Gornik Zabrze vs Lech Poznan Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away Win |
66.2%
|
2.33 | |
| BTTS | Yes |
86%
|
1.53 | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
88%
|
1.66 | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
1.15 | |
| HT / FT | Draw / Away |
-
|
6.00 | |
| Correct Score | 1-2 |
-
|
9.50 |
Gornik Zabrze
Lech Poznan
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Gornik Zabrze
20 matches
Lech Poznan
17 matches
| Gornik Zabrze | Statistic | Lech Poznan |
|---|---|---|
| 11 | Wins | 13 |
| 3 | Draws | 2 |
| 6 | Losses | 2 |
| 30 | Goals For | 41 |
| 23 | Goals Against | 14 |
| 1.5 | Avg Goals Scored | 2.41 |
| 1.15 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.82 |
| 13 | BTTS Yes | 8 |
| 15 | Over 1.5 | 13 |
| 12 | Over 2.5 | 13 |
| 4 | Over 3.5 | 7 |
| 5 | Clean Sheets | 7 |
| 3 | Failed To Score | 3 |
| 4 | Shots On Goal | 7.25 |
| 10.25 | Total Shots | 14 |
| 4.75 | Corners | 6.83 |
| 37.3% | Ball Possession | 49.3% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This contest looks finely balanced, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Gornik Zabrze expected to line up in 4-3-3 and Lech Poznan in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Lech Poznan having the stronger overall control. Even if this develops into a close game, the analytical lean still edges toward Away Win, with a cautious clean-sheet angle toward Lech Poznan. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.
Operating from 3 place with 12 points from 5 games, Gornik Zabrze bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. With 4 wins, 0 draws, and 1 defeats plus a goal balance of 11:7, they continue to show very strong form with results showing strong momentum. Their attacking quality is driven by Kacper Urbański (2 goals), Peter González (2 goals), Josema (1 goals), with creative support from Josema (1 assists), Rafał Janicki (1 assists), and at the back they have appeared very solid. At home, they have managed 2 wins, 0 draws, and 1 losses, which underlines a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.
Lech Poznan approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 1 on 13 points after 5 outings. They have recorded 4 wins, 1 draws, and 0 losses, with a 10:4 goal return and very strong form and are on a winning streak. In attack they lean heavily on Allahyar Sayyadmanesh (3 goals), Luis Palma (1 goals), Antoni Kozubal (1 goals), with creative support from Luis Palma (2 assists), Patrik Wålemark (2 assists), Pablo Rodríguez (2 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have managed 2 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, which underlines a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Gornik Zabrze won 3 times, Lech Poznan won 8 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 12:21 from Gornik Zabrze's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 2.2 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Gornik Zabrze
Home
|
9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 16:8 | 8 | 22 |
D
W
W
W
W
|
| 2 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 19:8 | 11 | 19 |
W
D
W
D
D
|
|
| 3 |
Lech Poznan
Away
|
8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 17:7 | 10 | 19 |
W
L
W
W
W
|
| 4 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 17:12 | 5 | 17 |
W
W
D
W
D
|
|
| 5 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 12:6 | 6 | 15 |
W
W
D
D
D
|
|
| 6 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 12:10 | 2 | 15 |
W
L
W
D
W
|
|
| 7 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 11:10 | 1 | 15 |
L
W
W
D
D
|
|
| 8 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 16:15 | 1 | 13 |
L
W
W
W
D
|
|
| 9 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 16:13 | 3 | 12 |
W
L
L
W
W
|
|
| 10 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 12:13 | -1 | 12 |
L
L
W
L
W
|
|
| 11 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 9:12 | -3 | 11 |
W
W
D
L
L
|
|
| 12 | 9 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 13:13 | 0 | 9 |
D
D
D
L
D
|
|
| 13 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 9:14 | -5 | 8 |
L
L
L
L
W
|
|
| 14 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 7:20 | -13 | 8 |
L
L
D
W
D
|
|
| 15 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 11:15 | -4 | 6 |
L
L
L
D
D
|
|
| 16 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 9:15 | -6 | 6 |
D
L
L
L
D
|
|
| 17 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 11:17 | -6 | 5 |
D
L
D
L
L
|
|
| 18 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 12:21 | -9 | 3 |
L
L
W
L
L
|