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CROATIA › HNL
13.09.2026 18:00
Stadion Poljud
Referee: P. Pavlesic
HNK Hajduk Split
Match Timeline
NK Slaven Belupo
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
12'
Adrion Pajaziti
HNK Hajduk Split
🟨
20'
Karlo Išasegi
NK Slaven Belupo
⚽
22'
D. de Almeida · Assist: A. Sanyang
HNK Hajduk Split
🟨
44'
Dalisson de Almeida
HNK Hajduk Split
🟨
45+1'
Filip Mažar
NK Slaven Belupo
🔄
46'
K. Isasegi ↔ A. Jakir
NK Slaven Belupo
🔄
46'
L. Bosnjak ↔ D. Bosak
NK Slaven Belupo
🔄
62'
M. Soticek ↔ C. Martin
HNK Hajduk Split
🔄
62'
A. del Moral ↔ K. Fayad
HNK Hajduk Split
🔄
72'
A. Sanyang ↔ A. Huram
HNK Hajduk Split
🟨
79'
Filip Mažar
NK Slaven Belupo
🟥
79'
Filip Mažar
NK Slaven Belupo
🔄
80'
M. Sego ↔ M. Livaja
HNK Hajduk Split
🔄
80'
I. Nestorovski ↔ L. Ratshukudu
NK Slaven Belupo
🟨
83'
Dario Marešić
HNK Hajduk Split
🟨
90+5'
Losika Ratshukudu
NK Slaven Belupo
🔄
90+2'
A. Adeshina ↔ J. Mersinaj
NK Slaven Belupo

HNK Hajduk Split vs NK Slaven Belupo Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 88%
Odds 1.29
BTTS
Yes
Probability 62.8%
Odds 1.67
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds 1.34
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
88%
1.29 ▥
BTTS Yes
62.8%
1.67 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
1.34 ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
73.7%
1.24 ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
1.73 ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
9.50 ▥
Probability Distribution
HNK Hajduk Split Win 88%
Draw 6%
NK Slaven Belupo Win 6%
Expected Goals (xG)
HNK Hajduk Split2.29
NK Slaven Belupo1.41
Recent Form (Last 5)
HNK Hajduk Split HNK Hajduk Split
WWDLW
48 GF / 16 GA
NK Slaven Belupo NK Slaven Belupo
WLDWL
31 GF / 36 GA
Key Stats
2.4
Average Goals Scored
1.82
0.8
Average Goals Conceded
2.12
8
BTTS Yes
11
13
Over 2.5
14
4.71
Shots on Goal
4.17

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

HNK Hajduk Split HNK Hajduk Split 20 matches
NK Slaven Belupo NK Slaven Belupo 17 matches
HNK Hajduk Split Statistic NK Slaven Belupo
15 Wins 6
2 Draws 2
3 Losses 9
48 Goals For 31
16 Goals Against 36
2.4 Avg Goals Scored 1.82
0.8 Avg Goals Conceded 2.12
8 BTTS Yes 11
18 Over 1.5 16
13 Over 2.5 14
9 Over 3.5 10
11 Clean Sheets 2
1 Failed To Score 4
4.71 Shots On Goal 4.17
8.79 Total Shots 11
4.36 Corners 3.5
43.9% Ball Possession 41.5%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by HNK Hajduk Split's more proactive style and NK Slaven Belupo's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward NK Slaven Belupo. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. NK Slaven Belupo arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. HNK Hajduk Split arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 4 with 10 points compared to NK Slaven Belupo in 9 on 3, which underlines the gap in season consistency. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

HNK Hajduk Split Analysis

HNK Hajduk Split approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 4 on 10 points after 5 outings. With 3 wins, 1 draws, and 1 defeats plus a goal balance of 11:5, they continue to show good form and are on a winning streak. Their attacking quality is driven by Marko Livaja (3 goals), Rokas Pukštas (2 goals), Michele Šego (2 goals), with creative support from Šimun Hrgović (2 assists), Adrion Pajaziti (2 assists), Rokas Pukštas (1 assists), and at the back they have appeared very solid. At home, their record of 2 wins, 1 draws, and 0 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

NK Slaven Belupo Analysis

With 3 points from 5 games and a place of 9, NK Slaven Belupo still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Their record of 1 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses, together with goals at 3:12, reflects poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Much of their threat comes through Ilija Nestorovski (2 goals), Josip Mitrović (1 goals), with creative support from Karlo Išasegi (1 assists), David Bosak (1 assists), Marko Dabro (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. Away from home, they have managed 0 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, HNK Hajduk Split won 12 times, NK Slaven Belupo won 0 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 24:3 from HNK Hajduk Split's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 1.8 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (94%)
Predicted formations: HNK Hajduk Split 4-2-3-1 / NK Slaven Belupo 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: HNK Hajduk Split wins 12, draws 3, NK Slaven Belupo wins 0

Standings

HNL
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 7 5 1 1 17:9 8 16
W L W D W
2 8 5 1 2 16:8 8 16
L W W W W
3 8 5 1 2 17:11 6 16
D W L W L
4 8 4 3 1 13:7 6 15
D D D W L
5 7 4 2 1 13:7 6 14
W D W D W
6 8 2 3 3 14:13 1 9
L W D D L
7 8 2 1 5 11:16 -5 7
L D L L L
8 8 2 1 5 7:16 -9 7
D L W L W
9 9 2 1 6 12:25 -13 7
W D L L L
10 9 1 2 6 6:14 -8 5
L W D L D
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - Prva NL