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SWEDEN › SUPERETTAN
13.10.2026 17:00
Norrkopings Idrottspark

IFK Norrkoping vs GIF Sundsvall Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 83.1%
Odds -
BTTS
No
Probability 50.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 64.5%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
83.1%
- ▥
BTTS No
50.8%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
64.5%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
78.5%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 3-0
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
IFK Norrkoping Win 83.1%
Draw 4.7%
GIF Sundsvall Win 12.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
IFK Norrkoping1.94
GIF Sundsvall0.91
Recent Form (Last 5)
IFK Norrkoping IFK Norrkoping
WWDLW
68 GF / 26 GA
GIF Sundsvall GIF Sundsvall
WLDWL
34 GF / 64 GA
Key Stats
1.94
Average Goals Scored
1.03
0.74
Average Goals Conceded
1.94
16
BTTS Yes
16
17
Over 2.5
22
3.48
Shots on Goal
1.78

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

IFK Norrkoping IFK Norrkoping 35 matches
GIF Sundsvall GIF Sundsvall 33 matches
IFK Norrkoping Statistic GIF Sundsvall
23 Wins 11
7 Draws 1
5 Losses 21
68 Goals For 34
26 Goals Against 64
1.94 Avg Goals Scored 1.03
0.74 Avg Goals Conceded 1.94
16 BTTS Yes 16
27 Over 1.5 24
17 Over 2.5 22
11 Over 3.5 11
17 Clean Sheets 4
5 Failed To Score 13
3.48 Shots On Goal 1.78
6.91 Total Shots 4.22
3.04 Corners 2.26
33.8% Ball Possession 23.6%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by IFK Norrkoping's more proactive style and GIF Sundsvall's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors GIF Sundsvall. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with IFK Norrkoping expected to line up in 4-3-3 and GIF Sundsvall in 4-4-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward GIF Sundsvall having the stronger overall control. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. IFK Norrkoping arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 1 with 55 points compared to GIF Sundsvall in 16 on 19, which underlines the gap in season consistency. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

IFK Norrkoping Analysis

IFK Norrkoping approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 1 on 55 points after 25 outings. The return of 17 wins, 4 draws, and 4 defeats, together with goals at 48:16, reflects good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking edge comes through Tim Prica (3 goals), Elias Jemal (1 goals), Ryan Nelson (1 goals), with creative support from Noel Sernelius (3 assists), Elias Jemal (2 assists), Ryan Nelson (1 assists), while their defending has remained very solid. At home, their record of 7 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses points to a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

GIF Sundsvall Analysis

With 19 points from 25 games and a place of 16, GIF Sundsvall still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. The overall return of 6 wins, 1 draws, and 18 defeats with a 19:53 goal balance points toward good form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on Hugo Aviander (2 goals), Suwaibou Kebbeh (1 goals), with creative support from Hugo Aviander (1 assists), Miguel Sandberg (1 assists), while defensively they have looked quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have returned 2 wins, 0 draws, and 10 losses, which indicates a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 12 head-to-head meetings, IFK Norrkoping won 8 times, GIF Sundsvall won 0 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 28:12 from IFK Norrkoping's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 3.33 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: No
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.3%)
Predicted formations: IFK Norrkoping 4-3-3 / GIF Sundsvall 4-4-2
H2H summary: IFK Norrkoping wins 8, draws 4, GIF Sundsvall wins 0

Standings

Superettan
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 25 17 4 4 48:16 32 55
W D W D W
2 25 13 6 6 46:33 13 45
D W W L W
3 25 13 5 7 44:33 11 44
W W L D W
4 25 11 10 4 33:24 9 43
D W D W D
5 25 11 7 7 39:26 13 40
W W L W D
6 25 9 9 7 38:34 4 36
L D W W L
7 25 11 3 11 38:38 0 36
L W L L D
8 25 9 9 7 38:40 -2 36
L D L W L
9 25 9 7 9 41:35 6 34
W D L W D
10 25 8 6 11 36:45 -9 30
D L W L D
11 25 8 5 12 33:45 -12 29
W L W D W
12 25 7 7 11 33:36 -3 28
L L W D L
13 25 4 12 9 28:35 -7 24
D L L L L
14 25 5 9 11 27:39 -12 24
L D W L D
15 25 5 8 12 39:48 -9 23
L D D L L
16 25 6 1 18 19:53 -34 19
W L L W W
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