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ITALY › SERIE A
05.09.2026 16:00
San Siro/Giuseppe Meazza
Referee: Simone Sozza, Italy
Inter
Match Timeline
Napoli
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
35'
Antonio Vergara
Napoli
🔄
45'
Pio Esposito ↔ Marcus Thuram
Inter
🔄
45'
Petar Sučić ↔ Curtis Jones
Inter
⚽
50'
Matteo Politano
Napoli
⚽
53'
Rasmus Hojlund · Assist: Giovanni Di Lorenzo
Napoli
⚽
56'
Lautaro Martínez · Assist: Federico Dimarco
Inter
🔄
62'
Antonio Vergara ↔ Kevin De Bruyne
Napoli
🔄
62'
Matteo Politano ↔ David Neres
Napoli
🔄
62'
Federico Dimarco ↔ Carlos Augusto
Inter
🟨
68'
Lautaro Martínez
Inter
🔄
72'
Piotr Zieliński ↔ Hakan Çalhanoğlu
Inter
🔄
72'
Rasmus Hojlund ↔ Lorenzo Lucca
Napoli
🟨
77'
Rafael Marin Zamora
Napoli
🔄
79'
Alessandro Bastoni ↔ Ange-Yoan Bonny
Inter
🔄
79'
Stanislav Lobotka ↔ Billy Gilmour
Napoli
🔄
80'
Alisson Santos ↔ Benoît Badiashile
Napoli
⚽
82'
Marcus Thuram · Assist: Carlos Augusto
Inter
⚽
90+1'
Lautaro Martínez · Assist: Manuel Akanji
Inter
🟨
90+2'
Cristian Eugen Chivu
Inter

Inter vs Napoli Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 47%
Odds 1.68
BTTS
Yes
Probability 67.4%
Odds 1.91
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 61.1%
Odds 1.91
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
47%
1.68 ▥
BTTS Yes
67.4%
1.91 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
61.1%
1.91 ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
80.5%
1.83 ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
2.50 ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
8.00 ▥
Probability Distribution
Inter Win 47%
Draw 14.8%
Napoli Win 38.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
Inter1.54
Napoli1.57
Recent Form (Last 5)
Inter Inter
WWDLW
12 GF / 5 GA
Napoli Napoli
WLDWL
15 GF / 9 GA
Key Stats
1.71
Average Goals Scored
2.14
0.71
Average Goals Conceded
1.29
5
BTTS Yes
5
3
Over 2.5
4
6
Shots on Goal
3

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Inter Inter 7 matches
Napoli Napoli 7 matches
Inter Statistic Napoli
5 Wins 4
2 Draws 1
0 Losses 2
12 Goals For 15
5 Goals Against 9
1.71 Avg Goals Scored 2.14
0.71 Avg Goals Conceded 1.29
5 BTTS Yes 5
5 Over 1.5 7
3 Over 2.5 4
1 Over 3.5 2
2 Clean Sheets 2
0 Failed To Score 0
6 Shots On Goal 3
22 Total Shots 13
4.5 Corners 3.5
68% Ball Possession 48.5%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Inter won 6 times, Napoli won 2 times, while 7 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 21:16 from Inter's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 10 matches, with an average of 2.47 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (85.2%)
Predicted formations: Inter 3-5-2 / Napoli 4-3-3
Missing players: Inter 1, Napoli 4
H2H summary: Inter wins 6, draws 7, Napoli wins 2

Standings

Serie A
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1
Inter Home
6 5 1 0 18:8 10 16
W D W W W
2 6 4 2 0 14:3 11 14
D D W W W
3 5 4 1 0 8:3 5 13
W D W W W
4 5 4 0 1 5:2 3 12
W W W L W
5 5 3 2 0 10:4 6 11
W D D W W
6 6 3 2 1 9:6 3 11
D L W W W
7 6 3 1 2 10:6 4 10
W D W L L
8 5 3 1 1 8:4 4 10
W L D W W
9 6 3 1 2 9:7 2 10
L W D W W
10 5 2 1 2 9:9 0 7
L W D W L
11 5 2 0 3 5:7 -2 6
L L L W W
12 5 2 0 3 5:10 -5 6
L W L L W
13 5 1 1 3 8:11 -3 4
L L L W D
14 5 1 1 3 5:8 -3 4
D L W L L
15 5 1 1 3 8:12 -4 4
W L D L L
16 6 1 1 4 5:11 -6 4
W L D L L
17 6 1 1 4 4:10 -6 4
L W L D L
18 6 1 1 4 7:14 -7 4
L D W L L
19 5 0 2 3 3:6 -3 2
D L D L L
20 5 0 0 5 4:13 -9 0
L L L L L
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