SWEDEN ETTAN - NORRA
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Gavlevallen

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 67.6%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 71%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 66.7%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
67.6%
-
BTTS Yes
71%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
66.7%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 1-2
-
-
Probability Distribution
Gefle IF Win 28.2%
Draw 4.2%
IF Karlstad Win 67.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Gefle IF1.4
IF Karlstad1.71
Recent Form (Last 5)
Gefle IF Gefle IF
WWDLW
45 GF / 50 GA
IF Karlstad IF Karlstad
WLDWL
36 GF / 21 GA
Key Stats
1.73
Average Goals Scored
1.57
1.92
Average Goals Conceded
0.91
14
BTTS Yes
10
19
Over 2.5
10
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Gefle IF Gefle IF 26 matches
IF Karlstad IF Karlstad 23 matches
Gefle IF Statistic IF Karlstad
10 Wins 13
2 Draws 4
14 Losses 6
45 Goals For 36
50 Goals Against 21
1.73 Avg Goals Scored 1.57
1.92 Avg Goals Conceded 0.91
14 BTTS Yes 10
23 Over 1.5 16
19 Over 2.5 10
12 Over 3.5 6
4 Clean Sheets 9
9 Failed To Score 6
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by IF Karlstad's more proactive style and Gefle IF's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward IF Karlstad having the stronger overall control. IF Karlstad carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 3 with 36 points while Gefle IF sit 11 on 20, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors IF Karlstad. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Gefle IF Analysis

So far, Gefle IF have built a campaign that leaves them 11 in the table on 20 points from 17 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 6 wins, 2 draws, and 9 losses, while the 21:34 goal ratio supports the view of good form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on their main attacking players, and defensively they have been fairly stable. At home, they have returned 4 wins, 1 draws, and 3 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

IF Karlstad Analysis

IF Karlstad arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 3 place with 36 points after 17 matches. Their overall return of 11 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses with goals at 28:13 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by their main attacking players, while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, the record of 5 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses points toward a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 9 head-to-head meetings, Gefle IF won 4 times, IF Karlstad won 1 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 17:14 from Gefle IF's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 3.44 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.8%)
H2H summary: Gefle IF wins 4, draws 4, IF Karlstad wins 1
Last matches: Gefle IF
15.08.26
Ett
Gefle IF
Umeå FC
2
0
W
08.08.26
Ett
Gefle IF
Stocksund
0
5
L
01.08.26
Ett
Gefle IF
Piteå
2
0
W
27.06.26
Ett
Gefle IF
Stocksund
2
1
W
18.06.26
Ett
Gefle IF
Stockholm Internazionale
0
2
L
13.06.26
Ett
Gefle IF
IF Karlstad
0
2
L
06.06.26
Ett
Gefle IF
Hammarby Talang
0
4
L
01.06.26
Ett
Gefle IF
Arlanda
3
2
W
23.05.26
Ett
Gefle IF
Järfälla
0
4
L
17.05.26
Ett
Gefle IF
Assyriska FF
0
0
D
14.05.26
Ett
Gefle IF
Vasalund
0
1
L
09.05.26
Ett
Gefle IF
Umeå FC
2
2
D
02.05.26
Ett
Gefle IF
Enköping
2
1
W
26.04.26
Ett
Gefle IF
Karlberg
2
3
L
18.04.26
Ett
Gefle IF
Sollentuna
1
2
L
11.04.26
Ett
Gefle IF
AFC Eskilstuna
4
3
W
03.04.26
Ett
Gefle IF
FBK Karlstad
1
2
L
21.03.26
Fri
Gefle IF
IK brage
0
1
L
07.03.26
Fri
Gefle IF
Sunnersta
3
2
W
04.03.26
Fri
Gefle IF
Vasteras SK FK
0
4
L
Last matches: IF Karlstad
15.08.26
Ett
IF Karlstad
Assyriska FF
0
2
L
08.08.26
Ett
IF Karlstad
Järfälla
4
1
W
02.08.26
Ett
IF Karlstad
Enköping
2
1
W
24.07.26
Fri
IF Karlstad
Örebro Syrianska
4
1
W
27.06.26
Ett
IF Karlstad
Arlanda
0
1
L
21.06.26
Ett
IF Karlstad
Assyriska FF
2
2
D
13.06.26
Ett
IF Karlstad
Gefle IF
2
0
W
05.06.26
Ett
IF Karlstad
FBK Karlstad
3
2
W
30.05.26
Ett
IF Karlstad
Sollentuna
0
0
D
24.05.26
Ett
IF Karlstad
Umeå FC
2
0
W
17.05.26
Ett
IF Karlstad
Vasalund
5
0
W
14.05.26
Ett
IF Karlstad
Stocksund
1
0
W
09.05.26
Ett
IF Karlstad
Karlberg
0
0
D
02.05.26
Ett
IF Karlstad
Hammarby Talang
0
2
L
26.04.26
Ett
IF Karlstad
AFC Eskilstuna
2
0
W
18.04.26
Ett
IF Karlstad
Järfälla
2
1
W
12.04.26
Ett
IF Karlstad
Stockholm Internazionale
1
0
W
06.04.26
Ett
IF Karlstad
Piteå
2
1
W
21.03.26
Fri
IF Karlstad
Skövde AIK
1
3
L
13.03.26
Fri
IF Karlstad
AFC Eskilstuna
1
2
L
H2H: Gefle IF vs IF Karlstad
13.06.26
H2H
IF Karlstad
Gefle IF
2
0
L
21.09.25
H2H
Gefle IF
IF Karlstad
1
1
D
28.06.25
H2H
IF Karlstad
Gefle IF
2
2
D
25.09.22
H2H
Gefle IF
IF Karlstad
3
1
W
10.04.22
H2H
IF Karlstad
Gefle IF
2
3
W
31.10.21
H2H
IF Karlstad
Gefle IF
2
2
D
10.07.21
H2H
Gefle IF
IF Karlstad
2
1
W
22.11.20
H2H
Gefle IF
IF Karlstad
2
2
D
08.08.20
H2H
IF Karlstad
Gefle IF
1
2
W
Last matches: Gefle IF
15.08.26
Ett
Gefle IF
Umeå FC
2
0
W
27.06.26
Ett
Gefle IF
Stocksund
2
1
W
18.06.26
Ett
Gefle IF
Stockholm Internazionale
0
2
L
06.06.26
Ett
Gefle IF
Hammarby Talang
0
4
L
17.05.26
Ett
Gefle IF
Assyriska FF
0
0
D
02.05.26
Ett
Gefle IF
Enköping
2
1
W
18.04.26
Ett
Gefle IF
Sollentuna
1
2
L
11.04.26
Ett
Gefle IF
AFC Eskilstuna
4
3
W
07.03.26
Fri
Gefle IF
Sunnersta
3
2
W
28.02.26
Fri
Gefle IF
Falu BS
1
2
L
21.02.26
Fri
Gefle IF
Lucksta
7
1
W
06.02.26
Fri
Gefle IF
Hudiksvall
7
1
W
31.01.26
Fri
Gefle IF
Helges
3
0
W
24.01.26
Fri
Gefle IF
GIF Sundsvall
1
2
L
H2H at home: Gefle IF
21.09.25
H2H
Gefle IF
IF Karlstad
1
1
D
25.09.22
H2H
Gefle IF
IF Karlstad
3
1
W
10.07.21
H2H
Gefle IF
IF Karlstad
2
1
W
22.11.20
H2H
Gefle IF
IF Karlstad
2
2
D
Last matches: IF Karlstad
08.08.26
Ett
IF Karlstad
Järfälla
4
1
W
27.06.26
Ett
IF Karlstad
Arlanda
0
1
L
21.06.26
Ett
IF Karlstad
Assyriska FF
2
2
D
05.06.26
Ett
IF Karlstad
FBK Karlstad
3
2
W
24.05.26
Ett
IF Karlstad
Umeå FC
2
0
W
09.05.26
Ett
IF Karlstad
Karlberg
0
0
D
26.04.26
Ett
IF Karlstad
AFC Eskilstuna
2
0
W
12.04.26
Ett
IF Karlstad
Stockholm Internazionale
1
0
W
13.03.26
Fri
IF Karlstad
AFC Eskilstuna
1
2
L
14.02.26
Fri
IF Karlstad
IK brage
0
1
L
07.02.26
Fri
IF Karlstad
Jonkopings Sodra
1
1
D
H2H away: IF Karlstad
21.09.25
H2H
Gefle IF
IF Karlstad
1
1
D
25.09.22
H2H
Gefle IF
IF Karlstad
3
1
L
10.07.21
H2H
Gefle IF
IF Karlstad
2
1
L
22.11.20
H2H
Gefle IF
IF Karlstad
2
2
D

Standings

North
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 17 11 3 3 44:14 30 36
L D W W D
2 18 11 3 4 38:17 21 36
W W L W W
3 17 11 3 3 28:13 15 36
L W W L D
4 17 8 6 3 25:19 6 30
L D L W W
5 17 8 4 5 28:25 3 28
W W W W D
6 17 8 4 5 26:23 3 28
W D L L W
7 17 9 1 7 27:28 -1 28
L W L L W
8 17 7 3 7 28:25 3 24
W L W W W
9 17 6 5 6 29:29 0 23
W W W W D
10 17 5 5 7 24:32 -8 20
D W D L L
11 17 6 2 9 21:34 -13 20
W L W W L
12 17 3 8 6 15:24 -9 17
W L D L L
13 17 4 4 9 21:30 -9 16
L L L L L
14 18 4 3 11 23:39 -16 15
L L L L W
15 17 2 5 10 33:40 -7 11
L W L L L
16 17 2 5 10 17:35 -18 11
D D L L D