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BRAZIL › SERIE B
13.09.2026 21:00
Estádio Alfredo Jaconi
Referee: Savio Pereira Sampaio, Brazil
Juventude
Match Timeline
Athletic Club
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
6'
Marcos Paulo
Juventude
🔄
15'
Carlinhos ↔ W. Aponza
Athletic Club
🔄
46'
D. Vera ↔ Kauan Lindes
Athletic Club
🔄
57'
MP ↔ Fabio Lima
Juventude
🔄
57'
Alisson Safira ↔ Alan Kardec
Juventude
🔄
62'
Max ↔ Bruninho
Athletic Club
🟨
65'
Wilinton Aponzá
Athletic Club
VAR
67'
Marcelo Henrique
Athletic Club
⚽
70'
W. Aponza
Athletic Club
🟨
72'
Luan Martins Gonçalves
Juventude
🔄
73'
Rai Silva ↔ Gabriel Pires
Juventude
🔄
73'
Mandaca ↔ Lucas Alves
Juventude
🟨
76'
Fábio Lima
Juventude
🔄
81'
Luan Martins ↔ Pablo Roberto
Juventude
🔄
81'
Aderlan ↔ Juan Christian
Juventude
🔄
87'
Felipe Negrucci ↔ J. Pool
Athletic Club
🔄
89'
↔ Jota
Athletic Club
🟨
90'
Joao Miguel
Athletic Club
⚽
90'
Kauan Lindes · Assist: Bruninho
Athletic Club

Juventude vs Athletic Club Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 66.7%
Odds 1.69
BTTS
Yes
Probability 67.1%
Odds 2.25
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds 2.41
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
66.7%
1.69 ▥
BTTS Yes
67.1%
2.25 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
2.41 ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
72.7%
1.19 ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
2.62 ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
9.00 ▥
Probability Distribution
Juventude Win 66.7%
Draw 4.3%
Athletic Club Win 29%
Expected Goals (xG)
Juventude1.11
Athletic Club0.91
Recent Form (Last 5)
Juventude Juventude
WWDLW
30 GF / 15 GA
Athletic Club Athletic Club
WLDWL
31 GF / 30 GA
Key Stats
1.11
Average Goals Scored
1.15
0.56
Average Goals Conceded
1.11
6
BTTS Yes
15
7
Over 2.5
10
4.22
Shots on Goal
3.3

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Juventude Juventude 27 matches
Athletic Club Athletic Club 27 matches
Juventude Statistic Athletic Club
14 Wins 9
8 Draws 10
5 Losses 8
30 Goals For 31
15 Goals Against 30
1.11 Avg Goals Scored 1.15
0.56 Avg Goals Conceded 1.11
6 BTTS Yes 15
13 Over 1.5 20
7 Over 2.5 10
2 Over 3.5 4
19 Clean Sheets 7
8 Failed To Score 8
4.22 Shots On Goal 3.3
12.19 Total Shots 11.19
4.15 Corners 4.3
49.5% Ball Possession 44.1%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Athletic Club arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Juventude expected to line up in 3-4-3 and Athletic Club in 4-1-4-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Athletic Club having the stronger overall control. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Athletic Club. Juventude arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 1 with 47 points compared to Athletic Club in 11 on 37, which underlines the gap in season consistency.

Juventude Analysis

Juventude arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 1 place with 47 points after 26 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 13 wins, 8 draws, and 5 losses, while the 28:15 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Raí (5 goals), Alisson Safira (4 goals), Alan Kardec (2 goals), with creative support from Rodrigo Sam (2 assists), Luan Gonçalves (2 assists), Raí (1 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. At home, the record of 9 wins, 4 draws, and 1 losses points toward a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

Athletic Club Analysis

Athletic Club sit 11 with 37 points after 26 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. The overall return of 9 wins, 10 draws, and 7 defeats with a 31:27 goal balance points toward mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on Ronaldo Tavares (5 goals), Ian Luccas (4 goals), D. Vera (3 goals), with creative support from Max (3 assists), Ian Luccas (2 assists), Lucas Belezi (2 assists), while defensively they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, the split record of 3 wins, 6 draws, and 3 losses points to a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 1 head-to-head meetings, Juventude won 0 times, Athletic Club won 0 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 1:1 from Juventude's perspective. 0 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 2 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.7%)
Predicted formations: Juventude 3-4-3 / Athletic Club 4-1-4-1
H2H summary: Juventude wins 0, draws 1, Athletic Club wins 0

Standings

Serie B
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 32 17 8 7 37:19 18 59
W W W L L
2 32 17 7 8 44:31 13 58
D W W W D
3 32 15 11 6 37:27 10 56
W D D W D
4 31 15 9 7 52:27 25 54
W D L D W
5 31 15 8 8 33:27 6 53
W W L L L
6 32 14 10 8 40:30 10 52
L W W L W
7 32 15 6 11 49:45 4 51
W L W L W
8 32 13 11 8 44:34 10 50
W W L W L
9 32 13 9 10 44:43 1 48
L L D W D
10 32 11 14 7 32:25 7 47
D W L W D
11 32 13 6 13 32:40 -8 45
W L L W W
12 32 12 9 11 44:34 10 45
L W D W W
13 31 11 9 11 39:38 1 42
D W L D L
14 32 10 12 10 38:37 1 42
L L D D W
15 31 10 9 12 34:39 -5 39
W D W D L
16 32 10 8 14 36:38 -2 38
W L W D L
17 32 9 6 17 32:43 -11 33
W L L L D
18 32 7 7 18 40:47 -7 28
L L L L W
19 32 4 5 23 21:53 -32 17
L L L L L
20 32 3 4 25 17:68 -51 13
L L L W L
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