BRAZIL SERIE B
--.--.---- --:--
Estádio da Serrinha
Referee: Braulio Da Silva Machado, Brazil
Goias
Match Timeline
Novorizontino
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🔄
28'
Carlinhos ↔ Gabriel Bahia
Novorizontino
32'
Robson · Assist: Romulo
Novorizontino
🟨
45+4'
Nicolas
Goias
🔄
55'
Juninho ↔ Brayann
Goias
🔄
55'
Bruno Savio ↔ Jean Carlos
Goias
56'
Robson · Assist: N. Castrillon
Novorizontino
🟨
67'
Lucas Ribeiro
Goias
🟨
67'
Robson
Novorizontino
🟨
68'
Luis Fellipe
Goias
VAR
68'
Robson
Novorizontino
70'
Romulo
Novorizontino
76'
Vinicius Paiva · Assist: Romulo
Novorizontino
🔄
78'
Diego Caito ↔ Rodrigo Soares
Goias
🔄
78'
Nicolas ↔ Djalma Silva
Goias
🔄
78'
Matheus Bianqui ↔ Luis Oyama
Novorizontino
🔄
78'
Vinicius Paiva ↔ Helio Borges
Novorizontino
🔄
78'
Diego Galo ↔ Juninho
Novorizontino
🔄
84'
Robson ↔ Carlao
Novorizontino
🔄
86'
Filipe Machado ↔ Baldoria
Goias

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 54.2%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 75%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 52.4%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
54.2%
-
BTTS Yes
75%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
52.4%
-
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
67.9%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Goias Win 54.2%
Draw 13.2%
Novorizontino Win 32.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Goias1.05
Novorizontino1.23
Recent Form (Last 5)
Goias Goias
WWDLW
12 GF / 13 GA
Novorizontino Novorizontino
WLDWL
14 GF / 11 GA
Key Stats
1.09
Average Goals Scored
1.27
1.18
Average Goals Conceded
1
4
BTTS Yes
6
3
Over 2.5
5
3.09
Shots on Goal
4.18

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Goias Goias 11 matches
Novorizontino Novorizontino 11 matches
Goias Statistic Novorizontino
5 Wins 4
2 Draws 5
4 Losses 2
12 Goals For 14
13 Goals Against 11
1.09 Avg Goals Scored 1.27
1.18 Avg Goals Conceded 1
4 BTTS Yes 6
7 Over 1.5 7
3 Over 2.5 5
3 Over 3.5 2
4 Clean Sheets 4
3 Failed To Score 3
3.09 Shots On Goal 4.18
9.45 Total Shots 12.82
3.55 Corners 5.27
48.1% Ball Possession 46.9%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This contest looks finely balanced, with Novorizontino's more proactive style and Goias's more cautious structure suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Novorizontino. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Goias expected to line up in 4-3-1-2 and Novorizontino in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Novorizontino having the stronger overall control. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns.

Goias Analysis

Goias are currently 8 in the standings with 17 points from 11 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 5 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses, while the 12:13 goal ratio supports the view of good form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Anselmo Ramon (5 goals), Gege (2 goals), Bruno Sávio (1 goals), with creative support from E. Garcia (3 assists), Diego Caito (2 assists), Anselmo Ramon (1 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. At home, they have returned 4 wins, 0 draws, and 1 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Novorizontino Analysis

So far, Novorizontino have built a campaign that leaves them 9 in the table on 17 points from 11 matches. Their overall return of 4 wins, 5 draws, and 2 losses with goals at 14:11 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Robson (3 goals), Carlao (2 goals), Romulo (2 goals), with creative support from Romulo (4 assists), Juninho (3 assists), Robson (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, they have returned 1 wins, 4 draws, and 1 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 5 head-to-head meetings, Goias won 2 times, Novorizontino won 3 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 3:7 from Goias's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 2 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (86.8%)
Predicted formations: Goias 4-3-1-2 / Novorizontino 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Goias wins 2, draws 0, Novorizontino wins 3
Stats
Goias Goias
Novorizontino Novorizontino
Shots on Goal
6
Shots on Goal
6
Shots off Goal
10
Shots off Goal
6
Blocked Shots
6
Blocked Shots
2
9 Corner Kicks 4
6 Fouls 11
2 Offsides 2
71% Ball Possession 29%
22 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Goal 6
10 Shots off Goal 6
6 Blocked Shots 2
15 Shots insidebox 11
7 Shots outsidebox 3
1 Goalkeeper Saves 6
488 Total passes 206
426 Passes accurate 144
2.08 expected_goals 2.72
🟨 3 Yellow Cards 1 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Goias
Formation
Novorizontino
Thiago Rodrigues
Thiago Rodrigues
Diego Caito
Diego Caito
Luisao
Luisao
Lucas Ribeiro
Lucas Ribeiro
Nicolas
Nicolas
Juninho
Juninho
Filipe Machado
Filipe Machado
Bruno Savio
Bruno Savio
Lucas Lima
Lucas Lima
E. Garcia
E. Garcia
Anselmo Ramon
Anselmo Ramon
Jordi
Jordi
N. Castrillon
🎯
N. Castrillon
Carlinhos
Carlinhos
Patrick
Patrick
Maykon Jesus
Maykon Jesus
Matheus Bianqui
Matheus Bianqui
Leo Naldi
Leo Naldi
Vinicius Paiva
Vinicius Paiva
Romulo
🎯
Romulo
Diego Galo
Diego Galo
Robson
⚽ 2
Robson
Goias 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
1
Thiago Rodrigues
G
20
Diego Caito
↓ 78'
D
25
Luisao
🟨 68'
D
14
Lucas Ribeiro
🟨 67'
D
6
Nicolas
↓ 78' 🟨 45+4'
D
8
Juninho
↓ 55'
M
5
Filipe Machado
↓ 86'
M
11
Bruno Savio
↓ 55'
M
10
Lucas Lima
M
15
E. Garcia
M
9
Anselmo Ramon
F
Substitutes
32
Murillo
G
4
Ramon Menezes
D
3
Luiz Felipe
D
2
Rodrigo Soares
↑ 78'
D
54
Djalma Silva
↑ 78'
D
17
Pedrinho
F
88
Brayann
↑ 55'
M
21
Jean Carlos
↑ 55'
55
Baldoria
↑ 86'
M
40
Kadu
F
16
H. Farias
M
19
J. Magalhaes
M
Novorizontino 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
93
Jordi
G
20
N. Castrillon
🎯 56'
D
3
Carlinhos
↓ 28'
D
4
Patrick
D
66
Maykon Jesus
D
17
Matheus Bianqui
↓ 78'
M
18
Leo Naldi
M
16
Vinicius Paiva
⚽ 76' ↓ 78'
M
10
Romulo
⚽ 70' 🎯 32' 🎯 76'
M
19
Diego Galo
↓ 78'
M
11
Robson
⚽ 32' ⚽ 56' ↓ 84' 🟨 67'
F
Substitutes
31
Cesar Augusto
G
6
Luis Oyama
↑ 78'
M
26
Gabriel Bahia
↑ 28'
D
8
C. Ortiz
F
30
Nicolas Careca
F
77
Helio Borges
↑ 78'
F
50
Juninho
↑ 78'
M
22
Ivan Alvarino
M
9
Carlao
↑ 84'
F
7
Ronald Barcellos
F
41
Reidiney
F
Last matches: Goias
21.06.26
Ser
Goias
Operario-PR
0
3
L
14.06.26
Ser
Goias
Athletic Club
1
1
D
30.05.26
Ser
Goias
Atletico Goianiense
1
1
D
24.05.26
Ser
Goias
Avai
2
0
W
16.05.26
Ser
Goias
Botafogo SP
1
0
W
09.05.26
Ser
Goias
Vila Nova
1
0
W
02.05.26
Ser
Goias
Fortaleza EC
1
4
L
26.04.26
Ser
Goias
São Bernardo
0
1
L
19.04.26
Ser
Goias
Cuiaba
0
2
L
11.04.26
Ser
Goias
Juventude
0
2
L
07.04.26
Ser
Goias
Criciuma
1
0
W
01.04.26
Ser
Goias
Londrina
2
2
D
22.03.26
Ser
Goias
America Mineiro
3
1
W
Last matches: Novorizontino
22.06.26
Ser
Novorizontino
Ponte Preta
2
0
W
14.06.26
Ser
Novorizontino
Nautico Recife
2
2
D
31.05.26
Ser
Novorizontino
São Bernardo
1
1
D
23.05.26
Ser
Novorizontino
Ceara
2
1
W
16.05.26
Ser
Novorizontino
Cuiaba
0
0
D
10.05.26
Ser
Novorizontino
Botafogo SP
1
0
W
03.05.26
Ser
Novorizontino
Avai
3
3
D
25.04.26
Ser
Novorizontino
Sport Recife
0
1
L
19.04.26
Ser
Novorizontino
Athletic Club
2
1
W
12.04.26
Ser
Novorizontino
America Mineiro
3
0
W
05.04.26
Ser
Novorizontino
CRB
1
1
D
31.03.26
Ser
Novorizontino
Juventude
0
0
D
22.03.26
Ser
Novorizontino
Londrina
1
3
L
H2H: Goias vs Novorizontino
10.06.26
H2H
Goias
Novorizontino
0
4
L
16.11.25
H2H
Goias
Novorizontino
1
0
W
23.07.25
H2H
Novorizontino
Goias
1
0
L
24.11.24
H2H
Goias
Novorizontino
1
0
W
04.08.24
H2H
Novorizontino
Goias
2
1
L
Last matches: Goias
21.06.26
Ser
Goias
Operario-PR
0
3
L
16.05.26
Ser
Goias
Botafogo SP
1
0
W
09.05.26
Ser
Goias
Vila Nova
1
0
W
19.04.26
Ser
Goias
Cuiaba
0
2
L
07.04.26
Ser
Goias
Criciuma
1
0
W
22.03.26
Ser
Goias
America Mineiro
3
1
W
H2H at home: Goias
10.06.26
H2H
Goias
Novorizontino
0
4
L
16.11.25
H2H
Goias
Novorizontino
1
0
W
24.11.24
H2H
Goias
Novorizontino
1
0
W
Last matches: Novorizontino
22.06.26
Ser
Novorizontino
Ponte Preta
2
0
W
31.05.26
Ser
Novorizontino
São Bernardo
1
1
D
16.05.26
Ser
Novorizontino
Cuiaba
0
0
D
03.05.26
Ser
Novorizontino
Avai
3
3
D
25.04.26
Ser
Novorizontino
Sport Recife
0
1
L
12.04.26
Ser
Novorizontino
America Mineiro
3
0
W
31.03.26
Ser
Novorizontino
Juventude
0
0
D
H2H away: Novorizontino
10.06.26
H2H
Goias
Novorizontino
0
4
W
16.11.25
H2H
Goias
Novorizontino
1
0
L
24.11.24
H2H
Goias
Novorizontino
1
0
L

Standings

Serie B
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 14 8 4 2 22:15 7 28
W L W W W
2 14 7 4 3 20:11 9 25
L D W D W
3 14 6 7 1 17:9 8 25
D D D W W
4 14 6 6 2 22:13 9 24
W D W D W
5 14 6 4 4 14:8 6 22
W W L W L
6 14 6 4 4 18:17 1 22
W L W W D
7 14 6 4 4 16:15 1 22
D L W L W
8 13 5 6 2 15:11 4 21
D W W D D
9 14 6 2 6 21:18 3 20
L D L L W
10 14 4 7 3 9:7 2 19
L W W W L
11 14 4 7 3 15:15 0 19
L D D W W
12
Goias Home
14 5 3 6 13:21 -8 18
L D L D W
13 14 4 6 4 16:16 0 18
D D W D L
14 14 4 5 5 15:16 -1 17
L D W L L
15 14 4 4 6 14:13 1 16
W W L D L
16 14 4 4 6 23:24 -1 16
D D L L W
17 14 4 2 8 17:22 -5 14
W W L L L
18 14 3 4 7 15:20 -5 13
W L L L L
19 14 2 2 10 10:27 -17 8
L L L D L
20 13 1 3 9 10:24 -14 6
W L L L D
Promotion
Promotion Play-offs
Relegation