NETHERLANDS › EERSTE DIVISIE

21.08.2026 18:00

Helmond Sport

1 - 1

Waalwijk

GS Staalwerken Stadion

Referee: Thomas Hardeman, Netherlands

Helmond Sport

Match Timeline

Waalwijk

0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'

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Helmond Sport vs Waalwijk Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2

Draw

Probability 34.5%

Odds -

1 agree / 0 disagree

BTTS

Yes

Probability 67.1%

Odds -

Over / Under 2.5

Over 2.5

Probability 52.4%

Odds -

All Markets

Market	Option	Probability	Odds	Stats & Analysis
1X2	Draw	34.5%	-	▥
BTTS	Yes	67.1%	-	▥
Over / Under 2.5	Over 2.5	52.4%	-	▥
Corners O/U	Over 7.5 Corners	83.9%	-	▥
HT / FT	Draw / Draw	-	-	▥
Correct Score	2-2	-	-	▥

Probability Distribution

Helmond Sport Win 29.4%

Draw 34.5%

Waalwijk Win 36.1%

Expected Goals (xG)

Helmond Sport0.86

Waalwijk1.48

Recent Form (Last 5)

Helmond Sport

WWDLW

5 GF / 14 GA

Waalwijk

WLDWL

13 GF / 12 GA

Key Stats

0.63

Average Goals Scored

1.3

1.75

Average Goals Conceded

1.2

BTTS Yes

Over 2.5

2.5

Shots on Goal

4.5

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Helmond Sport 8 matches

Waalwijk 10 matches

Helmond Sport	Statistic	Waalwijk
1	Wins	2
2	Draws	6
5	Losses	2
5	Goals For	13
14	Goals Against	12
0.63	Avg Goals Scored	1.3
1.75	Avg Goals Conceded	1.2
4	BTTS Yes	7
7	Over 1.5	9
3	Over 2.5	5
1	Over 3.5	2
1	Clean Sheets	2
3	Failed To Score	2
2.5	Shots On Goal	4.5
6.5	Total Shots	16.5
4	Corners	3
37.5%	Ball Possession	48.5%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 9 head-to-head meetings, Helmond Sport won 0 times, Waalwijk won 4 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 10:17 from Helmond Sport's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 3 goals per game.

1X2: Draw

BTTS: Yes

Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5

Highest model probability: X2 (70.6%)

Predicted formations: Helmond Sport 4-4-2 / Waalwijk 4-4-2

H2H summary: Helmond Sport wins 0, draws 5, Waalwijk wins 4

Standings

Eerste Divisie: Regular season

#	Team	MP	W	D	L	G	GD	PTS	Form
1	Heracles	10	8	1	1	31:12	19	25	W D W L W
2	Almere City FC	10	7	1	2	22:7	15	22	W W L W W
3	VVV Venlo	10	7	0	3	26:14	12	21	W W L W W
4	Emmen	10	6	1	3	22:18	4	19	W D W L L
5	NAC Breda	10	5	2	3	20:19	1	17	W D W W L
6	Roda	10	4	4	2	10:8	2	16	D L W D W
7	MVV	10	5	1	4	13:20	-7	16	L L W L L
8	FC Volendam	10	5	0	5	22:17	5	15	W L W L W
9	Waalwijk Away	10	3	5	2	19:15	4	14	L D L W W
10	Vitesse	10	4	2	4	15:15	0	14	L D L W L
11	Jong AZ	10	4	1	5	22:18	4	13	L W D L W
12	Jong PSV U21	10	3	4	3	15:17	-2	13	D L D L W
13	FC OSS	10	4	0	6	15:15	0	12	W W L W L
14	Den Bosch	10	3	2	5	14:18	-4	11	W D L W L
15	FC Eindhoven	10	3	2	5	15:22	-7	11	L D L W W
16	De Graafschap	10	3	2	5	13:23	-10	11	W D W L W
17	Helmond Sport Home	10	2	3	5	16:19	-3	9	L D L L W
18	Jong Ajax	10	2	2	6	13:25	-12	8	L D L L W
19	Dordrecht	10	2	2	6	13:27	-14	8	L D W L L
20	Jong Utrecht	10	2	1	7	16:23	-7	7	L L W W D

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