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FINLAND › VEIKKAUSLIIGA
14.09.2026 15:00
Veritas Stadium
Referee: Joni Hyytia, Finland
Inter Turku
Match Timeline
VPS
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
16'
Robert Ivanov
Inter Turku
🟨
40'
Jayden Turfkruier
VPS
🟨
40'
Kevin Kouassivi-Benissan
VPS
🔄
62'
S. Saarinen ↔ J. Tauriainen
Inter Turku
🔄
62'
J. Yli-Kokko ↔ M. Suso
Inter Turku
🔄
65'
Y. Daoussi ↔ S. Lindholm
VPS
🟨
69'
Razak Simpson
VPS
⚽
70'
H. Sjogrell
Inter Turku
🔄
73'
J. Laine ↔ P. Ahiabu
Inter Turku
🔄
73'
H. Sjogrell ↔ I. Jarvinen
Inter Turku
🔄
77'
J. Turfkruier ↔ A. Raisanen
VPS
🔄
77'
M. Niemi ↔ X. Odhiambo
VPS
🔄
83'
P. Lima ↔ J. Vahtera
VPS
🔄
83'
O. Ogunniyi ↔ C. Holmelund
VPS
🔄
84'
R. Ivanov ↔ Y. Amankwah
Inter Turku
🟨
88'
Prosper Ahiabu
Inter Turku

Inter Turku vs VPS Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 60.4%
Odds 1.70
BTTS
Yes
Probability 71%
Odds 2.00
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 55.6%
Odds 2.04
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
60.4%
1.70 ▥
BTTS Yes
71%
2.00 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
55.6%
2.04 ▥
Corners O/U Under 9.5 Corners
92%
1.81 ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
2.62 ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
8.50 ▥
Probability Distribution
Inter Turku Win 60.4%
Draw 4.5%
VPS Win 35%
Expected Goals (xG)
Inter Turku1.16
VPS1.13
Recent Form (Last 5)
Inter Turku Inter Turku
WWDLW
44 GF / 33 GA
VPS VPS
WLDWL
34 GF / 27 GA
Key Stats
1.26
Average Goals Scored
1.26
0.94
Average Goals Conceded
1
18
BTTS Yes
15
14
Over 2.5
11
1.97
Shots on Goal
1.48

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Inter Turku Inter Turku 35 matches
VPS VPS 27 matches
Inter Turku Statistic VPS
16 Wins 11
13 Draws 7
6 Losses 9
44 Goals For 34
33 Goals Against 27
1.26 Avg Goals Scored 1.26
0.94 Avg Goals Conceded 1
18 BTTS Yes 15
24 Over 1.5 16
14 Over 2.5 11
6 Over 3.5 6
14 Clean Sheets 7
9 Failed To Score 7
1.97 Shots On Goal 1.48
3.97 Total Shots 3.43
2.03 Corners 1.48
24.8% Ball Possession 22.6%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward VPS. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Inter Turku expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and VPS in 3-4-1-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward VPS having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. VPS arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly.

Inter Turku Analysis

Inter Turku approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 2 on 42 points after 22 outings. The return of 11 wins, 9 draws, and 2 defeats, together with goals at 29:16, reflects good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking edge comes through Clinton Jephta (1 goals), Alie Conteh (1 goals), J. Yli-Kokko (1 goals), while their defending has remained very solid. At home, the split of 5 wins, 5 draws, and 1 losses supports the view of a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

VPS Analysis

VPS sit 6 with 33 points after 22 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 9 wins, 6 draws, and 7 defeats, and the 29:22 goal record continues to suggest mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on L. Smyth (3 goals), Oluwaseyi Ogunniyi (1 goals), with creative support from J. Turfkruier (1 assists), K. Kouassivi-Benissan (1 assists), J. Muzinga (1 assists), while at the back they have been very solid. Away from home, they have returned 4 wins, 3 draws, and 4 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they tend to play with balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 5 head-to-head meetings, Inter Turku won 4 times, VPS won 0 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 8:3 from Inter Turku's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 2.2 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.5%)
Predicted formations: Inter Turku 4-2-3-1 / VPS 3-4-1-2
H2H summary: Inter Turku wins 4, draws 1, VPS wins 0

Standings

Veikkausliiga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 22 12 7 3 38:23 15 43
L W D D L
2 22 11 9 2 29:16 13 42
D W W L W
3 22 11 4 7 36:27 9 37
W D D W W
4 22 10 6 6 36:29 7 36
D D W D D
5 22 10 4 8 25:25 0 34
W L L L D
6
VPS Away
22 9 6 7 29:22 7 33
L L L W L
7 22 9 5 8 26:19 7 32
D L W W W
8 22 8 7 7 28:23 5 31
L L D D D
9 22 7 4 11 34:37 -3 25
W W W L L
10 22 4 7 11 25:33 -8 19
W D D D L
11 22 3 6 13 18:44 -26 15
D D L L L
12 22 3 5 14 17:43 -26 14
L W L W W
Play-offs
Relegation Play-offs