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26.09.2026 13:30
Bartons North Wales Stadium
Referee: A. Jones
Holywell
Match Timeline
Briton Ferry
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
10'
J. Jones
Briton Ferry
🟨
25'
H. Morris
Holywell
⚽
30'
F. Yonsian
Holywell
🟥
34'
A. Gammond
Briton Ferry
🔄
46'
O. Anderson ↔ C. Hurford
Briton Ferry
🔄
46'
J. Jones ↔ L. Bowen
Briton Ferry
⚽
62'
L. Bowen
Briton Ferry
🔄
65'
T. Bibby ↔ C. Bedford
Holywell
🔄
65'
O. Davies ↔ M. Winslade
Holywell
🟨
67'
R. Edwards
Holywell
🔄
77'
L. Cooper ↔ J. Lloyd
Briton Ferry
🟨
82'
C. Bedford
Holywell
🔄
84'
T. Walters ↔ T. Jenkins
Briton Ferry
🔄
88'
R. Owen ↔ R. George
Briton Ferry
🟨
90+1'
T. Dogan
Holywell
🟨
90+4'
D. Sullivan
Holywell
🔄
90'
C. Hughes ↔ M. Davies
Holywell
🔄
90'
F. Yonsian ↔ F. Murtas
Holywell

Holywell vs Briton Ferry Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away or Draw
Probability 89.7%
Odds 1.17
BTTS
Yes
Probability 75.1%
Odds 1.50
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds 1.44
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away or Draw
89.7%
1.17 ▥
BTTS Yes
75.1%
1.50 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
1.44 ▥
Corners O/U Under 7.5 Corners
92%
3.34 ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
5.00 ▥
Correct Score 1-2
-
9.00 ▥
Probability Distribution
Holywell Win 10.3%
Draw 35%
Briton Ferry Win 54.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
Holywell1.56
Briton Ferry1.82
Recent Form (Last 5)
Holywell Holywell
WWDLW
14 GF / 38 GA
Briton Ferry Briton Ferry
WLDWL
12 GF / 28 GA
Key Stats
1.17
Average Goals Scored
0.92
3.17
Average Goals Conceded
2.15
10
BTTS Yes
7
9
Over 2.5
8
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Holywell Holywell 12 matches
Briton Ferry Briton Ferry 13 matches
Holywell Statistic Briton Ferry
0 Wins 3
3 Draws 2
9 Losses 8
14 Goals For 12
38 Goals Against 28
1.17 Avg Goals Scored 0.92
3.17 Avg Goals Conceded 2.15
10 BTTS Yes 7
11 Over 1.5 11
9 Over 2.5 8
8 Over 3.5 5
0 Clean Sheets 1
2 Failed To Score 5
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Briton Ferry having the stronger overall control. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Briton Ferry. Briton Ferry carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 12 with 8 points while Holywell sit 16 on 1, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output.

Holywell Analysis

With 1 points from 10 games and a place of 16, Holywell still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Their record of 0 wins, 1 draws, and 9 losses, together with goals at 11:35, reflects poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Much of their threat comes through their main attacking players, while the defensive numbers suggest they have been fairly stable. At home, the split record of 0 wins, 1 draws, and 4 losses points to a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Briton Ferry Analysis

Briton Ferry approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 12 with 8 points from 10 matches. Their record of 2 wins, 2 draws, and 6 losses, together with goals at 9:19, reflects poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Much of their threat comes through their main attacking players, while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. Away from home, they have managed 1 wins, 1 draws, and 4 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

1X2: Away or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: X2 (89.7%)

Standings

Premier League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 12 11 1 0 38:5 33 34
W W W W W
2 12 9 1 2 28:8 20 28
W W W W L
3 12 8 3 1 22:10 12 27
L W W W W
4 12 8 1 3 27:20 7 25
W L L D W
5 12 7 2 3 35:14 21 23
L D W D W
6 12 7 1 4 21:15 6 22
L W W W W
7 12 6 3 3 23:13 10 21
W W D L D
8 12 6 0 6 21:17 4 18
W L W L L
9 12 5 3 4 21:32 -11 18
L W L W W
10 12 5 1 6 21:19 2 16
L L L D L
11 12 3 3 6 11:20 -9 12
W D D L L
12 12 3 1 8 7:17 -10 10
L L L W W
13 12 2 2 8 12:24 -12 8
W W L L D
14 12 1 3 8 9:32 -23 6
W L L D L
15 12 0 3 9 5:30 -25 3
L L D L L
16 12 0 2 10 13:38 -25 2
L D L L L
Promotion - Cymru Premier (Championship Group)
Promotion - Cymru Premier (Conference League Group)
Cymru Premier (Relegation Group)