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NETHERLANDS › EERSTE DIVISIE
04.09.2026 18:00
Asito Stadium
Referee: W. Wiersma
Heracles
Match Timeline
De Graafschap
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
2'
J. N'djoli · Assist: C. Abbas
Heracles
🟨
23'
Maurice Wrusch
Heracles
⚽
41'
C. Abbas · Assist: S. Scheperman
Heracles
🔄
46'
N. Ahmeti ↔ B. van Zijl
De Graafschap
🔄
62'
M. Hauswirth ↔ T. Bruns
Heracles
🔄
63'
M. Wrusch ↔ M. te Wierik
Heracles
🔄
63'
K. Symons ↔ F. de Jong
De Graafschap
🔄
63'
J. Kania ↔ K. Kwint
De Graafschap
🟨
66'
Nolan Martens
De Graafschap
⚽
72'
T. van Gilst · Assist: T. Bruns
Heracles
🔄
73'
G. Finocchiaro ↔ J. Triep
De Graafschap
🔄
76'
C. Abbas ↔ D. Tomic
Heracles
🔄
79'
N. Martens ↔ J. Wieckhoff
De Graafschap
⚽
82'
J. N'djoli · Assist: S. Scheperman
Heracles
🔄
84'
D. van der Kust ↔ S. Bultman
Heracles
🔄
85'
T. van Gilst ↔ M. Benita
Heracles
🟨
86'
Manny Rodríguez
Heracles
🟨
89'
Ties Wieggers
De Graafschap
⚽
90'
J. N'djoli
Heracles

Heracles vs De Graafschap Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 66.1%
Odds 1.50
BTTS
Yes
Probability 88%
Odds 1.40
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 82.2%
Odds 1.28
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
66.1%
1.50 ▥
BTTS Yes
88%
1.40 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
82.2%
1.28 ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
1.10 ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
2.20 ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
9.00 ▥
Probability Distribution
Heracles Win 66.1%
Draw 6.5%
De Graafschap Win 27.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
Heracles3.37
De Graafschap1.82
Recent Form (Last 5)
Heracles Heracles
WWDLW
23 GF / 13 GA
De Graafschap De Graafschap
WLDWL
18 GF / 35 GA
Key Stats
3.29
Average Goals Scored
1.8
1.86
Average Goals Conceded
3.5
6
BTTS Yes
10
6
Over 2.5
9
10
Shots on Goal
4.25

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Heracles Heracles 7 matches
De Graafschap De Graafschap 10 matches
Heracles Statistic De Graafschap
6 Wins 2
0 Draws 1
1 Losses 7
23 Goals For 18
13 Goals Against 35
3.29 Avg Goals Scored 1.8
1.86 Avg Goals Conceded 3.5
6 BTTS Yes 10
7 Over 1.5 10
6 Over 2.5 9
5 Over 3.5 6
1 Clean Sheets 0
0 Failed To Score 0
10 Shots On Goal 4.25
21.75 Total Shots 18.5
8.25 Corners 5.5
55.5% Ball Possession 56.3%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 13 head-to-head meetings, Heracles won 9 times, De Graafschap won 2 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 27:15 from Heracles's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 3.23 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (93.5%)
Predicted formations: Heracles 4-2-3-1 / De Graafschap 4-3-3
H2H summary: Heracles wins 9, draws 2, De Graafschap wins 2

Standings

Eerste Divisie: Regular season
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 8 1 1 31:12 19 25
W D W L W
2 10 7 1 2 22:7 15 22
W W L W W
3 10 7 0 3 26:14 12 21
W W L W W
4 10 6 1 3 22:18 4 19
W D W L L
5 10 5 2 3 20:19 1 17
W D W W L
6 10 4 4 2 10:8 2 16
D L W D W
7 10 5 1 4 13:20 -7 16
L L W L L
8 10 5 0 5 22:17 5 15
W L W L W
9 10 3 5 2 19:15 4 14
L D L W W
10 10 4 2 4 15:15 0 14
L D L W L
11 10 4 1 5 22:18 4 13
L W D L W
12 10 3 4 3 15:17 -2 13
D L D L W
13 10 4 0 6 15:15 0 12
W W L W L
14 10 3 2 5 14:18 -4 11
W D L W L
15 10 3 2 5 15:22 -7 11
L D L W W
16 10 3 2 5 13:23 -10 11
W D W L W
17 10 2 3 5 16:19 -3 9
L D L L W
18 10 2 2 6 13:25 -12 8
L D L L W
19 10 2 2 6 13:27 -14 8
L D W L L
20 10 2 1 7 16:23 -7 7
L L W W D
Promotion - Eredivisie
Promotion - Eredivisie (Promotion)