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25.09.2026 22:00
Estadio Carlos Sacaan
Ituzaingó
Match Timeline
Defensores Unidos
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🔄
19'
M. Ortigoza ↔ J. Tello
Defensores Unidos
🟨
36'
J. Tello
Defensores Unidos
🔄
63'
J. Fernandez ↔ J. Odunukwe
Ituzaingó
🔄
68'
A. Sombra ↔ B. Carboni
Defensores Unidos
🔄
68'
↔ F. D'Andrea
Defensores Unidos
🔄
71'
I. Regules ↔ L. Garcia
Ituzaingó
🔄
71'
Moreira ↔ F. Luppino
Ituzaingó
⚽
78'
M. N. Alarcon
Defensores Unidos
🔄
88'
M. N. Alarcon ↔ T. Ferreyra
Defensores Unidos
🔄
88'
K. Redondo ↔ L. Montani
Defensores Unidos
🟨
90+3'
S. Iribarne
Defensores Unidos

Ituzaingó vs Defensores Unidos Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away or Draw
Probability 79%
Odds 1.33
BTTS
No
Probability 56%
Odds 1.73
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 65.5%
Odds 1.46
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away or Draw
79%
1.33 ▥
BTTS No
56%
1.73 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
65.5%
1.46 ▥
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
5.50 ▥
Correct Score 0-1
-
7.00 ▥
Probability Distribution
Ituzaingó Win 21%
Draw 27.2%
Defensores Unidos Win 51.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
Ituzaingó0.8
Defensores Unidos1.19
Recent Form (Last 5)
Ituzaingó Ituzaingó
WWDLW
23 GF / 62 GA
Defensores Unidos Defensores Unidos
WLDWL
31 GF / 38 GA
Key Stats
0.62
Average Goals Scored
0.86
1.68
Average Goals Conceded
1.06
17
BTTS Yes
15
16
Over 2.5
9
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Ituzaingó Ituzaingó 37 matches
Defensores Unidos Defensores Unidos 36 matches
Ituzaingó Statistic Defensores Unidos
1 Wins 8
12 Draws 13
24 Losses 15
23 Goals For 31
62 Goals Against 38
0.62 Avg Goals Scored 0.86
1.68 Avg Goals Conceded 1.06
17 BTTS Yes 15
27 Over 1.5 24
16 Over 2.5 9
9 Over 3.5 3
8 Clean Sheets 10
19 Failed To Score 15
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Defensores Unidos carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 19 with 37 points while Ituzaingó sit 22 on 15, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Defensores Unidos having the stronger overall control. Ituzaingó have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Defensores Unidos.

Ituzaingó Analysis

Ituzaingó approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 22 with 15 points from 35 matches. The overall return of 1 wins, 12 draws, and 22 defeats with a 22:55 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked quite vulnerable. At home, the split record of 1 wins, 8 draws, and 9 losses points to a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Defensores Unidos Analysis

Defensores Unidos approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 19 with 37 points from 36 matches. The overall return of 8 wins, 13 draws, and 15 defeats with a 31:38 goal balance points toward mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, the split record of 1 wins, 5 draws, and 12 losses points to a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 7 head-to-head meetings, Ituzaingó won 1 times, Defensores Unidos won 4 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 4:7 from Ituzaingó's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 1.57 goals per game.

1X2: Away or Draw
BTTS: No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: X2 (79%)
H2H summary: Ituzaingó wins 1, draws 2, Defensores Unidos wins 4

Standings

Prim B Metro
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 38 22 8 8 59:30 29 74
L W W W W
2 38 19 12 7 50:25 25 69
L W L W W
3 38 19 10 9 40:23 17 67
L W D L W
4 38 18 11 9 45:28 17 65
W W D L W
5 38 17 13 8 38:23 15 64
L D W L L
6 38 17 12 9 43:29 14 63
L L L L W
7 38 17 10 11 42:38 4 61
W L W W L
8 38 17 9 12 42:38 4 60
W W W W D
9 38 14 13 11 39:34 5 55
D D W D W
10 38 13 12 13 46:50 -4 51
W L L D D
11 38 12 14 12 39:41 -2 50
W L W W D
12 38 11 14 13 40:42 -2 47
L W D L L
13 38 11 14 13 37:39 -2 47
W W D D D
14 38 11 11 16 33:39 -6 44
L L W L L
15 38 10 14 14 36:51 -15 44
D L W L D
16 38 9 16 13 30:37 -7 43
D D D W L
17 38 10 13 15 31:39 -8 43
W L L W D
18 38 9 14 15 33:39 -6 41
D W L W D
19 38 8 15 15 24:37 -13 39
D W D L D
20 38 10 9 19 34:48 -14 39
D L L W L
21 38 5 20 13 21:35 -14 35
W D L L W
22 38 1 12 25 25:62 -37 15
L L L D L
Promotion - Primera Nacional
Promotion - Primera B (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Primera C (Apertura)