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20.09.2026 16:00
Referee: J. Scerri
Hibernians
Match Timeline
Floriana
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🔄
19'
Matos ↔ J. Degabriele
Hibernians
⚽
35'
F. Varela
Floriana
⚽
45'
P. Mbong
Floriana
🟨
49'
M. Romling
Hibernians
🔄
60'
M. Ellul ↔ J. Wahling
Hibernians
🔄
60'
J. Roe ↔ D. Xuereb
Hibernians
🔄
65'
T. Gudelj ↔ K. Dervisagic
Floriana
⚽
69'
S. Odey
Floriana
🔄
72'
Khevin Fraga ↔ F. Jankovic
Hibernians
🔄
72'
M. Romling ↔ D. Bonnici
Hibernians
🔄
84'
C. Zammit Lonardelli ↔ R. Muric
Floriana
🔄
84'
P. Mbong ↔ A. Kurtalic
Floriana
🔄
84'
D. Vella ↔ N. Shchepetkin
Floriana
🔄
90'
F. Varela ↔ Kauan
Floriana
⚽
90'
R. Muric
Floriana

Hibernians vs Floriana Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away or Draw
Probability 64.4%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 67.1%
Odds 1.59
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 55.4%
Odds 1.85
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away or Draw
64.4%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
67.1%
1.59 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
55.4%
1.85 ▥
Corners O/U Under 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
4.75 ▥
Correct Score 1-2
-
9.50 ▥
Probability Distribution
Hibernians Win 35.6%
Draw 18.8%
Floriana Win 45.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Hibernians1.15
Floriana1.53
Recent Form (Last 5)
Hibernians Hibernians
WWDLW
4 GF / 5 GA
Floriana Floriana
WLDWL
17 GF / 15 GA
Key Stats
0.8
Average Goals Scored
1.89
1
Average Goals Conceded
1.67
2
BTTS Yes
6
0
Over 2.5
5
0
Shots on Goal
0.25

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Hibernians Hibernians 5 matches
Floriana Floriana 9 matches
Hibernians Statistic Floriana
1 Wins 4
2 Draws 2
2 Losses 3
4 Goals For 17
5 Goals Against 15
0.8 Avg Goals Scored 1.89
1 Avg Goals Conceded 1.67
2 BTTS Yes 6
4 Over 1.5 9
0 Over 2.5 5
0 Over 3.5 3
1 Clean Sheets 3
2 Failed To Score 0
0 Shots On Goal 0.25
0 Total Shots 1.5
0 Corners 0.5
0% Ball Possession 11%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Floriana's more proactive style and Hibernians's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Floriana having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Floriana carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 2 with 10 points while Hibernians sit 9 on 5, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Floriana.

Hibernians Analysis

From their first 5 matches, Hibernians have collected 5 points and now occupy 9 place in the table. Their overall return of 1 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses with goals at 4:5 reflects poor form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by their main attacking players, while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, they have returned 0 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Floriana Analysis

Operating from 2 place with 10 points from 5 games, Floriana bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. The return of 3 wins, 1 draws, and 1 defeats, together with goals at 12:7, reflects good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking edge comes through their main attacking players, while their defending has remained very solid. Away from home, the split of 1 wins, 1 draws, and 0 losses supports the view of a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Hibernians won 3 times, Floriana won 8 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 15:22 from Hibernians's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.47 goals per game.

1X2: Away or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (81.2%)
H2H summary: Hibernians wins 3, draws 4, Floriana wins 8

Standings

Premier Division: First stage - Main
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 6 4 1 1 16:7 9 13
W L W D W
2 6 4 1 1 15:6 9 13
W D W L W
3 6 3 2 1 11:9 2 11
L W D W W
4 6 3 1 2 9:4 5 10
W D L L W
5 6 3 1 2 9:6 3 10
W W W D L
6 5 3 1 1 7:5 2 10
L D W W W
7 6 3 1 2 7:7 0 10
D W W W L
8 6 2 3 1 9:6 3 9
D D W W L
9 6 1 2 3 5:9 -4 5
L D L D W
10 6 1 2 3 4:9 -5 5
L D L D L
11 5 0 1 4 2:13 -11 1
D L L L L
12 6 0 0 6 1:14 -13 0
L L L L L
Promotion - Premier League (First stage - Top 6)
Premier League (First stage - Play Out)