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NORWAY › 1. DIVISION
04.07.2026 14:00
Referee: A. Al Hatem
hodd
Match Timeline
Stromsgodset
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
18'
M. Rawufu · Assist: C. Streete
hodd
⚽
24'
C. Streete · Assist: I. Skotheim
hodd
⚽
29'
K. Krasniqi · Assist: K. Antonsen
Stromsgodset
🟨
31'
J. Taaje
Stromsgodset
⚽
36'
M. Spiten · Assist: K. Antonsen
Stromsgodset
🟨
41'
G. Wikheim
Stromsgodset
⚽
42'
M. Mulac · Assist: J. Robertsen
hodd
🟨
43'
M. Mulac
hodd
🔄
46'
S. Mikkelsen ↔ A. Roppen
hodd
🔄
60'
M. Rawufu ↔ E. Blikstad
hodd
🔄
61'
M. Spiten ↔ E. Melkersen
Stromsgodset
⚽
69'
V. Dedes · Assist: L. Vilsvik
Stromsgodset
🟨
70'
H. Urnes
hodd
🔄
71'
V. Dedes ↔ M. Mehnert
Stromsgodset
🟨
72'
M. Lamhauge
Stromsgodset
🟨
73'
L. Vilsvik
Stromsgodset
⚽
75'
I. Skotheim
hodd
🔄
82'
T. Kallevag ↔ G. Andresen
hodd
🔄
83'
C. Streete ↔ C. Nilsen
hodd
🔄
85'
F. P. Vilaseca Ardraa ↔ B. Sormo
Stromsgodset
🔄
85'
L. Vilsvik ↔ O. Enersen
Stromsgodset
🟨
87'
I. Skotheim
hodd
🔄
90+4'
M. Scarcella ↔ F. Gjerde
hodd

hodd vs Stromsgodset Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 59.5%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 78.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
59.5%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
78.8%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
- ▥
Correct Score 1-2
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
hodd Win 28.1%
Draw 12.4%
Stromsgodset Win 59.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
hodd1.36
Stromsgodset2.05
Recent Form (Last 5)
hodd hodd
WWDLW
22 GF / 28 GA
Stromsgodset Stromsgodset
WLDWL
52 GF / 37 GA
Key Stats
1.1
Average Goals Scored
2.48
1.4
Average Goals Conceded
1.76
10
BTTS Yes
14
9
Over 2.5
16
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

hodd hodd 20 matches
Stromsgodset Stromsgodset 21 matches
hodd Statistic Stromsgodset
7 Wins 9
4 Draws 7
9 Losses 5
22 Goals For 52
28 Goals Against 37
1.1 Avg Goals Scored 2.48
1.4 Avg Goals Conceded 1.76
10 BTTS Yes 14
13 Over 1.5 20
9 Over 2.5 16
6 Over 3.5 10
5 Clean Sheets 5
7 Failed To Score 2
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Stromsgodset's more proactive style and hodd's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Stromsgodset. Stromsgodset carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 1 with 27 points while hodd sit 11 on 15, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Stromsgodset having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. hodd have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors.

hodd Analysis

hodd sit 11 with 15 points after 12 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 4 wins, 3 draws, and 5 defeats, and the 14:15 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on their main attacking players, while at the back they have been very solid. At home, they have managed 3 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Stromsgodset Analysis

Stromsgodset come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 1 place with 27 points after 12 matches. With 8 wins, 3 draws, and 1 defeats plus a goal balance of 36:16, they continue to show good form over their recent run. Their attacking quality is driven by their main attacking players, and at the back they have appeared very solid. Away from home, they have managed 2 wins, 3 draws, and 1 losses, which underlines a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, hodd won 1 times, Stromsgodset won 1 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 5:6 from hodd's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 5.5 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (87.6%)
H2H summary: hodd wins 1, draws 0, Stromsgodset wins 1

Standings

1. Division
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 25 17 5 3 76:37 39 56
W W W D W
2 25 18 2 5 75:40 35 56
D W W W W
3 25 16 6 3 66:32 34 54
W W W W D
4 25 14 4 7 59:33 26 46
D L W L L
5 25 12 6 7 52:39 13 42
W W W L D
6 25 12 2 11 34:33 1 38
L W W W L
7
hodd Home
25 10 4 11 41:51 -10 34
L L L L D
8 25 9 5 11 39:50 -11 32
W L L D D
9 25 9 4 12 63:64 -1 31
L W W D D
10 25 8 4 13 40:54 -14 28
L L L W D
11 25 8 4 13 40:55 -15 28
W L W L W
12 25 7 6 12 40:57 -17 27
D D L D W
13 25 7 5 13 36:46 -10 26
D D L L D
14 24 6 5 13 39:55 -16 23
L L D L L
15 25 6 5 14 36:54 -18 23
W L L D D
16 24 6 1 17 27:63 -36 19
L L W L L
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