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30.04.2026 22:00
Estadio Malvinas Argentinas
Referee: A. Menendez
Independ. Rivadavia
Match Timeline
Deportivo La Guaira
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
27'
A. Arce · Assist: M. Fernandez
Independ. Rivadavia
⚽
32'
G. Ortiz · Assist: F. Caceres
Deportivo La Guaira
⚽
45'
S. Villa
Independ. Rivadavia
⚽
45'
A. Arce · Assist: S. Villa
Independ. Rivadavia
🟨
47'
Ezequiel Bonifacio
Independ. Rivadavia
🔄
53'
F. Caceres ↔ J. Castellanos
Deportivo La Guaira
🔄
54'
F. Londono ↔ A. Rodriguez
Deportivo La Guaira
🔄
54'
J. Correa ↔ C. Faya
Deportivo La Guaira
⚽
64'
A. Arce · Assist: J. I. Florentin Bobadilla
Independ. Rivadavia
VAR
73'
Fabrizio Sartori
Independ. Rivadavia
🔄
76'
F. Sartori ↔ R. Atencio
Independ. Rivadavia
🔄
76'
E. Bonifacio ↔ J. M. Elordi
Independ. Rivadavia
🔄
79'
J. Meza ↔ Y. Rivas
Deportivo La Guaira
🔄
79'
J. Perdomo ↔ C. Da Silva
Deportivo La Guaira
🔄
82'
A. Arce ↔ V. Ramis
Independ. Rivadavia
🔄
82'
J. I. Florentin Bobadilla ↔ L. Bucca
Independ. Rivadavia
🔄
87'
M. Fernandez ↔ G. Rios
Independ. Rivadavia

Independ. Rivadavia vs Deportivo La Guaira Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 90.8%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 40%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 43.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
90.8%
- ▥
BTTS BTTS No
40%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
43.2%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
67.6%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-0
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Independ. Rivadavia Win 51.6%
Draw 9.2%
Deportivo La Guaira Win 39.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
Independ. Rivadavia1.36
Deportivo La Guaira0.97
Recent Form (Last 5)
Independ. Rivadavia Independ. Rivadavia
WWDLW
33 GF / 15 GA
Deportivo La Guaira Deportivo La Guaira
WLDWL
18 GF / 11 GA
Key Stats
1.83
Average Goals Scored
1.06
0.83
Average Goals Conceded
0.65
11
BTTS Yes
7
9
Over 2.5
4
5.06
Shots on Goal
1.5

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Independ. Rivadavia Independ. Rivadavia 18 matches
Deportivo La Guaira Deportivo La Guaira 17 matches
Independ. Rivadavia Statistic Deportivo La Guaira
13 Wins 7
3 Draws 8
2 Losses 2
33 Goals For 18
15 Goals Against 11
1.83 Avg Goals Scored 1.06
0.83 Avg Goals Conceded 0.65
11 BTTS Yes 7
14 Over 1.5 9
9 Over 2.5 4
4 Over 3.5 2
6 Clean Sheets 10
2 Failed To Score 4
5.06 Shots On Goal 1.5
13.47 Total Shots 5
4.18 Corners 2.5
45.5% Ball Possession 32%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, Independ. Rivadavia won 2 times, Deportivo La Guaira won 0 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 8:3 from Independ. Rivadavia's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 5.5 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (90.8%)
Predicted formations: Independ. Rivadavia 4-2-3-1 / Deportivo La Guaira 4-1-4-1
H2H summary: Independ. Rivadavia wins 2, draws 0, Deportivo La Guaira wins 0

Standings

Group C
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 6 5 1 0 15:6 9 16
W W D W W
2 6 2 2 2 7:7 0 8
W W D L L
3 6 1 2 3 6:8 -2 5
L L D W D
4 6 0 3 3 6:13 -7 3
L L D L D
Copa Sudamericana 1/16-finals