88
1.1 Avg Goals Conceded 2.42
22 BTTS Yes 26
31 Over 1.5 31
20 Over 2.5 30
12 Over 3.5 20
13 Clean Sheets 1
5 Failed To Score 6
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Kalju Nomme's more proactive style and Nõmme United's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Nõmme United arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Kalju Nomme arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 2 with 44 points compared to Nõmme United in 8 on 25, which underlines the gap in season consistency. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Nõmme United having the stronger overall control. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Nõmme United.

Kalju Nomme Analysis

Operating from 2 place with 44 points from 25 games, Kalju Nomme bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. They have recorded 13 wins, 5 draws, and 7 losses, with a 45:22 goal return and good form over their recent run. In attack they lean heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, their record of 6 wins, 3 draws, and 4 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

Nõmme United Analysis

With 25 points from 25 games and a place of 8, Nõmme United still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. The overall return of 8 wins, 1 draws, and 16 defeats with a 42:60 goal balance points toward poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Going forward they depend heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked quite vulnerable. Away from home, the split record of 4 wins, 1 draws, and 7 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 6 head-to-head meetings, Kalju Nomme won 4 times, Nõmme United won 0 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 18:3 from Kalju Nomme's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 3.5 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (96.5%)
Predicted formations: Kalju Nomme - / Nõmme United 3-4-1-2
H2H summary: Kalju Nomme wins 4, draws 2, Nõmme United wins 0

Standings

Meistriliiga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 29 22 6 1 81:21 60 72
D W W W W
2 29 18 1 10 59:39 20 55
W W D W W
3 29 15 6 8 48:36 12 51
W W L W L
4 29 15 5 9 52:27 25 50
W W L L L
5 29 14 2 13 37:47 -10 44
L L W L W
6 29 11 2 16 40:47 -7 35
D W L L W
7 29 10 4 15 39:57 -18 34
L L L W W
8 29 8 5 16 31:49 -18 29
D L L W D
9 29 9 1 19 47:68 -21 28
L L W L L
10 29 5 4 20 22:65 -43 19
D L D L L
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Meistriliiga (Relegation)
Relegation - Esiliiga