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ECUADOR › LIGA PRO
12.09.2026 21:30
Estadio Christian Benitez Betancourt
Referee: Gorky Stalin Araujo Zambrano, Ecuador
Guayaquil City FC
Match Timeline
Mushuc Runa SC
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
23'
E. Mero · Assist: R. Arias
Guayaquil City FC
🟨
34'
Ronny Biojo
Mushuc Runa SC
🟨
36'
Jeremy Cusme
Mushuc Runa SC
🟨
38'
Renato Ibarra
Mushuc Runa SC
🟨
45+11'
Roger Arias
Guayaquil City FC
🔄
45+6'
R. Ibarra ↔ N. Bazan
Mushuc Runa SC
🔄
46'
F. Mina ↔ E. Caicedo
Mushuc Runa SC
⚽
51'
E. Mero · Assist: J. J. Ayovi Caicedo
Guayaquil City FC
⚽
55'
M. Perea · Assist: A. Zambrano
Mushuc Runa SC
🔄
57'
R. Arias ↔ E. P. Ladines Calvache
Guayaquil City FC
🔄
57'
E. Mero ↔ M. Bolanos
Guayaquil City FC
🔄
57'
P. Gonzalez ↔ P. Mancilla
Guayaquil City FC
🔄
65'
J. Quinonez ↔ E. Cabezas
Guayaquil City FC
🔄
65'
A. Zambrano ↔ B. Corozo
Mushuc Runa SC
🟥
68'
Nazareno Bazán
Mushuc Runa SC
🟨
70'
Diego Dorregaray
Guayaquil City FC
🟨
73'
Pablo Mancilla
Guayaquil City FC
🔄
76'
S. Laurino ↔ K. Sambonino
Guayaquil City FC
🔄
83'
C. Angulo ↔ K. Peralta
Mushuc Runa SC
🔄
83'
J. Hernandez ↔ J. Caicedo
Mushuc Runa SC
⚽
84'
D. Dorregaray · Assist: D. Arroyo
Guayaquil City FC

Guayaquil City FC vs Mushuc Runa SC Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away or Draw
Probability 62.7%
Odds 1.53
BTTS
No
Probability 50.8%
Odds 1.73
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 58.5%
Odds 1.60
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away or Draw
62.7%
1.53 ▥
BTTS No
50.8%
1.73 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
58.5%
1.60 ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
76.4%
1.40 ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
6.50 ▥
Correct Score 0-1
-
7.50 ▥
Probability Distribution
Guayaquil City FC Win 37.3%
Draw 21.6%
Mushuc Runa SC Win 41.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
Guayaquil City FC1.1
Mushuc Runa SC1.19
Recent Form (Last 5)
Guayaquil City FC Guayaquil City FC
WWDLW
33 GF / 39 GA
Mushuc Runa SC Mushuc Runa SC
WLDWL
34 GF / 35 GA
Key Stats
1.03
Average Goals Scored
1.17
1.22
Average Goals Conceded
1.21
16
BTTS Yes
16
13
Over 2.5
14
3.31
Shots on Goal
3.72

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Guayaquil City FC Guayaquil City FC 32 matches
Mushuc Runa SC Mushuc Runa SC 29 matches
Guayaquil City FC Statistic Mushuc Runa SC
10 Wins 9
9 Draws 11
13 Losses 9
33 Goals For 34
39 Goals Against 35
1.03 Avg Goals Scored 1.17
1.22 Avg Goals Conceded 1.21
16 BTTS Yes 16
17 Over 1.5 19
13 Over 2.5 14
7 Over 3.5 9
9 Clean Sheets 11
11 Failed To Score 8
3.31 Shots On Goal 3.72
8.62 Total Shots 12.45
2.9 Corners 4.9
53.3% Ball Possession 48.5%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Mushuc Runa SC. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Guayaquil City FC expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Mushuc Runa SC in 4-4-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Mushuc Runa SC having the stronger overall control.

Guayaquil City FC Analysis

So far, Guayaquil City FC have built a campaign that leaves them 10 in the table on 36 points from 28 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 9 wins, 9 draws, and 10 losses, while the 27:31 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on E. Mero (8 goals), D. Díaz (4 goals), P. González (3 goals), with creative support from J. Ayovi (4 assists), E. Mero (2 assists), D. Díaz (2 assists), and defensively they have been fairly stable. At home, the record of 5 wins, 6 draws, and 3 losses points toward a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Mushuc Runa SC Analysis

Mushuc Runa SC are currently 9 in the standings with 37 points from 28 matches. The record of 9 wins, 10 draws, and 9 defeats, together with a 33:34 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through R. Carrillo (6 goals), Alex Renato Ibarra Mina (4 goals), Cristopher Adonis Angulo Caicedo (3 goals), with creative support from Esteban Nicolás Dávila Alarcón (3 assists), R. Carrillo (2 assists), Alex Renato Ibarra Mina (2 assists), while at the back they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, they have returned 3 wins, 5 draws, and 6 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Guayaquil City FC won 7 times, Mushuc Runa SC won 6 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 27:22 from Guayaquil City FC's perspective. 10 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 3.27 goals per game.

1X2: Away or Draw
BTTS: No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (78.4%)
Predicted formations: Guayaquil City FC 4-2-3-1 / Mushuc Runa SC 4-4-2
H2H summary: Guayaquil City FC wins 7, draws 2, Mushuc Runa SC wins 6

Standings

Liga Pro: Regular season
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 30 24 2 4 73:33 40 74
W W L D W
2 30 14 9 7 51:27 24 51
W W D D W
3 30 15 6 9 41:33 8 51
W L W W L
4 30 14 8 8 33:28 5 50
D D D W W
5 30 13 7 10 31:24 7 46
D W D L W
6 30 11 11 8 32:25 7 44
D D W L W
7 30 11 8 11 33:34 -1 41
L W D L W
8 30 10 9 11 31:32 -1 39
L D W L L
9 30 10 9 11 33:36 -3 39
W L L W W
10 30 10 9 11 25:34 -9 39
L W D W L
11 30 9 11 10 35:38 -3 38
L D D W D
12 30 10 6 14 25:37 -12 36
D L W L D
13 30 9 6 15 36:47 -11 33
L W L L L
14 30 10 2 18 28:42 -14 32
W L L W L
15 30 7 7 16 19:31 -12 28
D L W L L
16 30 5 6 19 17:42 -25 21
D L L W L
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