BOLIVIA PRIMERA DIVISIóN
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Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away or Draw
Probability 62.5%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 63.2%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away or Draw
62.5%
-
BTTS Yes
63.2%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
-
Corners O/U Under 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 1-2
-
-
Probability Distribution
Independiente Petrolero Win 37.6%
Draw 19.8%
Guabirá Win 42.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Independiente Petrolero1.55
Guabirá1.67
Recent Form (Last 5)
Independiente Petrolero Independiente Petrolero
WWDLW
22 GF / 26 GA
Guabirá Guabirá
WLDWL
30 GF / 33 GA
Key Stats
1.29
Average Goals Scored
1.76
1.53
Average Goals Conceded
1.94
11
BTTS Yes
11
13
Over 2.5
15
2.31
Shots on Goal
1.46

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Independiente Petrolero Independiente Petrolero 17 matches
Guabirá Guabirá 17 matches
Independiente Petrolero Statistic Guabirá
6 Wins 8
4 Draws 3
7 Losses 6
22 Goals For 30
26 Goals Against 33
1.29 Avg Goals Scored 1.76
1.53 Avg Goals Conceded 1.94
11 BTTS Yes 11
14 Over 1.5 16
13 Over 2.5 15
5 Over 3.5 8
3 Clean Sheets 3
4 Failed To Score 3
2.31 Shots On Goal 1.46
5.31 Total Shots 4.77
1.92 Corners 1.46
21.1% Ball Possession 14.6%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This contest looks finely balanced, with Independiente Petrolero's more proactive style and Guabirá's more cautious structure suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Guabirá. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Guabirá look sharper on recent form, and that momentum could be important in key phases of the match. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Guabirá having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

Independiente Petrolero Analysis

So far, Independiente Petrolero have built a campaign that leaves them 8 in the table on 22 points from 15 matches. Their overall return of 6 wins, 4 draws, and 5 losses with goals at 22:21 reflects good form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by their main attacking players, while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, they have returned 3 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

Guabirá Analysis

Guabirá come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 5 place with 24 points after 15 matches. The return of 7 wins, 3 draws, and 5 defeats, together with goals at 26:27, reflects very strong form and are on a winning streak. Much of their attacking edge comes through their main attacking players, while their defending has remained fairly stable. Away from home, their record of 2 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their overall playing style can be described as a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, Independiente Petrolero won 5 times, Guabirá won 4 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 18:18 from Independiente Petrolero's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 2.57 goals per game.

1X2: Away or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (80.2%)
H2H summary: Independiente Petrolero wins 5, draws 5, Guabirá wins 4
Last matches: Independiente Petrolero
17.08.26
Pri
Independiente Petrolero
Gualberto Villarroel SJ
1
0
W
08.08.26
Pri
Independiente Petrolero
The Strongest
2
1
W
04.08.26
Pri
Independiente Petrolero
Aurora
1
1
D
01.08.26
Pri
Independiente Petrolero
Real Oruro
3
0
W
25.07.26
Pri
Independiente Petrolero
Oriente Petrolero
1
2
L
21.07.26
Pri
Independiente Petrolero
Real Potosí
1
2
L
16.07.26
Pri
Independiente Petrolero
ABB
1
3
L
12.07.26
Pri
Independiente Petrolero
Real Tomayapo
1
2
L
13.05.26
Pri
Independiente Petrolero
Blooming
3
1
W
10.05.26
Pri
Independiente Petrolero
Always Ready
0
0
D
01.05.26
Pri
Independiente Petrolero
San Antonio Bulo Bulo
2
2
D
25.04.26
Pri
Independiente Petrolero
Universitario de Vinto
2
1
W
22.04.26
Pri
Independiente Petrolero
Bolívar
2
1
W
11.04.26
Pri
Independiente Petrolero
Guabirá
2
2
D
03.04.26
Pri
Independiente Petrolero
Nacional Potosí
0
3
L
16.03.26
Fri
Independiente Petrolero
Blooming
0
1
L
13.03.26
Fri
Independiente Petrolero
Blooming
0
4
L
14.12.25
Pri
Independiente Petrolero
Always Ready
5
2
W
10.12.25
Pri
Independiente Petrolero
Universitario de Vinto
3
2
W
07.12.25
Pri
Independiente Petrolero
Bolívar
1
2
L
Last matches: Guabirá
15.08.26
Pri
Guabirá
The Strongest
3
1
W
07.08.26
Pri
Guabirá
ABB
1
0
W
05.08.26
Pri
Guabirá
Real Tomayapo
3
0
W
31.07.26
Pri
Guabirá
Universitario de Vinto
1
1
D
25.07.26
Pri
Guabirá
Real Oruro
4
1
W
18.07.26
Pri
Guabirá
Bolívar
0
4
L
29.05.26
Pri
Guabirá
San Antonio Bulo Bulo
2
1
W
17.05.26
Pri
Guabirá
Nacional Potosí
2
1
W
15.05.26
Pri
Guabirá
Oriente Petrolero
2
2
D
09.05.26
Pri
Guabirá
Gualberto Villarroel SJ
3
0
W
02.05.26
Pri
Guabirá
Aurora
2
4
L
25.04.26
Pri
Guabirá
Always Ready
1
2
L
22.04.26
Pri
Guabirá
Real Potosí
0
3
L
11.04.26
Pri
Guabirá
Independiente Petrolero
2
2
D
03.04.26
Pri
Guabirá
Blooming
0
5
L
25.02.26
Fri
Guabirá
Universitario de Vinto
2
5
L
20.02.26
Fri
Guabirá
Universitario de Vinto
2
1
W
14.12.25
Pri
Guabirá
Blooming
1
0
W
12.12.25
Pri
Guabirá
Always Ready
0
6
L
07.12.25
Pri
Guabirá
Jorge Wilstermann
6
3
W
H2H: Independiente Petrolero vs Guabirá
11.04.26
H2H
Guabirá
Independiente Petrolero
2
2
D
03.03.26
H2H
Independiente Petrolero
Guabirá
0
0
D
02.12.25
H2H
Independiente Petrolero
Guabirá
3
1
W
14.08.25
H2H
Guabirá
Independiente Petrolero
3
1
L
01.07.25
H2H
Guabirá
Independiente Petrolero
1
1
D
21.05.25
H2H
Independiente Petrolero
Guabirá
0
1
L
27.10.24
H2H
Guabirá
Independiente Petrolero
1
2
W
12.07.24
H2H
Independiente Petrolero
Guabirá
0
0
D
08.04.24
H2H
Independiente Petrolero
Guabirá
3
2
W
18.02.24
H2H
Guabirá
Independiente
2
1
L
06.12.23
H2H
Guabirá
Independiente Petrolero
2
0
L
26.06.23
H2H
Independiente Petrolero
Guabirá
1
0
W
23.10.22
H2H
Independiente Petrolero
Guabirá
0
0
D
13.08.22
H2H
Guabirá
Independiente Petrolero
1
1
D
12.12.21
H2H
Guabirá
Independiente Petrolero
2
3
W
Last matches: Independiente Petrolero
17.08.26
Pri
Independiente Petrolero
Gualberto Villarroel SJ
1
0
W
04.08.26
Pri
Independiente Petrolero
Aurora
1
1
D
25.07.26
Pri
Independiente Petrolero
Oriente Petrolero
1
2
L
21.07.26
Pri
Independiente Petrolero
Real Potosí
1
2
L
13.05.26
Pri
Independiente Petrolero
Blooming
3
1
W
10.05.26
Pri
Independiente Petrolero
Always Ready
0
0
D
25.04.26
Pri
Independiente Petrolero
Universitario de Vinto
2
1
W
03.04.26
Pri
Independiente Petrolero
Nacional Potosí
0
3
L
13.03.26
Fri
Independiente Petrolero
Blooming
0
4
L
14.12.25
Pri
Independiente Petrolero
Always Ready
5
2
W
07.12.25
Pri
Independiente Petrolero
Bolívar
1
2
L
02.12.25
Pri
Independiente Petrolero
Guabirá
3
1
W
21.11.25
Pri
Independiente Petrolero
ABB
2
0
W
27.09.25
Pri
Independiente Petrolero
Real Tomayapo
2
1
W
20.09.25
Pri
Independiente Petrolero
San Antonio Bulo Bulo
4
2
W
15.09.25
Pri
Independiente Petrolero
Blooming
3
0
W
20.08.25
Pri
Independiente Petrolero
Jorge Wilstermann
2
1
W
12.07.25
Pri
Independiente Petrolero
Universitario de Vinto
1
1
D
22.06.25
Pri
Independiente Petrolero
Nacional Potosí
1
1
D
27.05.25
Pri
Independiente Petrolero
Aurora
2
4
L
H2H at home: Independiente Petrolero
03.03.26
H2H
Independiente Petrolero
Guabirá
0
0
D
02.12.25
H2H
Independiente Petrolero
Guabirá
3
1
W
21.05.25
H2H
Independiente Petrolero
Guabirá
0
1
L
12.07.24
H2H
Independiente Petrolero
Guabirá
0
0
D
08.04.24
H2H
Independiente Petrolero
Guabirá
3
2
W
26.06.23
H2H
Independiente Petrolero
Guabirá
1
0
W
23.10.22
H2H
Independiente Petrolero
Guabirá
0
0
D
Last matches: Guabirá
07.08.26
Pri
Guabirá
ABB
1
0
W
31.07.26
Pri
Guabirá
Universitario de Vinto
1
1
D
18.07.26
Pri
Guabirá
Bolívar
0
4
L
29.05.26
Pri
Guabirá
San Antonio Bulo Bulo
2
1
W
15.05.26
Pri
Guabirá
Oriente Petrolero
2
2
D
02.05.26
Pri
Guabirá
Aurora
2
4
L
22.04.26
Pri
Guabirá
Real Potosí
0
3
L
03.04.26
Pri
Guabirá
Blooming
0
5
L
25.02.26
Fri
Guabirá
Universitario de Vinto
2
5
L
12.12.25
Pri
Guabirá
Always Ready
0
6
L
02.12.25
Pri
Guabirá
Independiente Petrolero
1
3
L
03.11.25
Pri
Guabirá
Oriente Petrolero
0
4
L
17.10.25
Pri
Guabirá
Real Tomayapo
2
3
L
26.09.25
Pri
Guabirá
Real Oruro
6
3
W
13.09.25
Pri
Guabirá
Bolívar
0
4
L
10.08.25
Pri
Guabirá
Aurora
2
0
W
21.07.25
Pri
Guabirá
Blooming
1
2
L
08.07.25
Pri
Guabirá
Jorge Wilstermann
1
1
D
20.06.25
Pri
Guabirá
Gualberto Villarroel SJ
1
4
L
14.06.25
Pri
Guabirá
San Antonio Bulo Bulo
1
1
D
H2H away: Guabirá
03.03.26
H2H
Independiente Petrolero
Guabirá
0
0
D
02.12.25
H2H
Independiente Petrolero
Guabirá
3
1
L
21.05.25
H2H
Independiente Petrolero
Guabirá
0
1
W
12.07.24
H2H
Independiente Petrolero
Guabirá
0
0
D
08.04.24
H2H
Independiente Petrolero
Guabirá
3
2
L
26.06.23
H2H
Independiente Petrolero
Guabirá
1
0
L
23.10.22
H2H
Independiente Petrolero
Guabirá
0
0
D

Standings

Primera División
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 15 10 4 1 32:9 23 34
D W D W W
2 15 9 3 3 36:16 20 30
W W W L W
3 15 7 6 2 22:17 5 27
L L W D D
4 15 6 6 3 22:11 11 24
D W W D L
5 15 7 3 5 26:27 -1 24
W W W D W
6 15 7 2 6 25:20 5 23
W W L W W
7 15 5 7 3 23:22 1 22
L L D D W
8 15 6 4 5 22:21 1 22
W W D W L
9 15 5 6 4 20:16 4 21
W L D L D
10 15 5 3 7 22:21 1 18
W L L L W
11 15 5 2 8 18:28 -10 17
L W D W L
12 15 5 2 8 27:38 -11 17
L W L L L
13 15 5 1 9 24:31 -7 16
L L W D L
14 15 2 6 7 14:22 -8 12
L L D D W
15 15 3 3 9 11:31 -20 12
W L L D L
16 15 3 2 10 17:31 -14 11
L L L D L