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GERMANY › 3. LIGA
11.10.2026 17:30
Merkur Spielarena
Referee: Sebastian Hilsberg
Fortuna Düsseldorf
Match Timeline
Verl
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
24'
Andreas Müller
Fortuna Düsseldorf
🟨
37'
nick seidel
Verl
⚽
38'
Tim Christopher Oberdorf · Assist: Philipp Förster
Fortuna Düsseldorf
⚽
45'
Tim Heike · Assist: Almin mesanovic
Verl
⚽
46'
Jorrit Hendrix
Fortuna Düsseldorf
⚽
55'
Janne Berner · Assist: Mika Clausen
Verl
🟨
59'
Erik Wekesser
Fortuna Düsseldorf
🔄
67'
nick seidel ↔ Raphael Araoye
Verl
🔄
69'
Philipp Förster ↔ Jomaine Consbruch
Fortuna Düsseldorf
🔄
69'
Erik Wekesser ↔ Sascha Risch
Fortuna Düsseldorf
🔄
69'
Anas Slimani ↔ Jordi Paulina
Fortuna Düsseldorf
🔄
73'
Jorrit Hendrix ↔ Yassine Bouchama
Fortuna Düsseldorf
🟨
78'
Elias Arden
Fortuna Düsseldorf
🔄
80'
Joshua Eze ↔ Fabian Wessig
Verl
🟨
84'
Tim Christopher Oberdorf
Fortuna Düsseldorf
🔄
85'
Elias Arden ↔ Marcel Benger
Fortuna Düsseldorf
🔄
86'
Tim Heike ↔ Dominik Martinovic
Verl

Fortuna Düsseldorf vs Verl Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 69.2%
Odds 1.78
BTTS
Yes
Probability 67.1%
Odds 1.53
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 55.6%
Odds 1.58
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
69.2%
1.78 ▥
BTTS Yes
67.1%
1.53 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
55.6%
1.58 ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
81.3%
1.83 ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
2.75 ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
8.50 ▥
Probability Distribution
Fortuna Düsseldorf Win 69.2%
Draw 12.1%
Verl Win 18.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
Fortuna Düsseldorf2.26
Verl1.5
Recent Form (Last 5)
Fortuna Düsseldorf Fortuna Düsseldorf
WWDLW
36 GF / 12 GA
Verl Verl
WLDWL
27 GF / 25 GA
Key Stats
2.57
Average Goals Scored
1.93
0.86
Average Goals Conceded
1.79
6
BTTS Yes
8
8
Over 2.5
10
2
Shots on Goal
5.43

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Fortuna Düsseldorf Fortuna Düsseldorf 14 matches
Verl Verl 14 matches
Fortuna Düsseldorf Statistic Verl
9 Wins 7
1 Draws 1
4 Losses 6
36 Goals For 27
12 Goals Against 25
2.57 Avg Goals Scored 1.93
0.86 Avg Goals Conceded 1.79
6 BTTS Yes 8
11 Over 1.5 12
8 Over 2.5 10
4 Over 3.5 6
5 Clean Sheets 3
4 Failed To Score 3
2 Shots On Goal 5.43
7 Total Shots 13.14
2.29 Corners 3.57
33.3% Ball Possession 42.3%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This contest looks finely balanced, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Verl. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Fortuna Düsseldorf expected to line up in 4-1-3-2 and Verl in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Verl having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns.

Fortuna Düsseldorf Analysis

So far, Fortuna Düsseldorf have built a campaign that leaves them 10 in the table on 10 points from 7 matches. The record of 3 wins, 1 draws, and 3 defeats, together with a 6:7 goal balance, points toward good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through their main attacking players, while at the back they have looked very solid. At home, their split return of 2 wins, 0 draws, and 1 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

Verl Analysis

Verl are currently 11 in the standings with 10 points from 7 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 3 wins, 1 draws, and 3 losses, while the 10:13 goal ratio supports the view of good form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on their main attacking players, and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, the record of 1 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses points toward a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (87.9%)
Predicted formations: Fortuna Düsseldorf 4-1-3-2 / Verl 4-2-3-1

Standings

3 Liga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 8 7 0 1 22:9 13 21
W W W L W
2 7 5 0 2 19:9 10 15
W W W L W
3 8 4 3 1 16:12 4 15
D D W W W
4 8 4 3 1 17:15 2 15
W D W L D
5 8 4 2 2 19:12 7 14
D W D L W
6 8 4 1 3 16:11 5 13
W W L W L
7 8 4 1 3 16:11 5 13
L W W D L
8 8 3 3 2 15:16 -1 12
D L D W W
9 7 3 2 2 11:8 3 11
W L D W L
10 8 2 4 2 8:8 0 10
D W L D D
11 7 3 1 3 6:7 -1 10
L W W D W
12
Verl Away
7 3 1 3 10:13 -3 10
W D W W L
13 8 2 2 4 18:17 1 8
W D L D L
14 8 2 2 4 13:16 -3 8
D D L L W
15 8 2 2 4 9:15 -6 8
L L L W L
16 8 2 2 4 9:15 -6 8
W L W L D
17 8 2 2 4 7:14 -7 8
L L D D W
18 8 2 1 5 11:17 -6 7
L L W L L
19 8 2 1 5 9:16 -7 7
D L L L L
20 8 1 1 6 10:20 -10 4
L L L D L
Promotion - 2. Bundesliga
Promotion - 2. Bundesliga (Promotion)
Relegation