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ISRAEL › LIGAT HA'AL
19.05.2026 17:30
Toto Turner Stadium
Referee: I. Frid
Hapoel Beer Sheva
Match Timeline
Maccabi Tel Aviv
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
2'
Igor Zlatanović
Hapoel Beer Sheva
⚽
18'
I. Zlatanovic
Hapoel Beer Sheva
VAR
22'
Tyrese Asante
Maccabi Tel Aviv
⚽
24'
D. Peretz
Maccabi Tel Aviv
⚽
28'
K. Kangwa · Assist: A. C. Ganah
Hapoel Beer Sheva
⚽
36'
K. Andrade · Assist: I. Sissokho
Maccabi Tel Aviv
🔄
46'
M. Baltaxa ↔ O. Davidzada
Hapoel Beer Sheva
🔄
54'
K. Andrade ↔ H. Varela
Maccabi Tel Aviv
🔄
54'
K. Belic ↔ I. Shahar
Maccabi Tel Aviv
🟨
55'
Dor Peretz
Maccabi Tel Aviv
🔄
61'
M. Abu Rumi ↔ Miguel Vitor
Hapoel Beer Sheva
🔄
61'
A. C. Ganah ↔ J. East
Hapoel Beer Sheva
🔄
65'
G. Mizrahi ↔ Z. Ahmed
Hapoel Beer Sheva
🟨
66'
Emir Sahiti
Maccabi Tel Aviv
🔄
70'
E. Sahiti ↔ E. Madmon
Maccabi Tel Aviv
🔄
71'
S. Jehezkel ↔ N. Ben Harush
Maccabi Tel Aviv
🔄
75'
D. T. Diop ↔ R. Levy
Hapoel Beer Sheva
⚽
77'
Z. Ahmed · Assist: J. East
Hapoel Beer Sheva
🔄
78'
S. Abu Farhi ↔ R. Shlomo
Maccabi Tel Aviv
⚽
80'
Miguel Vitor · Assist: K. Kangwa
Hapoel Beer Sheva
🟨
81'
Miguel Vítor
Hapoel Beer Sheva

Hapoel Beer Sheva vs Maccabi Tel Aviv Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 52%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 65.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 66.8%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
52%
- ▥
BTTS BTTS Yes
65.1%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
66.8%
- ▥
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
76%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Hapoel Beer Sheva Win 52%
Draw 11.6%
Maccabi Tel Aviv Win 36.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
Hapoel Beer Sheva1.75
Maccabi Tel Aviv1.36
Recent Form (Last 5)
Hapoel Beer Sheva Hapoel Beer Sheva
WWDLW
74 GF / 33 GA
Maccabi Tel Aviv Maccabi Tel Aviv
WLDWL
79 GF / 68 GA
Key Stats
1.95
Average Goals Scored
1.68
0.87
Average Goals Conceded
1.45
19
BTTS Yes
27
18
Over 2.5
30
3.95
Shots on Goal
3.09

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Hapoel Beer Sheva Hapoel Beer Sheva 38 matches
Maccabi Tel Aviv Maccabi Tel Aviv 47 matches
Hapoel Beer Sheva Statistic Maccabi Tel Aviv
23 Wins 21
10 Draws 10
5 Losses 16
74 Goals For 79
33 Goals Against 68
1.95 Avg Goals Scored 1.68
0.87 Avg Goals Conceded 1.45
19 BTTS Yes 27
27 Over 1.5 37
18 Over 2.5 30
12 Over 3.5 22
15 Clean Sheets 12
7 Failed To Score 11
3.95 Shots On Goal 3.09
10.21 Total Shots 8.53
3.74 Corners 3.49
37.5% Ball Possession 36.7%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Maccabi Tel Aviv. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Hapoel Beer Sheva expected to line up in 4-3-3 and Maccabi Tel Aviv in 4-5-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Maccabi Tel Aviv having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Hapoel Beer Sheva come in with stronger recent momentum, which could help them control the rhythm for longer periods.

Hapoel Beer Sheva Analysis

Hapoel Beer Sheva approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 1 on 59 points after 26 outings. With 18 wins, 5 draws, and 3 defeats plus a goal balance of 58:25, they continue to show very strong form with results showing strong momentum. Their attacking quality is driven by D. Biton (15 goals), I. Zlatanovic (13 goals), K. Kangwa (11 goals), with creative support from K. Kangwa (8 assists), Eliel Peretz (5 assists), A. C. Ganah (5 assists), and at the back they have appeared very solid. At home, the split of 9 wins, 4 draws, and 0 losses supports the view of a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

Maccabi Tel Aviv Analysis

Placed 3 with 49 points from 26 outings, Maccabi Tel Aviv continue to operate from a strong competitive position. Their overall return of 14 wins, 7 draws, and 5 losses with goals at 55:32 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by D. Peretz (17 goals), I. Shahar (13 goals), Saied Abu Farchi (7 goals), with creative support from Roy Revivo (13 assists), S. Jehezkel (6 assists), I. Shahar (4 assists), while defensively they have appeared fairly stable. Away from home, their split return of 7 wins, 4 draws, and 2 losses fits a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Hapoel Beer Sheva won 5 times, Maccabi Tel Aviv won 8 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 17:22 from Hapoel Beer Sheva's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.6 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (88.4%)
Predicted formations: Hapoel Beer Sheva 4-3-3 / Maccabi Tel Aviv 4-5-1
H2H summary: Hapoel Beer Sheva wins 5, draws 2, Maccabi Tel Aviv wins 8

Standings

Premier League , Championship Round
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 36 24 7 5 79:38 41 79
L W W D W
2 36 22 10 4 78:40 38 76
D D W D L
3 36 19 9 8 75:46 29 66
D L L W D
4 36 18 8 10 55:38 17 60
D L L W D
5 36 15 10 11 66:47 19 55
W W D L W
6 36 9 13 14 48:57 -9 40
D D D L L
Champions League Qualification
UEFA Europa League Qualification
Conference League Qualification