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SWEDEN › ALLSVENSKAN
14.08.2026 17:00
Borås Arena
Referee: Oscar Johnson, Sweden
IF Elfsborg
Match Timeline
Vasteras SK FK
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
18'
J. Magnusson · Assist: M. Kamara
IF Elfsborg
🟨
43'
Marcus Baggesen
Vasteras SK FK
🔄
46'
M. Baggesen ↔ J. Karlsson
Vasteras SK FK
🔄
46'
K. Gunnarsson ↔ J. Magnusson
Vasteras SK FK
🔄
46'
B. Lendambi ↔ A. Boudah
Vasteras SK FK
🟨
65'
Julius Magnusson
IF Elfsborg
⚽
71'
M. Kamara · Assist: N. Hult
IF Elfsborg
🟨
75'
Jonathan Karlsson
Vasteras SK FK
⚽
77'
M. Kamara · Assist: J. Beck
IF Elfsborg
🔄
78'
S. Olsson ↔ O. Nordvall
IF Elfsborg
🟨
79'
Jens Magnusson
Vasteras SK FK
🔄
83'
N. Hult ↔ R. Wikstrom
IF Elfsborg
🔄
83'
J. Magnusson ↔ S. Hedlund
IF Elfsborg
🔄
83'
A. Zeneli ↔ A. Sigurpalsson
IF Elfsborg
🔄
83'
T. Axel ↔ M. Abdi
Vasteras SK FK
🔄
86'
S. Holmen ↔ R. Mohammed
IF Elfsborg
🔄
86'
M. Keita ↔ V. Wernersson
Vasteras SK FK

IF Elfsborg vs Vasteras SK FK Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away or Draw
Probability 66.7%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 62.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 64.5%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away or Draw
66.7%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
62.8%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
64.5%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
79.1%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
- ▥
Correct Score 1-2
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
IF Elfsborg Win 33.3%
Draw 25.2%
Vasteras SK FK Win 41.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
IF Elfsborg1.39
Vasteras SK FK1.46
Recent Form (Last 5)
IF Elfsborg IF Elfsborg
WWDLW
32 GF / 31 GA
Vasteras SK FK Vasteras SK FK
WLDWL
40 GF / 39 GA
Key Stats
1.28
Average Goals Scored
1.6
1.24
Average Goals Conceded
1.56
16
BTTS Yes
12
12
Over 2.5
14
3.94
Shots on Goal
4.19

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

IF Elfsborg IF Elfsborg 25 matches
Vasteras SK FK Vasteras SK FK 25 matches
IF Elfsborg Statistic Vasteras SK FK
10 Wins 10
7 Draws 6
8 Losses 9
32 Goals For 40
31 Goals Against 39
1.28 Avg Goals Scored 1.6
1.24 Avg Goals Conceded 1.56
16 BTTS Yes 12
20 Over 1.5 18
12 Over 2.5 14
6 Over 3.5 11
6 Clean Sheets 7
4 Failed To Score 7
3.94 Shots On Goal 4.19
12.06 Total Shots 10.94
3.88 Corners 4.25
46.1% Ball Possession 47.8%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with IF Elfsborg's more proactive style and Vasteras SK FK's more cautious structure likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Even if this develops into a close game, the analytical lean still edges toward Away Win, with a cautious clean-sheet angle toward Vasteras SK FK. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with IF Elfsborg expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Vasteras SK FK in 3-4-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Vasteras SK FK having the stronger overall control. IF Elfsborg have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors.

IF Elfsborg Analysis

IF Elfsborg approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 8 with 21 points from 15 matches. Their record of 5 wins, 6 draws, and 4 losses, together with goals at 20:18, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through Arbër Zeneli (1 goals), Momoh Ibrahim Kamara (1 goals), Ari Sigurpálsson (1 goals), with creative support from Julius Magnusson (2 assists), Arbër Zeneli (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. At home, the split record of 3 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses points to a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests balanced attacking football.

Vasteras SK FK Analysis

Vasteras SK FK sit 7 with 22 points after 15 league matches. The record of 6 wins, 4 draws, and 5 defeats, together with a 24:29 goal balance, points toward good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Taonsa Axel (2 goals), Marcus Baggesen (1 goals), Mikkel Ladefoged (1 goals), with creative support from Ismet Lushaku (1 assists), while at the back they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, their split return of 4 wins, 1 draws, and 3 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 4 head-to-head meetings, IF Elfsborg won 3 times, Vasteras SK FK won 0 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 7:2 from IF Elfsborg's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 2.25 goals per game.

1X2: Away or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (74.8%)
Predicted formations: IF Elfsborg 4-2-3-1 / Vasteras SK FK 3-4-3
Missing players: IF Elfsborg 3, Vasteras SK FK 4
H2H summary: IF Elfsborg wins 3, draws 1, Vasteras SK FK wins 0

Standings

Allsvenskan
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 22 16 3 3 52:28 24 51
W W W L L
2 22 13 4 5 49:20 29 43
W W D L W
3 22 13 2 7 47:21 26 41
L W W W W
4 22 10 7 5 31:22 9 37
W W L W D
5 22 9 9 4 39:30 9 36
W D D L W
6 22 10 5 7 34:35 -1 35
W W L W D
7 22 10 3 9 37:33 4 33
L W D W L
8 22 9 6 7 31:34 -3 33
L D L D W
9 22 9 5 8 31:41 -10 32
W W W W D
10 22 8 6 8 28:20 8 30
W L D W L
11 22 7 6 9 30:36 -6 27
L L W L W
12 22 5 7 10 27:38 -11 22
L D D L L
13 22 5 4 13 21:36 -15 19
L L L L D
14 22 5 4 13 19:34 -15 19
L L W L L
15 22 3 6 13 25:49 -24 15
L L D L D
16 22 3 5 14 16:40 -24 14
W L L W D
Qualifying
Qualifying
Relegation Playoffs
Relegation