BRAZIL SERIE D
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Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 87.3%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 67.4%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 58.1%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
87.3%
-
BTTS Yes
67.4%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
58.1%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
Ivinhema Win 51%
Draw 12.7%
ASA Win 36.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
Ivinhema0.92
ASA1.12
Recent Form (Last 5)
Ivinhema Ivinhema
WWDLW
13 GF / 14 GA
ASA ASA
WLDWL
13 GF / 8 GA
Key Stats
1.08
Average Goals Scored
1.08
1.17
Average Goals Conceded
0.67
7
BTTS Yes
6
4
Over 2.5
4
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Ivinhema Ivinhema 12 matches
ASA ASA 12 matches
Ivinhema Statistic ASA
4 Wins 5
5 Draws 5
3 Losses 2
13 Goals For 13
14 Goals Against 8
1.08 Avg Goals Scored 1.08
1.17 Avg Goals Conceded 0.67
7 BTTS Yes 6
10 Over 1.5 7
4 Over 2.5 4
2 Over 3.5 0
3 Clean Sheets 5
3 Failed To Score 3
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

In knockout conditions, this fixture pairs ASA's more proactive style and Ivinhema's more cautious structure, which should make the margins especially important. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Because this is a knockout setting, momentum shifts, risk management, and late-game discipline could all carry more weight than in a standard league fixture. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward ASA. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward ASA having the stronger overall control. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

Ivinhema Analysis

Ivinhema come into this tie placed 4 in their league with 13 points from 10 matches. The return of 3 wins, 4 draws, and 3 defeats, together with a 9:12 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Their attacking influence is driven by their main attacking players, and at the back they have looked very solid. At home, the return of 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader football identity still points toward a more cautious and defensive approach.

ASA Analysis

Ahead of this knockout test, ASA arrive from a league campaign that has them 3 with 16 points after 10 matches. The return of 4 wins, 4 draws, and 2 defeats, together with a 11:7 goal balance, points toward mixed form and have been stuck in a sequence of draws. Their attacking influence is driven by their main attacking players, and at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have managed 1 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, which supports a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In tactical terms they still look like a side built around balanced attacking football.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (87.3%)
Last matches: Ivinhema
29.06.26
Ser
Ivinhema
Democrata GV
1
1
D
21.06.26
Ser
Ivinhema
Democrata GV
3
1
W
14.06.26
Ser
Ivinhema
CRAC
1
1
D
31.05.26
Ser
Ivinhema
Uberlandia
1
1
D
23.05.26
Ser
Ivinhema
Ipatinga
0
3
L
16.05.26
Ser
Ivinhema
Operario Ferroviario
0
2
L
10.05.26
Ser
Ivinhema
ABECAT Ouvidorense
0
0
D
02.05.26
Ser
Ivinhema
ABECAT Ouvidorense
1
1
D
26.04.26
Ser
Ivinhema
Operario Ferroviario
2
0
W
19.04.26
Ser
Ivinhema
Ipatinga
1
3
L
11.04.26
Ser
Ivinhema
Uberlandia
2
1
W
05.04.26
Ser
Ivinhema
CRAC
1
0
W
Last matches: ASA
27.06.26
Ser
ASA
Sergipe
1
0
W
21.06.26
Ser
ASA
Sergipe
1
1
D
14.06.26
Ser
ASA
Jacuipense
1
1
D
30.05.26
Ser
ASA
CSE
0
0
D
23.05.26
Ser
ASA
CSA
1
1
D
16.05.26
Ser
ASA
Juazeirense
1
0
W
10.05.26
Ser
ASA
Atlético Alagoinhas
3
0
W
03.05.26
Ser
ASA
Atlético Alagoinhas
1
2
L
26.04.26
Ser
ASA
Juazeirense
0
1
L
19.04.26
Ser
ASA
CSA
2
1
W
12.04.26
Ser
ASA
CSE
2
1
W
04.04.26
Ser
ASA
Jacuipense
0
0
D
06.09.25
Ser
ASA
Maranhão
0
3
L
30.08.25
Ser
ASA
Maranhão
0
1
L
23.08.25
Ser
ASA
Manauara
0
0
D
16.08.25
Ser
ASA
Manauara
1
0
W
09.08.25
Ser
ASA
Ferroviario
2
0
W
02.08.25
Ser
ASA
Ferroviario
1
0
W
27.07.25
Ser
ASA
Juazeirense
3
0
W
20.07.25
Ser
ASA
Jequié
0
0
D
Last matches: Ivinhema
21.06.26
Ser
Ivinhema
Democrata GV
3
1
W
31.05.26
Ser
Ivinhema
Uberlandia
1
1
D
10.05.26
Ser
Ivinhema
ABECAT Ouvidorense
0
0
D
26.04.26
Ser
Ivinhema
Operario Ferroviario
2
0
W
19.04.26
Ser
Ivinhema
Ipatinga
1
3
L
05.04.26
Ser
Ivinhema
CRAC
1
0
W
Last matches: ASA
27.06.26
Ser
ASA
Sergipe
1
0
W
14.06.26
Ser
ASA
Jacuipense
1
1
D
23.05.26
Ser
ASA
CSA
1
1
D
03.05.26
Ser
ASA
Atlético Alagoinhas
1
2
L
26.04.26
Ser
ASA
Juazeirense
0
1
L
12.04.26
Ser
ASA
CSE
2
1
W
30.08.25
Ser
ASA
Maranhão
0
1
L
16.08.25
Ser
ASA
Manauara
1
0
W
02.08.25
Ser
ASA
Ferroviario
1
0
W
20.07.25
Ser
ASA
Jequié
0
0
D
13.07.25
Ser
ASA
Penedense
1
0
W
15.06.25
Ser
ASA
Barcelona BA
0
1
L
31.05.25
Ser
ASA
União Carmolandense
4
0
W
17.05.25
Ser
ASA
Lagarto
0
0
D
10.05.25
Ser
ASA
Sergipe
2
1
W
20.04.25
Ser
ASA
Juazeirense
3
0
W

Standings

Group 1
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 6 4 0 13:5 8 22
W W D W D
2 10 6 2 2 15:9 6 20
W D W L W
3 10 3 4 3 10:7 3 13
L W D L L
4 10 2 4 4 11:14 -3 10
L L D W W
5 10 2 4 4 8:13 -5 10
L D D W L
6 10 1 2 7 8:17 -9 5
W L L L D
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Group 2
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 6 4 0 19:9 10 22
D W W D W
2 10 5 3 2 33:9 24 18
W W D D W
3 10 5 3 2 31:9 22 18
W L D L W
4 10 4 3 3 17:10 7 15
D W W W L
5 10 3 1 6 14:31 -17 10
L L L W L
6 10 0 0 10 4:50 -46 0
L L L L L
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Group 3
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 8 2 0 23:6 17 26
D W W W W
2 10 4 3 3 11:10 1 15
W D W L L
3 10 3 5 2 11:10 1 14
W D W L L
4 10 3 4 3 13:12 1 13
D D L D W
5 10 3 3 4 10:13 -3 12
L D L W W
6 10 0 1 9 3:20 -17 1
L L L D L
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Group 4
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 7 2 1 16:6 10 23
W W D W W
2 10 5 4 1 13:7 6 19
W D D L D
3 10 3 3 4 9:10 -1 12
D D W L L
4 10 2 6 2 10:9 1 12
D D D W L
5 10 2 3 5 11:18 -7 9
L D L W D
6 10 1 2 7 7:16 -9 5
L L D L W
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Group 5
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 6 2 2 19:13 6 20
W L W W L
2 10 5 3 2 20:11 9 18
L W W L W
3 10 4 3 3 15:10 5 15
W W L L W
4 10 3 4 3 14:17 -3 13
L W D W L
5 10 3 3 4 18:18 0 12
W L L W W
6 10 1 1 8 12:29 -17 4
L L D L L
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Group 6
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 5 5 0 14:7 7 20
W D D D W
2 10 5 4 1 12:6 6 19
W W W D D
3 10 4 2 4 11:13 -2 14
W D L L W
4 10 3 4 3 12:6 6 13
L W W W D
5 10 2 3 5 8:15 -7 9
L L L D L
6 10 0 4 6 10:20 -10 4
L L D D L
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Group 7
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 6 3 1 15:7 8 21
W D W W D
2 10 5 2 3 14:11 3 17
W W L W D
3 10 3 5 2 12:9 3 14
L D W D L
4 10 3 2 5 9:15 -6 11
W D L L L
5 10 2 4 4 10:10 0 10
L D W D W
6 10 1 4 5 6:14 -8 7
L L L L W
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Group 8
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 7 2 1 15:6 9 23
W W D W W
2 10 6 3 1 14:3 11 21
W W D W D
3 10 3 4 3 8:5 3 13
L W D D D
4 10 3 4 3 8:7 1 13
W L D D L
5 10 3 1 6 4:11 -7 10
L L D L W
6 10 0 2 8 3:20 -17 2
L L D L L
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Standings
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 5 2 3 18:14 4 17
L D L W W
1 10 6 3 1 25:8 17 21
W D D W W
1 10 5 3 2 12:8 4 18
L D D D W
1 10 5 2 3 13:9 4 17
D W W L L
1 10 6 3 1 16:6 10 21
W W W D L
1 10 4 5 1 14:9 5 17
L D D W W
1 10 6 1 3 15:9 6 19
W W W W L
1 10 6 1 3 14:8 6 19
L W W L D
2 10 4 3 3 15:13 2 15
D L L D W
2 10 5 2 3 12:9 3 17
W D D L L
2 10 4 3 3 12:9 3 15
W L W D D
2 10 4 5 1 13:6 7 17
D W D W D
2 10 5 2 3 16:8 8 17
L W W D D
2 10 4 3 3 12:7 5 15
W D L W W
2 10 5 1 4 9:8 1 16
W L D W L
2 10 4 4 2 9:5 4 16
D L D W W
3 10 3 6 1 12:8 4 15
D D W L D
3
ASA Away
10 4 4 2 11:7 4 16
D D D W W
3 10 3 4 3 7:7 0 13
D L D W D
3 10 4 3 3 12:8 4 15
D D W D W
3 10 3 5 2 14:9 5 14
L D D W D
3 10 3 4 3 10:10 0 13
W L D L D
3 10 4 3 3 9:4 5 15
L D W L W
3 10 3 4 3 3:4 -1 13
D L D L D
4 10 3 4 3 14:15 -1 13
W W D D D
4 10 3 4 3 12:14 -2 13
D D D W W
4 10 3 4 3 9:12 -3 13
D D L L D
4 10 3 4 3 14:12 2 13
W L L D D
4 10 3 3 4 11:21 -10 12
W D L W L
4 10 3 3 4 8:10 -2 12
L W D L L
4 10 4 3 3 11:9 2 15
W D L W W
4 10 3 4 3 6:8 -2 13
W W D D W
5 10 3 3 4 13:15 -2 12
W D D W L
5 10 2 3 5 10:17 -7 9
L D D L L
5 10 3 3 4 8:9 -1 12
W W W L D
5 10 3 1 6 9:21 -12 10
L L L D L
5 10 3 2 5 11:16 -5 11
W L D L W
5 10 3 3 4 7:10 -3 12
W L W W D
5 10 4 3 3 10:8 2 15
L W D L L
5 10 2 4 4 9:12 -3 10
D L D D L
6 10 2 2 6 10:17 -7 8
L D W L L
6 10 1 2 7 5:20 -15 5
L D D L L
6 10 2 3 5 9:12 -3 9
L W L W L
6 10 1 5 4 6:11 -5 8
D D D D W
6 10 2 1 7 6:14 -8 7
L L L L W
6 10 3 2 5 9:14 -5 11
L W D L L
6 10 1 1 8 2:18 -16 4
L L L L W
6 10 2 3 5 7:11 -4 9
D W L W L
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)