LATVIA VIRSLIGA
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Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 67.9%
Odds 1.54
1 agree / 0 disagree
BTTS
Yes
Probability 58.8%
Odds 1.83
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 52.4%
Odds 1.84
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
67.9%
1.54
BTTS Yes
58.8%
1.83
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
52.4%
1.84
Corners O/U Under 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
4.33
Correct Score 1-2
-
8.50
Probability Distribution
Grobiņa Win 27%
Draw 5.1%
Auda Win 67.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
Grobiņa1.07
Auda1.64
Recent Form (Last 5)
Grobiņa Grobiņa
WWDLW
26 GF / 42 GA
Auda Auda
WLDWL
38 GF / 27 GA
Key Stats
1
Average Goals Scored
1.65
1.62
Average Goals Conceded
1.17
14
BTTS Yes
13
8
Over 2.5
13
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Grobiņa Grobiņa 26 matches
Auda Auda 23 matches
Grobiņa Statistic Auda
5 Wins 13
10 Draws 4
11 Losses 6
26 Goals For 38
42 Goals Against 27
1 Avg Goals Scored 1.65
1.62 Avg Goals Conceded 1.17
14 BTTS Yes 13
19 Over 1.5 19
8 Over 2.5 13
6 Over 3.5 5
4 Clean Sheets 8
9 Failed To Score 3
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Auda's more proactive style and Grobiņa's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Auda carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 3 with 35 points while Grobiņa sit 8 on 16, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Auda. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Auda having the stronger overall control. Grobiņa have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors.

Grobiņa Analysis

With 16 points from 18 games and a place of 8, Grobiņa still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. The overall return of 3 wins, 7 draws, and 8 defeats with a 12:29 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on A. Puzirevskis (5 goals), R. Baravykas (3 goals), A. Kholod (2 goals), with creative support from R. Baravykas (2 assists), M. Sidorovs (2 assists), O. Rascevskis (2 assists), while defensively they have looked fairly stable. At home, they have managed 1 wins, 3 draws, and 6 losses, a return that supports a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Auda Analysis

Auda approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 3 on 35 points after 18 outings. With 11 wins, 2 draws, and 5 defeats plus a goal balance of 34:23, they continue to show good form over their recent run. Their attacking quality is driven by J. Vergara (13 goals), E. Daskevics (4 goals), H. Ibrahim (4 goals), with creative support from E. Daskevics (6 assists), W. Fofana (4 assists), T. Hrvoj (4 assists), and at the back they have appeared very solid. Away from home, they have managed 6 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses, which underlines a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 13 head-to-head meetings, Grobiņa won 1 times, Auda won 8 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 10:29 from Grobiņa's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 3 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (94.9%)
H2H summary: Grobiņa wins 1, draws 4, Auda wins 8
Last matches: Grobiņa
20.06.26
Vir
Grobiņa
BFC Daugavpils
0
1
L
16.06.26
Vir
Grobiņa
FK Liepaja
1
0
W
13.06.26
Vir
Grobiņa
Rīgas FS
1
3
L
29.05.26
Vir
Grobiņa
Riga
0
2
L
25.05.26
Vir
Grobiņa
Ogre United
1
1
D
20.05.26
Vir
Grobiņa
Super Nova
0
2
L
15.05.26
Vir
Grobiņa
Tukums
3
3
D
11.05.26
Vir
Grobiņa
FS Jelgava
0
0
D
07.05.26
Vir
Grobiņa
Auda
0
7
L
02.05.26
Vir
Grobiņa
BFC Daugavpils
1
1
D
28.04.26
Vir
Grobiņa
FK Liepaja
1
1
D
22.04.26
Vir
Grobiņa
Rīgas FS
0
1
L
18.04.26
Vir
Grobiņa
Riga
0
3
L
13.04.26
Vir
Grobiņa
Ogre United
1
1
D
09.04.26
Vir
Grobiņa
Super Nova
0
1
L
05.04.26
Vir
Grobiņa
Tukums
1
1
D
21.03.26
Vir
Grobiņa
FS Jelgava
1
0
W
14.03.26
Vir
Grobiņa
Auda
0
2
L
07.03.26
Vir
Grobiņa
BFC Daugavpils
1
0
W
25.02.26
Fri
Grobiņa
Metta / LU
3
1
W
Last matches: Auda
21.06.26
Vir
Auda
Super Nova
2
0
W
17.06.26
Vir
Auda
Tukums
1
2
L
13.06.26
Vir
Auda
FS Jelgava
1
1
D
30.05.26
Vir
Auda
Ogre United
2
0
W
26.05.26
Vir
Auda
BFC Daugavpils
1
0
W
22.05.26
Vir
Auda
FK Liepaja
3
1
W
17.05.26
Vir
Auda
Rīgas FS
0
3
L
12.05.26
Vir
Auda
Riga
1
4
L
07.05.26
Vir
Auda
Grobiņa
7
0
W
01.05.26
Vir
Auda
Super Nova
2
1
W
26.04.26
Vir
Auda
Tukums
2
1
W
21.04.26
Vir
Auda
FS Jelgava
3
2
W
17.04.26
Vir
Auda
Ogre United
1
1
D
12.04.26
Vir
Auda
BFC Daugavpils
2
3
L
08.04.26
Vir
Auda
FK Liepaja
2
1
W
04.04.26
Vir
Auda
Rīgas FS
1
0
W
20.03.26
Vir
Auda
Riga
1
2
L
14.03.26
Vir
Auda
Grobiņa
2
0
W
08.03.26
Vir
Auda
Super Nova
2
1
W
13.02.26
Fri
Auda
Zorya Luhansk
0
3
L
H2H: Grobiņa vs Auda
07.05.26
H2H
Auda
Grobiņa
7
0
L
14.03.26
H2H
Grobiņa
Auda
0
2
L
09.11.25
H2H
Grobiņa
Auda
2
2
D
24.08.25
H2H
Auda
Grobiņa
1
0
L
06.08.25
H2H
Auda
Grobiņa
1
0
L
18.06.25
H2H
Grobiņa
Auda
1
2
L
24.04.25
H2H
Auda
Grobiņa
2
0
L
22.09.24
H2H
Auda
Grobiņa
2
0
L
02.07.24
H2H
Auda
Grobiņa
0
1
W
11.05.24
H2H
Grobiņa
Auda
2
2
D
31.03.24
H2H
Grobiņa
Auda
1
1
D
06.11.21
H2H
Auda
Grobiņa
0
0
D
29.09.21
H2H
Grobiņa
Auda
1
5
L
08.11.20
H2H
Auda
Grobiņa
0
0
D
29.08.20
H2H
Grobiņa
Auda
2
2
D
Last matches: Grobiņa
16.06.26
Vir
Grobiņa
FK Liepaja
1
0
W
13.06.26
Vir
Grobiņa
Rīgas FS
1
3
L
20.05.26
Vir
Grobiņa
Super Nova
0
2
L
15.05.26
Vir
Grobiņa
Tukums
3
3
D
11.05.26
Vir
Grobiņa
FS Jelgava
0
0
D
02.05.26
Vir
Grobiņa
BFC Daugavpils
1
1
D
22.04.26
Vir
Grobiņa
Rīgas FS
0
1
L
18.04.26
Vir
Grobiņa
Riga
0
3
L
09.04.26
Vir
Grobiņa
Super Nova
0
1
L
14.03.26
Vir
Grobiņa
Auda
0
2
L
11.02.26
Fri
Grobiņa
Minija
1
1
D
31.01.26
Fri
Grobiņa
Banga
5
3
W
17.01.26
Fri
Grobiņa
Banga
1
1
D
H2H at home: Grobiņa
14.03.26
H2H
Grobiņa
Auda
0
2
L
09.11.25
H2H
Grobiņa
Auda
2
2
D
18.06.25
H2H
Grobiņa
Auda
1
2
L
11.05.24
H2H
Grobiņa
Auda
2
2
D
31.03.24
H2H
Grobiņa
Auda
1
1
D
29.09.21
H2H
Grobiņa
Auda
1
5
L
29.08.20
H2H
Grobiņa
Auda
2
2
D
Last matches: Auda
21.06.26
Vir
Auda
Super Nova
2
0
W
17.06.26
Vir
Auda
Tukums
1
2
L
26.05.26
Vir
Auda
BFC Daugavpils
1
0
W
12.05.26
Vir
Auda
Riga
1
4
L
01.05.26
Vir
Auda
Super Nova
2
1
W
21.04.26
Vir
Auda
FS Jelgava
3
2
W
17.04.26
Vir
Auda
Ogre United
1
1
D
08.04.26
Vir
Auda
FK Liepaja
2
1
W
04.04.26
Vir
Auda
Rīgas FS
1
0
W
14.03.26
Vir
Auda
Grobiņa
2
0
W
13.02.26
Fri
Auda
Zorya Luhansk
0
3
L
06.02.26
Fri
Auda
FK Vozdovac
1
1
D
17.01.26
Fri
Auda
Shanghai Shenhua
0
0
D
10.07.25
UEF
Auda
Larne
0
0
D
H2H away: Auda
14.03.26
H2H
Grobiņa
Auda
0
2
W
09.11.25
H2H
Grobiņa
Auda
2
2
D
18.06.25
H2H
Grobiņa
Auda
1
2
W
11.05.24
H2H
Grobiņa
Auda
2
2
D
31.03.24
H2H
Grobiņa
Auda
1
1
D
29.09.21
H2H
Grobiņa
Auda
1
5
W
29.08.20
H2H
Grobiņa
Auda
2
2
D
Showing odds from: 1xBet
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 1.54
Draw 4.01
Home 5.56
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 2.03
Draw 2.36
Home 5.79
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 1.75 1.31
Over 2.0 1.39
Over 2.25 1.61
Over 2.5 1.84
Over 2.75 2.05
Over 3.0 2.41
Over 3.25 2.72
Under 1.75 3.25
Under 2.0 2.85
Under 2.25 2.27
Under 2.5 1.96
Under 2.75 1.75
Under 3.0 1.53
Under 3.25 1.42
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 1.53
Draw 3.80
Home 4.75
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 2.05
Draw 2.30
Home 5.50
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 1.91
Draw 2.62
Home 4.75
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.01
Over 1.5 1.25
Over 2.5 1.80
Over 3.5 3.00
Over 4.5 5.00
Over 5.5 9.00
Over 6.5 13.00
Over 7.5 21.00
Under 0.5 12.00
Under 1.5 3.75
Under 2.5 2.00
Under 3.5 1.36
Under 4.5 1.14
Under 5.5 1.04
Under 6.5 1.01
Under 7.5 1.00
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 1.51
Draw 3.80
Home 5.67
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 2.07
Draw 2.19
Home 5.84
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 1.84
Draw 2.63
Home 5.36
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.00
Over 0.75 1.01
Over 1.0 1.02
Over 1.25 1.12
Over 1.5 1.22
Over 1.75 1.28
Over 2.0 1.35
Over 2.25 1.58
Over 2.5 1.78
Over 2.75 1.98
Over 3.0 2.28
Over 3.25 2.56
Over 3.5 2.83
Over 3.75 3.42
Over 4.0 4.60
Over 4.25 4.89
Over 4.5 5.20
Over 4.75 6.04
Over 5.0 9.00
Over 5.5 12.00
Over 6.5 13.00
Over 7.5 21.00
Under 0.5 9.10
Under 0.75 8.70
Under 1.0 8.10
Under 1.25 4.70
Under 1.5 3.48
Under 1.75 3.08
Under 2.0 2.74
Under 2.25 2.21
Under 2.5 1.91
Under 2.75 1.72
Under 3.0 1.50
Under 3.25 1.40
Under 3.5 1.33
Under 3.75 1.23
Under 4.0 1.13
Under 4.25 1.11
Under 4.5 1.10
Under 4.75 1.06
Under 5.0 1.01
Under 5.5 1.04
Under 6.5 1.01
Under 7.5 1.00
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 1.65
Draw 3.65
Home 4.40
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 2.17
Draw 2.35
Home 4.40
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 2.00
Draw 2.70
Home 4.10
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 1.5 1.20
Over 2.5 1.66
Over 3.5 2.63
Over 4.5 4.60
Under 1.5 3.75
Under 2.5 2.00
Under 3.5 1.38
Under 4.5 1.13

Standings

Virsliga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 19 16 1 2 48:14 34 49
W L W W W
2 19 15 3 1 60:19 41 48
W W W W W
3
Auda Away
19 12 2 5 36:23 13 38
W L D W W
4 19 7 4 8 23:29 -6 25
L L W W D
5 19 6 5 8 21:25 -4 23
W D D D L
6 19 6 3 10 19:27 -8 21
L D L L L
7 19 4 7 8 17:34 -17 19
W L D D D
8 19 3 8 8 33:36 -3 17
L W D L L
9 19 3 7 9 12:30 -18 16
L W L L D
10 19 1 4 14 16:48 -32 7
L W L L D
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Virsliga (Relegation)
Relegation - Nakotnes liga