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ITALY › COPPA ITALIA
16.08.2026 16:30
Stadio Luigi Ferraris
Referee: M. Perri
Genoa
Match Timeline
Ascoli
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
25'
A. Silipo · Assist: S. D'Uffizi
Ascoli
⚽
42'
A. Marcandalli · Assist: M. Mitaj
Genoa
⚽
45'
T. Baldanzi · Assist: B. Norton-Cuffy
Genoa
🔄
46'
S. Otoa ↔ L. Ostigard
Genoa
🔄
46'
M. Mitaj ↔ D. Sow
Genoa
🟨
49'
Leo Østigård
Genoa
🔄
57'
G. Corradini ↔ G. Acampora
Ascoli
🔄
57'
G. Gori ↔ M. A. Chakir
Ascoli
⚽
61'
L. Colombo · Assist: M. Frendrup
Genoa
🔄
66'
L. Colombo ↔ E. Havel
Genoa
🔄
75'
S. Damiani ↔ A. Russo
Ascoli
🔄
75'
T. Milanese ↔ A. Oliveri
Ascoli
🔄
78'
M. E. Ellertsson ↔ D. Puczka
Genoa
🔄
78'
T. Baldanzi ↔ S. Wiafe
Genoa
🔄
80'
S. D'Uffizi ↔ D. Bolsius
Ascoli
⚽
80'
E. Havel · Assist: S. Wiafe
Genoa
🟨
85'
Marcos Curado
Ascoli

Genoa vs Ascoli Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 69.3%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 75%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 66.7%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
69.3%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
75%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
66.7%
- ▥
Corners O/U Under 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Genoa Win 69.3%
Draw 15.3%
Ascoli Win 15.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
Genoa1.25
Ascoli1.92
Recent Form (Last 5)
Genoa Genoa
WWDLW
6 GF / 14 GA
Ascoli Ascoli
WLDWL
4 GF / 4 GA
Key Stats
1.2
Average Goals Scored
1.33
2.8
Average Goals Conceded
1.33
3
BTTS Yes
2
3
Over 2.5
2
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Genoa Genoa 5 matches
Ascoli Ascoli 3 matches
Genoa Statistic Ascoli
2 Wins 1
1 Draws 0
2 Losses 2
6 Goals For 4
14 Goals Against 4
1.2 Avg Goals Scored 1.33
2.8 Avg Goals Conceded 1.33
3 BTTS Yes 2
3 Over 1.5 2
3 Over 2.5 2
2 Over 3.5 1
1 Clean Sheets 0
1 Failed To Score 1
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 4 head-to-head meetings, Genoa won 3 times, Ascoli won 0 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 9:4 from Genoa's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 3.25 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (84.7%)
Predicted formations: Genoa 3-5-2 / Ascoli 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Genoa wins 3, draws 1, Ascoli wins 0