Login Register
POLAND › EKSTRAKLASA
12.09.2026 15:30
Stadion im. Ernesta Pohla
Referee: Wojciech Myc, Poland
Gornik Zabrze
Match Timeline
Lech Poznan
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
26'
Patrik Wålemark
Lech Poznan
🟨
30'
Jarosław Kubicki
Gornik Zabrze
⚽
36'
A. Sayyadmanesh
Lech Poznan
🟨
37'
Allahyar Sayyadmanesh
Lech Poznan
🟨
39'
Michal Sáček
Gornik Zabrze
🟨
55'
Paulo Bernardo
Gornik Zabrze
🟨
60'
Janis Antiste
Gornik Zabrze
🔄
60'
P. Bernardo ↔ S. Liseth
Gornik Zabrze
🔄
60'
J. Antiste ↔ E. Prekop
Gornik Zabrze
🔄
60'
Peter Federico ↔ Y. Ikia Dimi
Gornik Zabrze
🔄
64'
R. Murawski ↔ F. Jagiello
Lech Poznan
🔄
64'
A. Sayyadmanesh ↔ L. Bengtsson
Lech Poznan
🔄
72'
P. Rodriguez ↔ L. Palma
Lech Poznan
🔄
72'
M. Ishak ↔ Y. Agnero
Lech Poznan
⚽
76'
E. Prekop · Assist: K. Urbanski
Gornik Zabrze
🟨
80'
Erik Prekop
Gornik Zabrze
⚽
80'
E. Prekop · Assist: E. Janza
Gornik Zabrze
🔄
83'
E. Janza ↔ O. Zmrzly
Gornik Zabrze
🔄
88'
K. Urbanski ↔ L. Sadilek
Gornik Zabrze

Gornik Zabrze vs Lech Poznan Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 66.2%
Odds 2.33
1 agree / 0 disagree
BTTS
Yes
Probability 86%
Odds 1.53
1 agree / 0 disagree
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 88%
Odds 1.66
1 agree / 0 disagree
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
66.2%
2.33 ▥
BTTS Yes
86%
1.53 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
88%
1.66 ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
1.15 ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
6.00 ▥
Correct Score 1-2
-
9.50 ▥
Probability Distribution
Gornik Zabrze Win 24.9%
Draw 8.9%
Lech Poznan Win 66.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
Gornik Zabrze1.23
Lech Poznan1.91
Recent Form (Last 5)
Gornik Zabrze Gornik Zabrze
WWDLW
30 GF / 23 GA
Lech Poznan Lech Poznan
WLDWL
41 GF / 14 GA
Key Stats
1.5
Average Goals Scored
2.41
1.15
Average Goals Conceded
0.82
13
BTTS Yes
8
12
Over 2.5
13
4
Shots on Goal
7.25

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Gornik Zabrze Gornik Zabrze 20 matches
Lech Poznan Lech Poznan 17 matches
Gornik Zabrze Statistic Lech Poznan
11 Wins 13
3 Draws 2
6 Losses 2
30 Goals For 41
23 Goals Against 14
1.5 Avg Goals Scored 2.41
1.15 Avg Goals Conceded 0.82
13 BTTS Yes 8
15 Over 1.5 13
12 Over 2.5 13
4 Over 3.5 7
5 Clean Sheets 7
3 Failed To Score 3
4 Shots On Goal 7.25
10.25 Total Shots 14
4.75 Corners 6.83
37.3% Ball Possession 49.3%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This contest looks finely balanced, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Gornik Zabrze expected to line up in 4-3-3 and Lech Poznan in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Lech Poznan having the stronger overall control. Even if this develops into a close game, the analytical lean still edges toward Away Win, with a cautious clean-sheet angle toward Lech Poznan. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

Gornik Zabrze Analysis

Operating from 3 place with 12 points from 5 games, Gornik Zabrze bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. With 4 wins, 0 draws, and 1 defeats plus a goal balance of 11:7, they continue to show very strong form with results showing strong momentum. Their attacking quality is driven by Kacper Urbański (2 goals), Peter González (2 goals), Josema (1 goals), with creative support from Josema (1 assists), Rafał Janicki (1 assists), and at the back they have appeared very solid. At home, they have managed 2 wins, 0 draws, and 1 losses, which underlines a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

Lech Poznan Analysis

Lech Poznan approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 1 on 13 points after 5 outings. They have recorded 4 wins, 1 draws, and 0 losses, with a 10:4 goal return and very strong form and are on a winning streak. In attack they lean heavily on Allahyar Sayyadmanesh (3 goals), Luis Palma (1 goals), Antoni Kozubal (1 goals), with creative support from Luis Palma (2 assists), Patrik Wålemark (2 assists), Pablo Rodríguez (2 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have managed 2 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, which underlines a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Gornik Zabrze won 3 times, Lech Poznan won 8 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 12:21 from Gornik Zabrze's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 2.2 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (91.1%)
Predicted formations: Gornik Zabrze 4-3-3 / Lech Poznan 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Gornik Zabrze wins 3, draws 4, Lech Poznan wins 8

Standings

Ekstraklasa
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 9 7 1 1 16:8 8 22
D W W W W
2 9 5 4 0 19:8 11 19
W D W D D
3 8 6 1 1 17:7 10 19
W L W W W
4 9 5 2 2 17:12 5 17
W W D W D
5 8 4 3 1 12:6 6 15
W W D D D
6 9 4 3 2 12:10 2 15
W L W D W
7 9 4 3 2 11:10 1 15
L W W D D
8 9 4 1 4 16:15 1 13
L W W W D
9 8 4 0 4 16:13 3 12
W L L W W
10 8 4 0 4 12:13 -1 12
L L W L W
11 8 3 2 3 9:12 -3 11
W W D L L
12 9 1 6 2 13:13 0 9
D D D L D
13 9 2 2 5 9:14 -5 8
L L L L W
14 9 2 2 5 7:20 -13 8
L L D W D
15 9 1 3 5 11:15 -4 6
L L L D D
16 9 1 3 5 9:15 -6 6
D L L L D
17 8 1 2 5 11:17 -6 5
D L D L L
18 9 1 0 8 12:21 -9 3
L L W L L
Qualifying
EL Qualification
Play-offs
Relegation