Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
63.9%
|
1.61 | |
| BTTS | Yes |
67.4%
|
2.10 | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
66.7%
|
2.15 | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
1.11 | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
2.50 | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
9.00 |
Fortaleza EC
São Bernardo
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Fortaleza EC
22 matches
São Bernardo
22 matches
| Fortaleza EC | Statistic | São Bernardo |
|---|---|---|
| 10 | Wins | 8 |
| 6 | Draws | 6 |
| 6 | Losses | 8 |
| 24 | Goals For | 31 |
| 20 | Goals Against | 25 |
| 1.09 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.41 |
| 0.91 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.14 |
| 8 | BTTS Yes | 13 |
| 12 | Over 1.5 | 15 |
| 9 | Over 2.5 | 11 |
| 3 | Over 3.5 | 5 |
| 10 | Clean Sheets | 5 |
| 8 | Failed To Score | 5 |
| 4 | Shots On Goal | 4.36 |
| 13.18 | Total Shots | 11.73 |
| 5.27 | Corners | 4.55 |
| 46.6% | Ball Possession | 48.7% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Fortaleza EC expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and São Bernardo in 4-3-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward São Bernardo having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring São Bernardo. Fortaleza EC arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 3 with 35 points compared to São Bernardo in 11 on 30, which underlines the gap in season consistency. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.
Fortaleza EC arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 3 place with 35 points after 21 matches. Their overall return of 10 wins, 5 draws, and 6 losses with goals at 24:20 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Vitinho (4 goals), Juan Miritello (3 goals), Maílton (2 goals), with creative support from Maílton (1 assists), Emanuel Brítez (1 assists), Maurício Júnior (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, the record of 8 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses points toward a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.
São Bernardo sit 11 with 30 points after 21 league matches. The record of 8 wins, 6 draws, and 7 defeats, together with a 31:24 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Pedro Vitor (3 goals), Rodrigo Ferreira (3 goals), Dudu Miraíma (2 goals), with creative support from Romisson (4 assists), Dudu Miraíma (3 assists), Pedro Vitor (2 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have returned 6 wins, 1 draws, and 3 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.
Across those 1 head-to-head meetings, Fortaleza EC won 1 times, São Bernardo won 0 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 1:0 from Fortaleza EC's perspective. 0 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 0 matches, with an average of 1 goals per game.
Fortaleza EC
Juventude
Fortaleza EC
Cuiaba
Fortaleza EC
Botafogo SP
Fortaleza EC
Vila Nova
Fortaleza EC
Novorizontino
Fortaleza EC
Atletico Goianiense
Fortaleza EC
Ponte Preta
Fortaleza EC
Sport Recife
Fortaleza EC
CRB
Fortaleza EC
America Mineiro
Fortaleza EC
Nautico Recife
Fortaleza EC
Athletic Club
Fortaleza EC
Londrina
Fortaleza EC
Ceara
Fortaleza EC
Avai
Fortaleza EC
Goias
Fortaleza EC
Operario-PR
Fortaleza EC
Criciuma
Fortaleza EC
São Bernardo
Fortaleza EC
Juventude
São Bernardo
Botafogo SP
São Bernardo
Operario-PR
São Bernardo
Ceara
São Bernardo
Athletic Club
São Bernardo
Avai
São Bernardo
Cuiaba
São Bernardo
Vila Nova
São Bernardo
Criciuma
São Bernardo
Juventude
São Bernardo
Sport Recife
São Bernardo
CRB
São Bernardo
Novorizontino
São Bernardo
Atletico Goianiense
São Bernardo
America Mineiro
São Bernardo
Londrina
São Bernardo
Ponte Preta
São Bernardo
Goias
São Bernardo
Nautico Recife
São Bernardo
Fortaleza EC
São Bernardo
Botafogo SP
Fortaleza EC
Botafogo SP
Fortaleza EC
Novorizontino
Fortaleza EC
Ponte Preta
Fortaleza EC
Sport Recife
Fortaleza EC
America Mineiro
Fortaleza EC
Londrina
Fortaleza EC
Goias
Fortaleza EC
Criciuma
Fortaleza EC
Juventude
Fortaleza EC
Cuiaba
São Bernardo
Operario-PR
São Bernardo
Athletic Club
São Bernardo
Vila Nova
São Bernardo
Criciuma
São Bernardo
CRB
São Bernardo
Atletico Goianiense
São Bernardo
Londrina
São Bernardo
Nautico Recife
São Bernardo
Botafogo SP
São Bernardo
Ceara
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 22 | 12 | 7 | 3 | 24:14 | 10 | 43 |
W
L
D
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 22 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 23:12 | 11 | 39 |
D
W
W
L
W
|
|
| 3 | 22 | 11 | 4 | 7 | 29:25 | 4 | 37 |
W
L
L
W
L
|
|
| 4 |
Fortaleza EC
Home
|
22 | 10 | 6 | 6 | 24:20 | 4 | 36 |
D
D
W
L
W
|
| 5 | 22 | 10 | 5 | 7 | 30:30 | 0 | 35 |
L
L
L
W
D
|
|
| 6 | 22 | 8 | 11 | 3 | 28:20 | 8 | 35 |
W
W
D
D
D
|
|
| 7 | 22 | 9 | 7 | 6 | 32:20 | 12 | 34 |
D
L
W
L
L
|
|
| 8 | 22 | 8 | 10 | 4 | 24:19 | 5 | 34 |
W
W
D
W
D
|
|
| 9 | 22 | 9 | 6 | 7 | 32:32 | 0 | 33 |
D
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 10 | 23 | 8 | 9 | 6 | 24:23 | 1 | 33 |
D
L
D
W
W
|
|
| 11 | 22 | 9 | 5 | 8 | 22:27 | -5 | 32 |
L
W
L
D
W
|
|
| 12 |
São Bernardo
Away
|
22 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 31:25 | 6 | 30 |
L
W
L
L
D
|
| 13 | 22 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 27:22 | 5 | 30 |
W
W
L
W
D
|
|
| 14 | 22 | 6 | 11 | 5 | 19:17 | 2 | 29 |
W
D
D
L
L
|
|
| 15 | 22 | 7 | 6 | 9 | 26:26 | 0 | 27 |
D
D
D
W
L
|
|
| 16 | 22 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 23:28 | -5 | 25 |
L
W
W
L
D
|
|
| 17 | 22 | 6 | 5 | 11 | 23:29 | -6 | 23 |
W
L
L
W
D
|
|
| 18 | 23 | 5 | 6 | 12 | 28:34 | -6 | 21 |
D
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 19 | 22 | 2 | 5 | 15 | 16:36 | -20 | 11 |
L
L
W
L
D
|
|
| 20 | 22 | 2 | 4 | 16 | 16:42 | -26 | 10 |
D
L
D
L
L
|