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ITALY › SERIE B
01.05.2026 13:00
Stadio Romeo Menti
Referee: M. Marcenaro
Juve Stabia
Match Timeline
Frosinone
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
VAR
7'
Alessandro Confente
Frosinone
🔄
41'
A. Confente ↔ P. Boer
Juve Stabia
🔄
64'
G. Kvernadze ↔ A. Fiori
Frosinone
⚽
73'
G. Bracaglia · Assist: G. Calo
Frosinone
🔄
74'
F. Maistro ↔ A. Gabrielloni
Juve Stabia
🔄
74'
L. Carissoni ↔ M. Ricciardi
Juve Stabia
🔄
77'
G. Calo ↔ B. L. Kone
Frosinone
🔄
77'
A. Raimondo ↔ M. Zilli
Frosinone
🔄
81'
A. Okoro ↔ L. Candellone
Juve Stabia
🔄
81'
O. Correia ↔ C. Pierobon
Juve Stabia
🔄
90'
F. Ghedjemis ↔ I. Koutsoupias
Frosinone
🔄
90'
A. Oyono ↔ G. Calvani
Frosinone

Juve Stabia vs Frosinone Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 55.7%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 72.9%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 66.8%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
55.7%
- ▥
BTTS BTTS Yes
72.9%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
66.8%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
- ▥
Correct Score 0-2
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Juve Stabia Win 29%
Draw 15.3%
Frosinone Win 55.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
Juve Stabia1.1
Frosinone1.62
Recent Form (Last 5)
Juve Stabia Juve Stabia
WWDLW
43 GF / 45 GA
Frosinone Frosinone
WLDWL
72 GF / 38 GA
Key Stats
1.16
Average Goals Scored
1.89
1.22
Average Goals Conceded
1
20
BTTS Yes
22
16
Over 2.5
23
4.03
Shots on Goal
5.84

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Juve Stabia Juve Stabia 37 matches
Frosinone Frosinone 38 matches
Juve Stabia Statistic Frosinone
11 Wins 22
17 Draws 12
9 Losses 4
43 Goals For 72
45 Goals Against 38
1.16 Avg Goals Scored 1.89
1.22 Avg Goals Conceded 1
20 BTTS Yes 22
28 Over 1.5 32
16 Over 2.5 23
9 Over 3.5 14
11 Clean Sheets 14
10 Failed To Score 3
4.03 Shots On Goal 5.84
12 Total Shots 16.97
4.89 Corners 5.97
52.8% Ball Possession 49.8%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Frosinone's more proactive style and Juve Stabia's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Frosinone. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Juve Stabia expected to line up in 3-5-1-1 and Frosinone in 4-3-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Frosinone having the stronger overall control. Frosinone carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 3 with 75 points while Juve Stabia sit 7 on 50, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. Frosinone look sharper on recent form, and that momentum could be important in key phases of the match.

Juve Stabia Analysis

From their first 36 matches, Juve Stabia have collected 50 points and now occupy 7 place in the table. Across the campaign, they have posted 11 wins, 17 draws, and 8 losses, while the 43:43 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on L. Candellone (7 goals), N. Mosti (7 goals), L. Carissoni (6 goals), with creative support from F. Maistro (6 assists), A. Gabrielloni (3 assists), N. Mosti (2 assists), and defensively they have been quite vulnerable. At home, the record of 8 wins, 9 draws, and 1 losses points toward a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Frosinone Analysis

Frosinone come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 3 place with 75 points after 36 matches. The return of 21 wins, 12 draws, and 3 defeats, together with goals at 70:34, reflects very strong form with results showing strong momentum. Much of their attacking edge comes through F. Ghedjemis (14 goals), A. Raimondo (10 goals), G. Calo (9 goals), with creative support from G. Calo (13 assists), Giorgi Kvernadze (5 assists), Ilario Monterisi (5 assists), while their defending has remained fairly stable. Away from home, they have managed 10 wins, 7 draws, and 1 losses, which underlines a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 7 head-to-head meetings, Juve Stabia won 0 times, Frosinone won 4 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 4:13 from Juve Stabia's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 2.43 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (84.7%)
Predicted formations: Juve Stabia 3-5-1-1 / Frosinone 4-3-3
H2H summary: Juve Stabia wins 0, draws 3, Frosinone wins 4

Standings

Serie B: Regular season
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 38 24 10 4 77:31 46 82
W D W W D
2 38 23 12 3 76:34 42 81
W W W W D
3 38 22 10 6 61:32 29 76
D L W W W
4 38 20 12 6 61:33 28 72
L W D W D
5 38 15 14 9 62:51 11 59
L L W D D
6 38 15 10 13 49:36 13 55
L W L L D
7 38 11 18 9 44:45 -1 51
D L D D W
8 38 13 10 15 43:55 -12 49
W L W W D
9 38 13 7 18 45:57 -12 46
L W W L W
10 38 12 10 16 39:49 -10 46
W W L W W
11 38 12 10 16 45:56 -11 46
L D D L L
12 38 10 14 14 47:52 -5 44
L D L D L
13 38 11 11 16 35:48 -13 44
L W D L W
14 38 10 12 16 36:51 -15 42
W L W D D
15 38 9 14 15 47:54 -7 41
D W L D L
16 38 8 17 13 38:48 -10 41
D L L L D
17 38 10 10 18 38:60 -22 40
W W L L L
18 38 9 10 19 36:56 -20 37
W L D L W
19 38 8 11 19 43:59 -16 35
D D L W L
20 38 7 14 17 51:66 -15 35
D L D D L
Promotion - Serie A
Promotion - Serie B (Play Offs: Semi-finals)
Promotion - Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter-finals)
Serie B (Play Out)
Relegation