Fortaleza EC vs Ponte Preta Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
82.9%
|
- | |
| BTTS | Yes |
58.2%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
64.5%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
78.2%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
- |
Fortaleza EC
Ponte Preta
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Fortaleza EC
15 matches
Ponte Preta
15 matches
| Fortaleza EC | Statistic | Ponte Preta |
|---|---|---|
| 7 | Wins | 2 |
| 4 | Draws | 2 |
| 4 | Losses | 11 |
| 18 | Goals For | 10 |
| 16 | Goals Against | 29 |
| 1.2 | Avg Goals Scored | 0.67 |
| 1.07 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.93 |
| 6 | BTTS Yes | 7 |
| 9 | Over 1.5 | 11 |
| 8 | Over 2.5 | 8 |
| 3 | Over 3.5 | 3 |
| 6 | Clean Sheets | 2 |
| 6 | Failed To Score | 7 |
| 4.33 | Shots On Goal | 3.2 |
| 13.73 | Total Shots | 10.53 |
| 4.67 | Corners | 5.4 |
| 44.2% | Ball Possession | 43.2% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Fortaleza EC's more proactive style and Ponte Preta's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Ponte Preta arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Fortaleza EC expected to line up in 3-4-2-1 and Ponte Preta in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Ponte Preta having the stronger overall control. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Ponte Preta. Fortaleza EC arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 8 with 22 points compared to Ponte Preta in 19 on 8, which underlines the gap in season consistency. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.
From their first 14 matches, Fortaleza EC have collected 22 points and now occupy 8 place in the table. Their overall return of 6 wins, 4 draws, and 4 losses with goals at 16:15 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Juan Miritello (3 goals), Vitinho (3 goals), Luiz Fernando (2 goals), with creative support from Maílton (1 assists), Emanuel Brítez (1 assists), Maurício Júnior (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, the record of 4 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.
Ponte Preta approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 19 with 8 points from 14 matches. The overall return of 2 wins, 2 draws, and 10 defeats with a 10:27 goal balance points toward poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Going forward they depend heavily on William Pottker (2 goals), Diego Tavares (1 goals), Elvis (1 goals), with creative support from Diego Tavares (3 assists), Elvis (1 assists), Luis Phelipe (1 assists), while defensively they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, the split record of 1 wins, 0 draws, and 5 losses points to a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 3 head-to-head meetings, Fortaleza EC won 1 times, Ponte Preta won 1 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 3:3 from Fortaleza EC's perspective. 0 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 2 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 32 | 17 | 8 | 7 | 37:19 | 18 | 59 |
W
W
W
L
L
|
|
| 2 | 32 | 17 | 7 | 8 | 44:31 | 13 | 58 |
D
W
W
W
D
|
|
| 3 | 32 | 16 | 9 | 7 | 54:27 | 27 | 57 |
W
W
D
L
D
|
|
| 4 |
Fortaleza EC
Home
|
32 | 15 | 11 | 6 | 37:27 | 10 | 56 |
W
D
D
W
D
|
| 5 | 32 | 15 | 8 | 9 | 33:28 | 5 | 53 |
L
W
W
L
L
|
|
| 6 | 32 | 14 | 10 | 8 | 40:30 | 10 | 52 |
L
W
W
L
W
|
|
| 7 | 32 | 15 | 6 | 11 | 49:45 | 4 | 51 |
W
L
W
L
W
|
|
| 8 | 32 | 13 | 11 | 8 | 44:34 | 10 | 50 |
W
W
L
W
L
|
|
| 9 | 32 | 13 | 9 | 10 | 44:43 | 1 | 48 |
L
L
D
W
D
|
|
| 10 | 32 | 11 | 14 | 7 | 32:25 | 7 | 47 |
D
W
L
W
D
|
|
| 11 | 32 | 13 | 6 | 13 | 32:40 | -8 | 45 |
W
L
L
W
W
|
|
| 12 | 32 | 12 | 9 | 11 | 44:34 | 10 | 45 |
L
W
D
W
W
|
|
| 13 | 32 | 11 | 9 | 12 | 39:40 | -1 | 42 |
L
D
W
L
D
|
|
| 14 | 32 | 11 | 9 | 12 | 35:39 | -4 | 42 |
W
W
D
W
D
|
|
| 15 | 32 | 10 | 12 | 10 | 38:37 | 1 | 42 |
L
L
D
D
W
|
|
| 16 | 32 | 10 | 8 | 14 | 36:38 | -2 | 38 |
W
L
W
D
L
|
|
| 17 | 32 | 9 | 6 | 17 | 32:43 | -11 | 33 |
W
L
L
L
D
|
|
| 18 | 32 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 40:47 | -7 | 28 |
L
L
L
L
W
|
|
| 19 | 32 | 4 | 5 | 23 | 21:53 | -32 | 17 |
L
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 20 |
Ponte Preta
Away
|
32 | 3 | 4 | 25 | 17:68 | -51 | 13 |
L
L
L
W
L
|