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NETHERLANDS › EERSTE DIVISIE
18.09.2026 18:00
AFAS Trainingscomplex
Referee: Wouter Wiersma
Jong AZ
Match Timeline
FC Volendam
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
17'
Hessel de Wit · Assist: Tycho De Wit
Jong AZ
⚽
30'
Jerolldino Armantrading · Assist: Tycho De Wit
Jong AZ
🔄
31'
Mawouna Amevor ↔ Deron Payne
FC Volendam
🔄
31'
Daan Huisman ↔ Alex Plat
FC Volendam
🔄
31'
Kayden Wolff ↔ Y. Jaber el Maftahi
FC Volendam
🟨
44'
rio robbemond
Jong AZ
🔄
45'
Reuven Niemeijer ↔ Frederik Ihler
FC Volendam
🟨
53'
Frederik Ihler
FC Volendam
⚽
61'
Bendegúz Kovács · Assist: Tycho De Wit
Jong AZ
🔄
64'
Jerolldino Armantrading ↔ Yoël van den Ban
Jong AZ
⚽
70'
Julian Oerip
Jong AZ
🔄
73'
Frej Elkjær Andersen ↔ Mathijs Menu
Jong AZ
🔄
73'
rio robbemond ↔ Julian Sijbrands
Jong AZ
⚽
75'
Frederik Ihler · Assist: Henk Veerman
FC Volendam
🔄
79'
Bendegúz Kovács ↔ Melle Roede
Jong AZ
🔄
79'
Hessel de Wit ↔ Bogdan Budko
Jong AZ

Jong AZ vs FC Volendam Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 63%
Odds 2.84
BTTS
Yes
Probability 86%
Odds 1.33
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 87%
Odds 1.35
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
63%
2.84 ▥
BTTS Yes
86%
1.33 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
87%
1.35 ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
4.00 ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
12.00 ▥
Probability Distribution
Jong AZ Win 63%
Draw 5.3%
FC Volendam Win 31.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
Jong AZ2.41
FC Volendam2.01
Recent Form (Last 5)
Jong AZ Jong AZ
WWDLW
39 GF / 22 GA
FC Volendam FC Volendam
WLDWL
30 GF / 24 GA
Key Stats
2.79
Average Goals Scored
2.31
1.57
Average Goals Conceded
1.85
12
BTTS Yes
9
11
Over 2.5
11
6.38
Shots on Goal
5.83

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Jong AZ Jong AZ 14 matches
FC Volendam FC Volendam 13 matches
Jong AZ Statistic FC Volendam
8 Wins 5
2 Draws 2
4 Losses 6
39 Goals For 30
22 Goals Against 24
2.79 Avg Goals Scored 2.31
1.57 Avg Goals Conceded 1.85
12 BTTS Yes 9
13 Over 1.5 12
11 Over 2.5 11
8 Over 3.5 9
1 Clean Sheets 3
1 Failed To Score 1
6.38 Shots On Goal 5.83
15.13 Total Shots 12.67
4.25 Corners 4
49.8% Ball Possession 50.3%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From a tactical perspective, this fixture features two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. FC Volendam arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring FC Volendam. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Jong AZ expected to line up in 4-3-3 and FC Volendam in 4-1-4-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward FC Volendam having the stronger overall control.

Jong AZ Analysis

Jong AZ sit 8 with 9 points after 6 league matches. The record of 3 wins, 0 draws, and 3 defeats, together with a 15:12 goal balance, points toward good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through B. Kovacs (3 goals), Ayoub Oufkir (3 goals), J. Oerip (2 goals), with creative support from J. Oerip (4 assists), B. Kovacs (1 assists), R. Robbemond (1 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. At home, their split return of 1 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

FC Volendam Analysis

With 6 points from 5 games and a place of 13, FC Volendam still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Across the season they have posted 2 wins, 0 draws, and 3 defeats, and the 14:10 goal record continues to suggest mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on H. Veerman (7 goals), R. Niemeijer (2 goals), N. Doodeman (1 goals), with creative support from N. Doodeman (4 assists), R. Niemeijer (1 assists), A. Plat (1 assists), while at the back they have been very solid. Away from home, the split record of 0 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 13 head-to-head meetings, Jong AZ won 1 times, FC Volendam won 9 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 13:27 from Jong AZ's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 3.08 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (94.7%)
Predicted formations: Jong AZ 4-3-3 / FC Volendam 4-1-4-1
H2H summary: Jong AZ wins 1, draws 3, FC Volendam wins 9

Standings

Eerste Divisie: Regular season
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 9 7 1 1 28:12 16 22
D W L W W
2 9 6 1 2 19:7 12 19
W L W W L
3 9 6 0 3 23:14 9 18
W L W W L
4 9 5 1 3 19:18 1 16
D W L L W
5 9 5 1 3 13:19 -6 16
L W L L D
6 9 4 3 2 9:7 2 15
L W D W D
7 9 3 5 1 19:12 7 14
D L W W W
8 9 4 2 3 15:13 2 14
D L W L W
9 9 4 2 3 19:19 0 14
D W W L L
10 9 4 1 4 22:17 5 13
W D L W W
11 9 4 0 5 20:17 3 12
L W L W L
12 9 3 3 3 14:16 -2 12
L D L W D
13 9 3 2 4 15:19 -4 11
D L W W D
14 9 2 3 4 15:16 -1 9
D L L W W
15 9 3 0 6 12:14 -2 9
W L W L L
16 9 2 2 5 13:18 -5 8
D L W L L
17 9 2 2 5 13:22 -9 8
D L L W D
18 9 2 2 5 13:24 -11 8
D W L L L
19 9 2 2 5 11:22 -11 8
D W L W L
20 9 2 1 6 15:21 -6 7
L W W D L
Promotion - Eredivisie
Promotion - Eredivisie (Promotion)