Heart Of Midlothian vs ST Mirren Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
46.7%
|
- | |
| BTTS | Yes |
82.5%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
77.2%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
- |
Heart Of Midlothian
ST Mirren
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Heart Of Midlothian
17 matches
ST Mirren
8 matches
| Heart Of Midlothian | Statistic | ST Mirren |
|---|---|---|
| 7 | Wins | 4 |
| 4 | Draws | 1 |
| 6 | Losses | 3 |
| 25 | Goals For | 12 |
| 28 | Goals Against | 11 |
| 1.47 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.5 |
| 1.65 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.38 |
| 13 | BTTS Yes | 3 |
| 16 | Over 1.5 | 5 |
| 12 | Over 2.5 | 4 |
| 5 | Over 3.5 | 2 |
| 2 | Clean Sheets | 3 |
| 2 | Failed To Score | 2 |
| 4.62 | Shots On Goal | 3.86 |
| 13.46 | Total Shots | 14.29 |
| 6.54 | Corners | 4.57 |
| 47.8% | Ball Possession | 48.1% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
From a tactical perspective, this fixture features Heart Of Midlothian's more proactive style and ST Mirren's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward ST Mirren. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Heart Of Midlothian expected to line up in 4-4-2 and ST Mirren in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward ST Mirren having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. ST Mirren arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly.
Heart Of Midlothian approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 3 on 13 points after 7 outings. With 4 wins, 1 draws, and 2 defeats plus a goal balance of 14:8, they continue to show good form over their recent run. Their attacking quality is driven by J. Wilson (3 goals), J. McPake (2 goals), Cláudio Braga (2 goals), with creative support from J. McPake (4 assists), Cláudio Braga (2 assists), S. Kerjota (1 assists), and at the back they have appeared very solid. At home, their record of 3 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.
ST Mirren sit 5 with 10 points after 7 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. The overall return of 3 wins, 1 draws, and 3 defeats with a 8:9 goal balance points toward poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Going forward they depend heavily on K. Phillips (3 goals), Samuel Ramos (1 goals), N. Agrafiotis (1 goals), with creative support from Samuel Ramos (2 assists), N. Agrafiotis (1 assists), A. Gogić (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, the split record of 2 wins, 0 draws, and 1 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Heart Of Midlothian won 6 times, ST Mirren won 4 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 23:16 from Heart Of Midlothian's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.6 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 14:4 | 10 | 18 |
L
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 8:4 | 4 | 16 |
W
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 3 |
Heart Of Midlothian
Home
|
7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 14:8 | 6 | 13 |
D
L
W
W
W
|
| 4 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 9:7 | 2 | 10 |
W
L
D
L
W
|
|
| 5 |
ST Mirren
Away
|
7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 8:9 | -1 | 10 |
L
L
L
W
D
|
| 6 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9:10 | -1 | 8 |
D
L
W
D
L
|
|
| 7 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7:8 | -1 | 8 |
D
W
D
L
L
|
|
| 8 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9:11 | -2 | 8 |
W
D
L
W
L
|
|
| 9 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9:11 | -2 | 8 |
L
L
L
W
D
|
|
| 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 8:11 | -3 | 7 |
D
L
L
L
W
|
|
| 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6:9 | -3 | 6 |
D
W
D
L
L
|
|
| 12 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 6:15 | -9 | 5 |
D
W
D
L
L
|