ICELAND 1. DEILD
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Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 88%
Odds 1.85
BTTS
Yes
Probability 75%
Odds 1.45
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds 1.44
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
88%
1.85
BTTS Yes
75%
1.45
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
1.44
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
2.55
Correct Score 2-1
-
5.75
Probability Distribution
Fylkir Win 88%
Draw 6%
HK Kopavogur Win 6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Fylkir1.86
HK Kopavogur1.6
Recent Form (Last 5)
Fylkir Fylkir
WWDLW
19 GF / 13 GA
HK Kopavogur HK Kopavogur
WLDWL
18 GF / 18 GA
Key Stats
1.9
Average Goals Scored
1.8
1.3
Average Goals Conceded
1.8
4
BTTS Yes
7
6
Over 2.5
7
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Fylkir Fylkir 10 matches
HK Kopavogur HK Kopavogur 10 matches
Fylkir Statistic HK Kopavogur
7 Wins 5
0 Draws 1
3 Losses 4
19 Goals For 18
13 Goals Against 18
1.9 Avg Goals Scored 1.8
1.3 Avg Goals Conceded 1.8
4 BTTS Yes 7
8 Over 1.5 9
6 Over 2.5 7
3 Over 3.5 5
5 Clean Sheets 2
1 Failed To Score 1
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From a tactical perspective, this fixture features Fylkir's more proactive style and HK Kopavogur's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward HK Kopavogur having the stronger overall control. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors HK Kopavogur. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. HK Kopavogur arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly.

Fylkir Analysis

Fylkir come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 2 place with 18 points after 9 matches. With 6 wins, 0 draws, and 3 defeats plus a goal balance of 14:11, they continue to show good form over their recent run. Their attacking quality is driven by G. Tyrfingsson (4 goals), B. Gardarsson (2 goals), K. Sigfusson (2 goals), with creative support from K. Sigfusson (7 assists), M. Hilmarsson (1 assists), A. Asthorsson (1 assists), and at the back they have appeared very solid. At home, the split of 4 wins, 0 draws, and 1 losses supports the view of a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

HK Kopavogur Analysis

HK Kopavogur sit 6 with 15 points after 9 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. The overall return of 5 wins, 0 draws, and 4 defeats with a 16:16 goal balance points toward mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on D. Radic (6 goals), J. Arnarsson (4 goals), K. Karlsson (2 goals), with creative support from A. Andrason (1 assists), T. Thorvarsson (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have returned 0 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses, which indicates a weak split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, Fylkir won 6 times, HK Kopavogur won 4 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 23:16 from Fylkir's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.79 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (94%)
H2H summary: Fylkir wins 6, draws 4, HK Kopavogur wins 4
Last matches: Fylkir
21.06.26
1.
Fylkir
Grotta
5
2
W
17.06.26
1.
Fylkir
Grindavik
1
0
W
06.06.26
1.
Fylkir
Throttur Reykjavik
1
3
L
31.05.26
1.
Fylkir
Afturelding
1
5
L
27.05.26
1.
Fylkir
Leiknir R.
3
0
W
23.05.26
1.
Fylkir
Völsungur
1
0
W
18.05.26
1.
Fylkir
IR Reykjavik
2
1
W
08.05.26
1.
Fylkir
Njardvik
0
2
L
04.05.26
1.
Fylkir
Vestri
2
0
W
24.04.26
1.
Fylkir
Ægir
3
0
W
Last matches: HK Kopavogur
21.06.26
1.
HK Kopavogur
Grindavik
2
2
D
12.06.26
1.
HK Kopavogur
Throttur Reykjavik
0
2
L
05.06.26
1.
HK Kopavogur
Afturelding
2
1
W
31.05.26
1.
HK Kopavogur
Leiknir R.
1
4
L
27.05.26
1.
HK Kopavogur
Völsungur
1
0
W
22.05.26
1.
HK Kopavogur
IR Reykjavik
1
3
L
18.05.26
1.
HK Kopavogur
Njardvik
2
0
W
09.05.26
1.
HK Kopavogur
Vestri
3
4
L
01.05.26
1.
HK Kopavogur
Ægir
2
1
W
25.04.26
1.
HK Kopavogur
Grotta
4
1
W
H2H: Fylkir vs HK Kopavogur
29.08.25
H2H
HK Kopavogur
Fylkir
0
2
W
20.06.25
H2H
Fylkir
HK Kopavogur
1
2
L
06.10.24
H2H
HK Kopavogur
Fylkir
2
2
D
18.08.24
H2H
HK Kopavogur
Fylkir
0
2
W
27.05.24
H2H
Fylkir
HK Kopavogur
3
1
W
16.05.24
H2H
Fylkir
HK Kopavogur
3
1
W
28.09.23
H2H
HK Kopavogur
Fylkir
2
2
D
18.07.23
H2H
Fylkir
HK Kopavogur
0
0
D
29.04.23
H2H
HK Kopavogur
Fylkir
1
0
L
23.08.22
H2H
HK Kopavogur
Fylkir
0
2
W
16.06.22
H2H
Fylkir
HK Kopavogur
0
1
L
09.07.21
H2H
Fylkir
HK Kopavogur
1
2
L
08.05.21
H2H
HK Kopavogur
Fylkir
2
2
D
22.11.20
H2H
HK Kopavogur
Fylkir
0
0
D
27.07.20
H2H
Fylkir
HK Kopavogur
3
2
W
Last matches: Fylkir
06.06.26
1.
Fylkir
Throttur Reykjavik
1
3
L
27.05.26
1.
Fylkir
Leiknir R.
3
0
W
18.05.26
1.
Fylkir
IR Reykjavik
2
1
W
04.05.26
1.
Fylkir
Vestri
2
0
W
24.04.26
1.
Fylkir
Ægir
3
0
W
H2H at home: Fylkir
20.06.25
H2H
Fylkir
HK Kopavogur
1
2
L
27.05.24
H2H
Fylkir
HK Kopavogur
3
1
W
16.05.24
H2H
Fylkir
HK Kopavogur
3
1
W
18.07.23
H2H
Fylkir
HK Kopavogur
0
0
D
16.06.22
H2H
Fylkir
HK Kopavogur
0
1
L
09.07.21
H2H
Fylkir
HK Kopavogur
1
2
L
27.07.20
H2H
Fylkir
HK Kopavogur
3
2
W
Last matches: HK Kopavogur
12.06.26
1.
HK Kopavogur
Throttur Reykjavik
0
2
L
31.05.26
1.
HK Kopavogur
Leiknir R.
1
4
L
22.05.26
1.
HK Kopavogur
IR Reykjavik
1
3
L
09.05.26
1.
HK Kopavogur
Vestri
3
4
L
H2H away: HK Kopavogur
20.06.25
H2H
Fylkir
HK Kopavogur
1
2
W
27.05.24
H2H
Fylkir
HK Kopavogur
3
1
L
16.05.24
H2H
Fylkir
HK Kopavogur
3
1
L
18.07.23
H2H
Fylkir
HK Kopavogur
0
0
D
16.06.22
H2H
Fylkir
HK Kopavogur
0
1
W
09.07.21
H2H
Fylkir
HK Kopavogur
1
2
W
27.07.20
H2H
Fylkir
HK Kopavogur
3
2
L
Showing odds from: 1xBet
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Home 1.85
Draw 3.75
Away 3.66
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Home 1.78
Draw 3.70
Away 3.65
FIRST HALF WINNER
Home 2.20
Draw 2.55
Away 3.80
SECOND HALF WINNER
Home 2.10
Draw 2.85
Away 3.55
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 1.5 1.12
Under 1.5 4.90
Over 2.5 1.44
Under 2.5 2.48
Over 3.5 2.12
Under 3.5 1.58
Over 4.5 3.50
Under 4.5 1.23
Over 5.5 6.00
Under 5.5 1.08

Standings

1. Deild
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 7 1 2 24:11 13 22
W W W W L
2 10 7 0 3 19:13 6 21
W W L L W
3 11 6 1 4 21:19 2 19
W W L W W
4 9 5 1 3 23:17 6 16
L L W W W
5 10 5 1 4 18:18 0 16
D L W L W
6 10 4 3 3 12:11 1 15
L W W W L
7 10 4 2 4 13:9 4 14
W L W L W
8 9 4 0 5 17:22 -5 12
L L W W W
9 10 3 2 5 22:27 -5 11
D W L L L
10 9 1 5 3 9:12 -3 8
D L L L D
11 10 2 1 7 12:20 -8 7
L L L W W
12 10 1 3 6 11:22 -11 6
D W L L L
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