Login Register
SWEDEN › ALLSVENSKAN
12.10.2026 17:00
Borås Arena

IF Elfsborg vs Halmstad Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 82.5%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 67.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 64.5%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
82.5%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
67.1%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
64.5%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
IF Elfsborg Win 82.5%
Draw 5.1%
Halmstad Win 12.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
IF Elfsborg1.53
Halmstad1.02
Recent Form (Last 5)
IF Elfsborg IF Elfsborg
WWDLW
42 GF / 36 GA
Halmstad Halmstad
WLDWL
31 GF / 61 GA
Key Stats
1.31
Average Goals Scored
0.94
1.13
Average Goals Conceded
1.85
19
BTTS Yes
16
15
Over 2.5
15
4.05
Shots on Goal
3.91

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

IF Elfsborg IF Elfsborg 32 matches
Halmstad Halmstad 33 matches
IF Elfsborg Statistic Halmstad
14 Wins 6
8 Draws 9
10 Losses 18
42 Goals For 31
36 Goals Against 61
1.31 Avg Goals Scored 0.94
1.13 Avg Goals Conceded 1.85
19 BTTS Yes 16
25 Over 1.5 29
15 Over 2.5 15
6 Over 3.5 9
9 Clean Sheets 4
5 Failed To Score 14
4.05 Shots On Goal 3.91
12.14 Total Shots 12.73
4.23 Corners 4.27
48.1% Ball Possession 41.7%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by IF Elfsborg's more proactive style and Halmstad's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with IF Elfsborg expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Halmstad in 4-4-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Halmstad having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. IF Elfsborg arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 4 with 37 points compared to Halmstad in 16 on 14, which underlines the gap in season consistency. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Halmstad. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.

IF Elfsborg Analysis

Operating from 4 place with 37 points from 22 games, IF Elfsborg bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. They have recorded 10 wins, 7 draws, and 5 losses, with a 31:22 goal return and good form over their recent run. In attack they lean heavily on M. Kamara (5 goals), L. Östman (5 goals), A. Zeneli (4 goals), with creative support from M. Kamara (3 assists), J. Magnússon (3 assists), A. Zeneli (2 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, the split of 6 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses supports the view of a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

Halmstad Analysis

Halmstad approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 16 with 14 points from 22 matches. Their record of 3 wins, 5 draws, and 14 losses, together with goals at 16:40, reflects mixed form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through R. Ascone (4 goals), O. Faraj (4 goals), O. Liimatta (4 goals), with creative support from H. Carneil (2 assists), R. Kaib (2 assists), M. Illary (2 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been fairly stable. Away from home, they have managed 0 wins, 3 draws, and 8 losses, a return that supports a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, IF Elfsborg won 9 times, Halmstad won 2 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 29:9 from IF Elfsborg's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2.71 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (94.9%)
Predicted formations: IF Elfsborg 4-2-3-1 / Halmstad 4-4-2
H2H summary: IF Elfsborg wins 9, draws 3, Halmstad wins 2

Standings

Allsvenskan
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 22 16 3 3 52:28 24 51
W W W L L
2 22 13 4 5 49:20 29 43
W W D L W
3 22 13 2 7 47:21 26 41
L W W W W
4 22 10 7 5 31:22 9 37
W W L W D
5 22 9 9 4 39:30 9 36
W D D L W
6 22 10 5 7 34:35 -1 35
W W L W D
7 22 10 3 9 37:33 4 33
L W D W L
8 22 9 6 7 31:34 -3 33
L D L D W
9 22 9 5 8 31:41 -10 32
W W W W D
10 22 8 6 8 28:20 8 30
W L D W L
11 22 7 6 9 30:36 -6 27
L L W L W
12 22 5 7 10 27:38 -11 22
L D D L L
13 22 5 4 13 21:36 -15 19
L L L L D
14 22 5 4 13 19:34 -15 19
L L W L L
15 22 3 6 13 25:49 -24 15
L L D L D
16 22 3 5 14 16:40 -24 14
W L L W D
Qualifying
Qualifying
Relegation Playoffs
Relegation