NETHERLANDS EERSTE DIVISIE
--.--.---- --:--
GS Staalwerken Stadion
Referee: T. Hardeman
Helmond Sport
Match Timeline
Waalwijk
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
18'
Mauro Lenaerts · Assist: Helgi Fróði Ingason
Helmond Sport
🟨
19'
Michel Ludwig
Helmond Sport
🔄
46'
Keyan Varela ↔ Yorem van der Veen
Waalwijk
🔄
57'
Kiton Ekoli ↔ Livio Cicero
Helmond Sport
🟨
57'
Brian Koglin
Helmond Sport
🔄
66'
Ryan Fage ↔ Finn Stokkers
Waalwijk
🔄
67'
Labinot Bajrami ↔ Pol Llonch
Helmond Sport
🟨
75'
Mauro Lenaerts
Helmond Sport
🔄
75'
Thijs van Leeuwen ↔ Rein van Hedel
Waalwijk
🔄
75'
Loek Postma ↔ Azzedine Dkidak
Waalwijk
79'
Yorem van der Veen · Assist: Faissal Al Mazyani
Waalwijk
🟨
84'
Azzedine Dkidak
Waalwijk
🔄
87'
Jesse van de Haar ↔ Haye Van Gemert
Waalwijk
🔄
87'
Michel Ludwig ↔ Tarik Essakkati
Helmond Sport

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Draw
Probability 34.5%
Odds 3.65
1 agree / 0 disagree
BTTS
Yes
Probability 67.1%
Odds 1.62
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 52.4%
Odds 1.70
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Draw
34.5%
3.65
BTTS Yes
67.1%
1.62
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
52.4%
1.70
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
83.9%
1.22
HT / FT Draw / Draw
-
6.00
Correct Score 2-2
-
13.00
Probability Distribution
Helmond Sport Win 29.4%
Draw 34.5%
Waalwijk Win 36.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
Helmond Sport0.86
Waalwijk1.48
Recent Form (Last 5)
Helmond Sport Helmond Sport
WWDLW
5 GF / 14 GA
Waalwijk Waalwijk
WLDWL
13 GF / 12 GA
Key Stats
0.63
Average Goals Scored
1.3
1.75
Average Goals Conceded
1.2
4
BTTS Yes
7
3
Over 2.5
5
2.5
Shots on Goal
4.5

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Helmond Sport Helmond Sport 8 matches
Waalwijk Waalwijk 10 matches
Helmond Sport Statistic Waalwijk
1 Wins 2
2 Draws 6
5 Losses 2
5 Goals For 13
14 Goals Against 12
0.63 Avg Goals Scored 1.3
1.75 Avg Goals Conceded 1.2
4 BTTS Yes 7
7 Over 1.5 9
3 Over 2.5 5
1 Over 3.5 2
1 Clean Sheets 2
3 Failed To Score 2
2.5 Shots On Goal 4.5
6.5 Total Shots 16.5
4 Corners 3
37.5% Ball Possession 48.5%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 8 head-to-head meetings, Helmond Sport won 0 times, Waalwijk won 4 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 9:16 from Helmond Sport's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 3.13 goals per game.

1X2: Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: X2 (70.6%)
Predicted formations: Helmond Sport 4-4-2 / Waalwijk 4-4-2
H2H summary: Helmond Sport wins 0, draws 4, Waalwijk wins 4
Stats
Helmond Sport Helmond Sport
Waalwijk Waalwijk
Shots on Goal
2
Shots on Goal
6
Shots off Goal
2
Shots off Goal
4
Blocked Shots
2
Blocked Shots
2
3 Corner Kicks 4
20 Fouls 8
0 Offsides 2
32% Ball Possession 68%
6 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Goal 6
2 Shots off Goal 4
2 Blocked Shots 2
2 Shots insidebox 7
4 Shots outsidebox 5
5 Goalkeeper Saves 1
252 Total passes 558
174 Passes accurate 464
0.75 expected_goals 0.74
🟨 3 Yellow Cards 1 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Helmond Sport
Formation
Waalwijk
Menno Bergsen
Menno Bergsen
Sem Dekkers
Sem Dekkers
Brian Koglin
Brian Koglin
Tijn Landheer
Tijn Landheer
Wassim Lantaki
Wassim Lantaki
Kiton Ekoli
Kiton Ekoli
Michel Ludwig
Michel Ludwig
Xander van der Velde
Xander van der Velde
Helgi Fróði Ingason
🎯
Helgi Fróði Ingason
Mauro Lenaerts
Mauro Lenaerts
Labinot Bajrami
Labinot Bajrami
Niek Schiks
Niek Schiks
Faissal Al Mazyani
🎯
Faissal Al Mazyani
Liam Van Gelderen
Liam Van Gelderen
Jordy de Wijs
Jordy de Wijs
Juan Familia-Castillo
Juan Familia-Castillo
Ryan Fage
Ryan Fage
Jochem Nap
Jochem Nap
Loek Postma
Loek Postma
Keyan Varela
Keyan Varela
Thijs van Leeuwen
Thijs van Leeuwen
Jesse van de Haar
Jesse van de Haar
Helmond Sport 4-4-2 (estimated from previous match)
Starting XI
1
Menno Bergsen
G
20
Sem Dekkers
D
4
Brian Koglin
🟨 57'
D
43
Tijn Landheer
D
17
Wassim Lantaki
D
30
Kiton Ekoli
↓ 57'
M
6
Michel Ludwig
↓ 87' 🟨 19'
M
44
Xander van der Velde
M
19
Helgi Fróði Ingason
🎯 18'
M
94
Mauro Lenaerts
⚽ 18' 🟨 75'
F
9
Labinot Bajrami
↓ 67'
F
Substitutes
11
Livio Cicero
↑ 57'
M
8
Pol Llonch
↑ 67'
M
34
Tarik Essakkati
↑ 87'
F
23
Adam El Maach
G
21
Wessel van der Heijden
G
26
Diego van Zutphen
D
2
Rayen van Bree
D
35
Nico Meissner
M
47
Dayen Geerts
M
Waalwijk 4-4-2 (estimated from previous match)
Starting XI
1
Niek Schiks
G
33
Faissal Al Mazyani
🎯 79'
D
4
Liam Van Gelderen
D
30
Jordy de Wijs
D
5
Juan Familia-Castillo
D
7
Ryan Fage
↓ 66'
M
8
Jochem Nap
M
6
Loek Postma
↓ 75'
M
20
Keyan Varela
↓ 46'
M
10
Thijs van Leeuwen
↓ 75'
F
9
Jesse van de Haar
↓ 87'
F
Substitutes
11
Yorem van der Veen
⚽ 79' ↑ 46'
F
27
Finn Stokkers
↑ 66'
F
18
Rein van Hedel
↑ 75'
M
24
Azzedine Dkidak
↑ 75' 🟨 84'
D
19
Haye Van Gemert
↑ 87'
F
31
Luuk Vogels
G
16
Mark Spenkelink
G
3
Sven van der Plas
D
55
Nazjir Held
D
25
Navajo Bakboord
D
45
Amin el Harchaoui
M
Last matches: Helmond Sport
14.08.26
Eer
Helmond Sport
Roda
1
2
L
09.08.26
Eer
Helmond Sport
De Graafschap
1
1
D
01.08.26
Fri
Helmond Sport
St. Truiden
1
0
W
17.07.26
Fri
Helmond Sport
Al Taawon
0
2
L
12.07.26
Fri
Helmond Sport
KVC Westerlo
0
2
L
07.07.26
Fri
Helmond Sport
Gemert
1
1
D
04.07.26
Fri
Helmond Sport
AEK Larnaca
1
2
L
01.07.26
Fri
Helmond Sport
Panathinaikos
0
4
L
24.04.26
Eer
Helmond Sport
FC Eindhoven
0
1
L
17.04.26
Eer
Helmond Sport
VVV Venlo
2
0
W
10.04.26
Eer
Helmond Sport
MVV
0
0
D
06.04.26
Eer
Helmond Sport
Waalwijk
2
2
D
03.04.26
Eer
Helmond Sport
Jong AZ
0
2
L
20.03.26
Eer
Helmond Sport
Roda
1
1
D
16.03.26
Eer
Helmond Sport
Cambuur
0
1
L
13.03.26
Eer
Helmond Sport
Jong Utrecht
0
1
L
06.03.26
Eer
Helmond Sport
FC OSS
1
1
D
27.02.26
Eer
Helmond Sport
Jong Ajax
1
5
L
20.02.26
Eer
Helmond Sport
ADO Den Haag
1
3
L
13.02.26
Eer
Helmond Sport
Almere City FC
1
0
W
Last matches: Waalwijk
14.08.26
Eer
Waalwijk
Dordrecht
2
2
D
07.08.26
Eer
Waalwijk
Vitesse
1
1
D
02.08.26
Fri
Waalwijk
Kifisia
3
0
W
29.07.26
Fri
Waalwijk
Patro Eisden
1
2
L
25.07.26
Fri
Waalwijk
Bochum II
0
2
L
18.07.26
Fri
Waalwijk
FC Volendam
2
2
D
18.07.26
Fri
Waalwijk
Alemannia Aachen
1
1
D
11.07.26
Fri
Waalwijk
Kozakken Boys
0
0
D
04.07.26
Fri
Waalwijk
Jong AZ
1
1
D
30.06.26
Fri
Waalwijk
Rot-weiss Oberhausen
2
1
W
09.05.26
Eer
Waalwijk
Willem II
1
1
D
05.05.26
Eer
Waalwijk
Willem II
0
1
L
05.05.26
Ere
Waalwijk
Willem II
0
1
L
01.05.26
Eer
Waalwijk
Roda
1
1
D
01.05.26
Ere
Waalwijk
Roda
1
1
D
28.04.26
Eer
Waalwijk
Roda
1
1
D
28.04.26
Ere
Waalwijk
Roda
1
1
D
24.04.26
Eer
Waalwijk
Jong PSV U21
4
1
W
17.04.26
Eer
Waalwijk
ADO Den Haag
1
5
L
10.04.26
Eer
Waalwijk
Emmen
5
0
W
H2H: Helmond Sport vs Waalwijk
06.04.26
H2H
Helmond Sport
Waalwijk
2
2
D
15.08.25
H2H
Waalwijk
Helmond Sport
1
1
D
22.03.19
H2H
Waalwijk
Helmond Sport
2
1
L
17.11.18
H2H
Helmond Sport
Waalwijk
0
2
L
28.04.18
H2H
Helmond Sport
Waalwijk
2
2
D
01.12.17
H2H
Waalwijk
Helmond Sport
1
0
L
03.03.17
H2H
Waalwijk
Helmond Sport
5
2
L
23.09.16
H2H
Helmond Sport
Waalwijk
1
1
D
Last matches: Helmond Sport
09.08.26
Eer
Helmond Sport
De Graafschap
1
1
D
01.08.26
Fri
Helmond Sport
St. Truiden
1
0
W
17.07.26
Fri
Helmond Sport
Al Taawon
0
2
L
12.07.26
Fri
Helmond Sport
KVC Westerlo
0
2
L
04.07.26
Fri
Helmond Sport
AEK Larnaca
1
2
L
01.07.26
Fri
Helmond Sport
Panathinaikos
0
4
L
17.04.26
Eer
Helmond Sport
VVV Venlo
2
0
W
06.04.26
Eer
Helmond Sport
Waalwijk
2
2
D
16.03.26
Eer
Helmond Sport
Cambuur
0
1
L
06.03.26
Eer
Helmond Sport
FC OSS
1
1
D
20.02.26
Eer
Helmond Sport
ADO Den Haag
1
3
L
06.02.26
Eer
Helmond Sport
Den Bosch
2
0
W
31.01.26
Eer
Helmond Sport
De Graafschap
0
0
D
16.01.26
Eer
Helmond Sport
Vitesse
2
2
D
21.12.25
Eer
Helmond Sport
Willem II
2
2
D
05.12.25
Eer
Helmond Sport
MVV
2
4
L
24.11.25
Eer
Helmond Sport
Jong Ajax
2
1
W
08.11.25
Eer
Helmond Sport
Jong PSV U21
2
3
L
24.10.25
Eer
Helmond Sport
Dordrecht
1
2
L
17.10.25
Eer
Helmond Sport
Jong AZ
4
2
W
H2H at home: Helmond Sport
06.04.26
H2H
Helmond Sport
Waalwijk
2
2
D
17.11.18
H2H
Helmond Sport
Waalwijk
0
2
L
28.04.18
H2H
Helmond Sport
Waalwijk
2
2
D
23.09.16
H2H
Helmond Sport
Waalwijk
1
1
D
Last matches: Waalwijk
07.08.26
Eer
Waalwijk
Vitesse
1
1
D
11.07.26
Fri
Waalwijk
Kozakken Boys
0
0
D
09.05.26
Eer
Waalwijk
Willem II
1
1
D
28.04.26
Eer
Waalwijk
Roda
1
1
D
28.04.26
Ere
Waalwijk
Roda
1
1
D
17.04.26
Eer
Waalwijk
ADO Den Haag
1
5
L
06.04.26
Eer
Waalwijk
Helmond Sport
2
2
D
03.04.26
Eer
Waalwijk
MVV
3
1
W
17.03.26
Eer
Waalwijk
Almere City FC
2
2
D
06.03.26
Eer
Waalwijk
VVV Venlo
3
0
W
20.02.26
Eer
Waalwijk
Cambuur
1
1
D
08.02.26
Eer
Waalwijk
Willem II
1
2
L
23.01.26
Eer
Waalwijk
De Graafschap
4
2
W
22.12.25
Eer
Waalwijk
Jong Ajax
2
0
W
10.12.25
Eer
Waalwijk
Vitesse
1
2
L
01.12.25
Eer
Waalwijk
Jong PSV U21
1
3
L
21.11.25
Eer
Waalwijk
FC OSS
0
0
D
02.11.25
Eer
Waalwijk
Emmen
2
2
D
20.10.25
Eer
Waalwijk
Dordrecht
2
1
W
03.10.25
Eer
Waalwijk
Den Bosch
2
2
D
H2H away: Waalwijk
06.04.26
H2H
Helmond Sport
Waalwijk
2
2
D
17.11.18
H2H
Helmond Sport
Waalwijk
0
2
W
28.04.18
H2H
Helmond Sport
Waalwijk
2
2
D
23.09.16
H2H
Helmond Sport
Waalwijk
1
1
D
Showing odds from: 1xBet
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 1.92
Draw 3.65
Home 3.83
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 2.45
Draw 2.40
Home 4.22
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 1.5 1.21
Over 2.25 1.51
Over 2.5 1.70
Over 2.75 1.88
Over 3.0 2.16
Over 3.25 2.44
Over 3.5 2.70
Over 4.5 4.87
Under 1.5 4.27
Under 2.25 2.55
Under 2.5 2.15
Under 2.75 1.93
Under 3.0 1.70
Under 3.25 1.55
Under 3.5 1.45
Under 4.5 1.17
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 1.95
Draw 3.50
Home 3.80
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 2.50
Draw 2.30
Home 4.00
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 2.25
Draw 2.60
Home 3.50
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.04
Over 1.5 1.20
Over 2.5 1.70
Over 3.5 2.62
Over 4.5 5.00
Over 5.5 11.00
Over 6.5 21.00
Over 7.5 41.00
Under 0.5 13.00
Under 1.5 4.33
Under 2.5 2.10
Under 3.5 1.44
Under 4.5 1.17
Under 5.5 1.05
Under 6.5 1.01
Under 7.5 1.00
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 1.96
Draw 3.54
Home 3.56
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 2.50
Draw 2.17
Home 4.18
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 2.24
Draw 2.61
Home 3.70
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.04
Over 1.0 1.05
Over 1.25 1.08
Over 1.5 1.16
Over 1.75 1.22
Over 2.0 1.28
Over 2.25 1.50
Over 2.5 1.69
Over 2.75 1.87
Over 3.0 2.09
Over 3.25 2.34
Over 3.5 2.59
Over 3.75 3.14
Over 4.0 4.15
Over 4.25 4.50
Over 4.5 4.85
Over 4.75 6.15
Over 5.0 8.80
Over 5.5 10.00
Over 6.5 21.00
Over 7.5 41.00
Under 0.5 12.00
Under 1.0 7.50
Under 1.25 5.65
Under 1.5 4.05
Under 1.75 3.66
Under 2.0 3.18
Under 2.25 2.50
Under 2.5 2.11
Under 2.75 1.88
Under 3.0 1.62
Under 3.25 1.47
Under 3.5 1.39
Under 3.75 1.27
Under 4.0 1.16
Under 4.25 1.13
Under 4.5 1.11
Under 4.75 1.06
Under 5.0 1.01
Under 5.5 1.05
Under 6.5 1.01
Under 7.5 1.00
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 1.77
Draw 3.70
Home 3.70
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 2.33
Draw 2.40
Home 4.00
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 2.10
Draw 2.75
Home 3.75
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 1.5 1.18
Over 2.0 1.30
Over 2.5 1.61
Over 2.75 1.76
Over 3.0 2.00
Over 3.25 2.28
Over 3.5 2.55
Over 4.0 4.10
Over 4.25 4.40
Over 4.5 4.35
Over 5.0 8.00
Under 1.5 4.10
Under 2.0 3.10
Under 2.5 2.14
Under 2.75 1.91
Under 3.0 1.68
Under 3.25 1.54
Under 3.5 1.44
Under 4.0 1.18
Under 4.25 1.16
Under 4.5 1.16
Under 5.0 1.05

Standings

Eerste Divisie: Regular season
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 3 3 0 0 10:5 5 9
W W W
2 3 3 0 0 6:3 3 9
W W W
3 3 2 1 0 7:2 5 7
W W D
4 2 2 0 0 7:5 2 6
W W
5 3 2 0 1 3:2 1 6
W W L
6 3 1 1 1 8:6 2 4
W L D
7 3 1 1 1 4:4 0 4
L D W
8 3 1 1 1 4:5 -1 4
L W D
9 2 1 0 1 5:4 1 3
W L
10 2 1 0 1 4:5 -1 3
L W
11 2 1 0 1 2:3 -1 3
L W
12 3 1 0 2 5:4 1 3
L W L
13 3 1 0 2 6:6 0 3
L W L
14 3 0 3 0 4:4 0 3
D D D
15 3 1 0 2 5:8 -3 3
L L W
16 3 0 2 1 3:4 -1 2
D L D
17 2 0 1 1 3:6 -3 1
L D
18 2 0 0 2 5:8 -3 0
L L
19 2 0 0 2 2:5 -3 0
L L
20 2 0 0 2 1:5 -4 0
L L
Promotion - Eredivisie
Promotion - Eredivisie (Promotion)